NYSE$MAA

Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

MAA reported its fourth quarter and full year 2024 results, showing a slight decrease in revenue for its Same Store Portfolio but strong occupancy.

MAA's Same Store Portfolio revenue decreased by 0.2% in Q4 2024 compared to the prior year, with Average Effective Rent per Unit down 0.5%. However, Average Physical Occupancy remained strong at 95.6%. The company completed development of two multifamily communities and acquired one, while also disposing of two properties.

  • Same Store Portfolio revenue decreased 0.2% in Q4 2024, partially offset by a 1.8% increase in other property revenues.
  • Average Physical Occupancy for the Same Store Portfolio was strong at 95.6% in Q4 2024.
  • MAA acquired a 386-unit multifamily community in Dallas, Texas, and a 3-acre land parcel in Raleigh, North Carolina, for future development.
  • The company disposed of two multifamily communities in Charlotte, North Carolina, and Richmond, Virginia, for combined net proceeds of approximately $85 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$550M

Previous: $542M+1.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.23

Previous: $2.32-3.9%
FFO attributable

$265M

Previous: $304M-12.9%
Core FFO per Share

$2.23

Previous: $2.32-3.9%
Core AFFO per Share

$2.03

Previous: $2.10-3.3%
Avg Physical Occupancy

95.6%

Previous: 95.5%+0.1%
Avg Effective Rent

$1.69K

Previous: $1.69K+0.1%
Total NOI

$345M

No prior period
Net Debt / EBITDAre

4

No prior period
Total Debt Outstanding

$4.98B

No prior period
Dividends / Core FFO

67.9%

No prior period
Dividends / Core AFFO

74.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$103M

No prior period
Net Income

$166M

Previous: $165M+0.5%
Operating Income

$172M

Previous: $166M+4.1%

Revenue & EPS history

MAA · Revenue · Quarterly

$550M

Q4 2024+1.4%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MAA expects 2025 to be a transition year for revenue performance, with improving market conditions due to declining new supply deliveries. The company anticipates continued strong demand for apartment housing and expects to capture recovery in rental pricing.

Tailwinds

  • Record level of new supply deliveries has peaked, leading to increasingly tighter market conditions and resulting rent growth.
  • Sequential blended lease pricing improved by 140 basis points compared to the same sequential trend of the prior year.
  • Exposure (current vacant units plus notices to vacate over the next 60 days) improved by 60 basis points compared to the prior year.
  • Improved exposure by 70 basis points as of January 31, 2025, compared to the prior year.
  • Increasing investments in initiatives to enhance efficiencies and deliver stronger future earnings growth.

Headwinds

  • Calendar year 2025 will be a transition year for revenue performance.
  • Decline in new supply deliveries will lead to increasingly tighter market conditions.
  • Compounding impact in overall revenue performance will become increasingly evident late this year and into 2026.
  • The company generally cannot predict the timing of forecasted acquisition and disposition activity within a particular quarter.
  • Higher interest expense is projected for 2025 due to incremental borrowings and debt refinancing.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2011

Best reaction

-6.2%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.3%-0.5%
Q4 2025-3.2%+1.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025+2.0%+2.2%+7.6%
Q1 2025+1.5%+3.1%-1.9%
Q4 2024+1.3%-0.5%+6.0%
Q3 2024+0.2%+0.8%+8.7%
Q2 2024+3.6%+3.7%+14.9%
Q1 2024+1.3%+5.2%+2.9%
Q4 2023-0.9%-0.1%+7.4%
Q3 2023-6.1%-9.5%-5.5%
Q2 2023-1.6%-1.4%-4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%+4.5%-1.3%
Q4 2022+4.4%+3.6%-4.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2022+5.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+3.8%+2.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.6%+0.4%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.7%+0.5%
Q1 2021+0.2%+0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2020-0.5%-0.1%-1.2%
Q3 2020-1.2%+4.3%+8.0%
Q2 2020+4.0%+3.4%+3.7%
Q1 2020+1.2%+0.5%+10.7%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.2%-6.0%
Q3 2019+2.6%+2.8%+0.5%
Q2 2019+1.3%-1.4%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.1%+0.4%+4.4%
Q4 2018-2.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Q3 2018-1.8%-2.6%+3.6%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.5%+2.8%
Q1 2018-0.8%+0.6%+2.2%
Q4 2017-1.3%-4.4%-7.8%
Q3 2017-4.3%-2.1%+0.0%
Q2 2017+1.5%+2.1%+5.6%
Q1 2017-3.4%-1.8%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.0%+6.5%
Q3 2016-2.4%-0.4%-1.1%
Q2 2016-1.9%-0.0%-11.3%
Q1 2016+3.2%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+1.6%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014-6.2%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013+0.1%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q2 2011+10.8%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2009+2.9%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%

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