NYSE$MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Marathon Petroleum's Q4 2024 performance was marked by a net income of $371 million, with adjusted EBITDA at $2.1 billion, despite lower market crack spreads impacting refining margins.

Marathon Petroleum Corp. reported a net income of $371 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease compared to the $1.5 billion reported in the same quarter of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $2.1 billion, also lower than the $3.6 billion reported in the prior year. The company returned approximately $1.6 billion of capital to shareholders during the quarter through share repurchases and dividends.

  • Net income attributable to MPC was $371 million, or $1.15 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted net income was $249 million, or $0.77 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $2.1 billion.
  • The company returned approximately $1.6 billion of capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$33.5B

Previous: $36.3B-7.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.77

Previous: $3.98-80.7%
Refined product sales

3.7K

Previous: 3.6K+3.7%
Crude utilization

94.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$810M

Previous: $532M-252.3%
Net Income

$785M

Previous: $1.45B-45.9%
Operating Income

$1.14B

Previous: $2.4B-52.4%
Gross Profit

$1.68B

Previous: $3B-43.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Marathon Petroleum · Revenue · Quarterly

$33.5B

Q4 2024-7.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MPC's standalone capital spending outlook for 2025 is $1.25 billion, with approximately 70% focused on value-enhancing capital and 30% on sustaining capital. MPLX's capital spending outlook for 2025 is $2.0 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Continued high return investments at its Los Angeles, Galveston Bay and Robinson refineries.
  • Executing shorter-term projects that offer high returns through margin enhancement and cost reduction.
  • Expanding its Permian to Gulf Coast integrated value chain.
  • Progressing long-haul pipeline growth projects to support expected increased producer activity.
  • Investing in Permian and Marcellus processing capacity in response to producer demand.

Headwinds

  • No specific negatives were mentioned in the provided text.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 66 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-13.2%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.0%+3.2%
Q4 2025+5.2%+14.7%+22.9%
Q3 2025-6.1%-1.0%-2.9%
Q2 2025+0.6%-4.2%+6.6%
Q1 2025+1.0%+5.3%+10.4%
Q4 2024+6.7%+2.1%-6.4%
Q3 2024+7.1%+6.1%+3.6%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.5%+4.0%
Q1 2024-10.7%-9.0%-14.2%
Q4 2023+3.4%+3.9%+5.7%
Q3 2023+5.7%+2.7%+1.6%
Q2 2023+2.1%+3.7%+7.3%
Q1 2023-10.1%-12.7%-13.5%
Q4 2022-4.8%-8.5%+0.4%
Q3 2022+1.0%+3.5%+5.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%-0.1%+7.1%
Q1 2022+8.1%+7.6%+17.0%
Q4 2021+4.0%+7.8%+5.0%
Q3 2021-5.3%-2.2%-5.8%
Q2 2021+1.0%+2.3%+4.1%
Q1 2021+3.9%+5.0%+10.7%
Q4 2020+8.9%+1.8%-0.1%
Q3 2020+8.2%+7.1%+37.6%
Q2 2020-1.3%-4.0%-8.4%
Q1 2020-6.3%+4.8%+20.6%
Q4 2019+2.7%-1.6%-10.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%-8.4%
Q2 2019-4.9%-12.1%-12.7%
Q1 2019-10.9%-14.7%-20.9%
Q4 2018-6.2%-7.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-1.4%-3.0%-7.5%
Q2 2018+8.4%+8.2%+12.2%
Q1 2018-10.5%-5.5%-2.3%
Q4 2017-2.7%-5.2%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.6%+5.8%+9.9%
Q2 2017-1.2%+1.6%-7.1%
Q1 2017+2.7%+3.7%+6.5%
Q4 2016-0.3%+0.7%+6.7%
Q3 2016-3.3%-4.3%+8.9%
Q2 2016+4.1%+2.5%+10.6%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-13.2%
Q3 2015+3.9%
Q2 2015-2.0%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014+4.0%
Q2 2014+5.8%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013-2.3%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013-10.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012-3.4%
Q2 2012-1.4%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2012-2.1%
Q4 2011+2.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q1 2010+2.5%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q4 2010+8.6%
Q2 2011+8.6%
Q2 2010+8.6%

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