NYSE$MAA

Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported operating results ahead of expectations, driven by stable employment, positive migration, and low resident move-outs.

MAA reported fourth-quarter results with Core FFO performance exceeding expectations. Solid demand, driven by stable employment, positive migration trends, and historically low resident move-outs, contributed to the positive results. New apartment supply is currently impacting rent growth performance and will likely persist through the summer leasing season.

  • Same Store Portfolio produced growth in revenues of 2.1%, as compared to the same period in the prior year, with Average Effective Rent per Unit up 2.2% while capturing strong Average Physical Occupancy of 95.5%.
  • Same Store Portfolio property operating expense and Net Operating Income (NOI) increased by 5.9% and 0.1%, respectively, as compared to the same period in the prior year.
  • Resident turnover remained low at 44.9% on a trailing twelve month basis driven by historically low levels of move-outs associated with buying single family-homes.
  • MAA completed the redevelopment of 1,394 apartment homes during the fourth quarter of 2023, capturing average rental rate increases of approximately 6% above non-renovated units.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$542M

Previous: $528M+2.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.32

Previous: $2.32+0.0%
FFO attributable

$304M

Previous: $2.12+14318065937.7%
Core FFO per Share

$2.32

No prior period
Core AFFO per Share

$2.10

No prior period
Avg Physical Occupancy

95.5%

No prior period
Avg Effective Rent

$1.69K

No prior period
Net Income

$165M

Previous: $199M-17.1%
Operating Income

$166M

Previous: $198M-16.4%
Gross Profit

$210M

Previous: $209M+0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.4M

Previous: $4.18M-18.6%

Revenue & EPS history

MAA · Revenue · Quarterly

$542M

Q4 2023+2.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MAA is providing initial 2024 guidance for Earnings per diluted common share, Core FFO per diluted Share and Core AFFO per diluted Share, along with its expectations for growth in Property revenue, Property operating expense and NOI for the Same Store Portfolio in 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Earnings per common share - diluted $4.45 to $4.85
  • Core FFO per Share - diluted $8.68 to $9.08
  • Core AFFO per Share - diluted $7.72 to $8.12
  • Property revenue growth 0.15% to 1.65%
  • Property operating expense growth 4.10% to 5.60%

Headwinds

  • NOI growth -2.80% to 0.20%
  • higher interest expense as a result of incremental borrowings related to our acquisition activities in 2023
  • development activities
  • debt refinancing
  • MAA expects Core FFO for the first quarter of 2024 to be in the range of $2.12 to $2.28 per diluted Share, or $2.20 per diluted Share at the midpoint.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2011

Best reaction

-6.2%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.3%-0.5%
Q4 2025-3.2%+1.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025+2.0%+2.2%+7.6%
Q1 2025+1.5%+3.1%-1.9%
Q4 2024+1.3%-0.5%+6.0%
Q3 2024+0.2%+0.8%+8.7%
Q2 2024+3.6%+3.7%+14.9%
Q1 2024+1.3%+5.2%+2.9%
Q4 2023-0.9%-0.1%+7.4%
Q3 2023-6.1%-9.5%-5.5%
Q2 2023-1.6%-1.4%-4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%+4.5%-1.3%
Q4 2022+4.4%+3.6%-4.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2022+5.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+3.8%+2.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.6%+0.4%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.7%+0.5%
Q1 2021+0.2%+0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2020-0.5%-0.1%-1.2%
Q3 2020-1.2%+4.3%+8.0%
Q2 2020+4.0%+3.4%+3.7%
Q1 2020+1.2%+0.5%+10.7%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.2%-6.0%
Q3 2019+2.6%+2.8%+0.5%
Q2 2019+1.3%-1.4%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.1%+0.4%+4.4%
Q4 2018-2.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Q3 2018-1.8%-2.6%+3.6%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.5%+2.8%
Q1 2018-0.8%+0.6%+2.2%
Q4 2017-1.3%-4.4%-7.8%
Q3 2017-4.3%-2.1%+0.0%
Q2 2017+1.5%+2.1%+5.6%
Q1 2017-3.4%-1.8%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.0%+6.5%
Q3 2016-2.4%-0.4%-1.1%
Q2 2016-1.9%-0.0%-11.3%
Q1 2016+3.2%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+1.6%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014-6.2%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013+0.1%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q2 2011+10.8%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2009+2.9%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%

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