NYSE$MEC

Mayville Engineering Company Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MEC's first quarter results were announced, showing solid organic sales growth driven by commercial vehicle, military, and powersports markets, but margins were impacted by supply chain disruptions and Hazel Park facility ramp-up.

Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) reported a 4.7% increase in net sales to $142.6 million for the first quarter of 2023. Net income was $2.6 million, with diluted EPS of $0.12. Adjusted EBITDA was $13.8 million, impacted by the Hazel Park facility ramp. The company reiterated its full-year 2023 financial guidance.

  • Net sales increased by 4.7% year-over-year, driven by increased commercial sales volumes and price discipline.
  • Net income decreased to $2.6 million, impacted by the Hazel Park facility ramp-up.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $13.8 million, with a $1.8 million impact from the Hazel Park facility ramp.
  • The company is reiterating its full-year 2023 financial guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$143M

Previous: $136M+4.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: $0.15-20.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$13.8M

Previous: $14.8M-6.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

9.7%

Previous: 10.8%-10.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.41M

Previous: -$13M+81.4%
Free Cash Flow

$163K

Previous: -$9.16M+101.8%
Net Income

$2.57M

Previous: $3.82M-32.7%
Operating Income

$4.67M

Previous: $5.56M-16.1%
Gross Profit

$16.4M

Previous: $14.9M+10.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$126K

Previous: $120K+5.0%
Total Assets

$448M

Previous: $443M+1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.07M

Previous: $1.26M-15.2%

Revenue & EPS history

MEC · Revenue · Quarterly

$143M

Q1 2023+4.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

MEC · $143M total across 6 segments · Q1 2023

  • Commercial Vehicle
    $59.2M
  • Construction & Access
    $26.5M
  • Powersports
    $24.1M
  • Agriculture
    $14.5M
  • Other
    $9.87M
  • Military
    $8.57M

Forward guidance

The Company issued financial guidance for the full year 2023, expecting net sales between $540 million and $580 million, and Adjusted EBITDA between $62 million and $71 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales for 2023 to reflect raw material pass-through costs of between negative 4% to negative 5% of total net sales for the year
  • MBX initiatives are expected to improve manufacturing margins by 40 to 70 basis points, which will directly benefit Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Company finalized the implementation and alignment of processes and best-practices across the enterprise to drive strategic execution.
  • Company held a number of kaizen events to drive continuous improvement in plant operations and commercial pricing processes.
  • MEC continued to grow its share of wallet in products supporting thermal management of electric vehicle (EV) batteries.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance reflects scrap income of between $7 million and $9 million, compared to $13 million in the full year 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance also reflects $4 million to $6 million of under-absorbed overhead costs associated with the ramp-up of production at the Company’s Hazel Park, Michigan manufacturing facility.
  • Macroeconomic conditions, including inflation, rising interest rates and recessionary concerns
  • Ongoing supply chain challenges, labor availability and cost pressures
  • COVID-19 pandemic, have had, and may continue to have, a negative impact on our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

11 / 28 earnings

Positive

+17.6%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.6%+19.6%+45.9%
Q4 2025-1.8%-10.8%-13.7%
Q3 2025-10.4%-6.3%-8.3%
Q1 2025-3.8%+11.7%+13.7%
Q4 2024-0.1%+8.2%-8.8%
Q3 2024-16.3%-18.1%-19.7%
Q2 2024+10.9%+13.0%+11.3%
Q1 2024+7.4%+16.2%+16.1%
Q4 2023+6.8%+3.6%+6.9%
Q3 2023+3.6%+6.9%+11.9%
Q2 2023-7.9%+0.2%-2.9%
Q1 2023-5.9%-17.5%-2.3%
Q4 2022-4.0%-4.7%-8.4%
Q3 2022+17.6%+45.1%+99.2%
Q2 2022-0.8%-3.4%-3.9%
Q1 2022+8.2%-1.2%+9.6%
Q4 2021-5.7%-2.0%-9.4%
Q3 2021-4.8%-4.8%-18.8%
Q2 2021-2.4%-1.3%-16.8%
Q1 2021-5.7%+8.2%+18.6%
Q4 2020+1.4%+6.3%+3.2%
Q3 2020+14.3%+15.6%+24.6%
Q2 2020-1.5%+6.4%+14.0%
Q1 2020+8.3%+30.4%+34.5%
Q4 2019-6.2%+2.0%-15.4%
Q3 2019-37.7%-19.9%-26.8%
Q2 2019-5.8%-11.3%+1.9%
Q1 2019+3.3%-5.7%+0.4%
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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