NYSE$MAA

Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong rent growth and high occupancy, driven by accelerating demand for apartment housing.

MAA reported fourth-quarter results ahead of expectations, driven by strong rent growth and high occupancy. Property revenues from the Same Store Portfolio increased by 9.3%, primarily driven by a 10.1% growth in Average Effective Rent per Unit. The company is carrying strong pricing momentum into 2022 and expects favorable leasing conditions.

  • Property revenues from the Same Store Portfolio increased 9.3% during the fourth quarter of 2021 as compared to the same period in the prior year, ahead of expectations. That increase was primarily driven by a 10.1% growth in Average Effective Rent per Unit for the Same Store Portfolio.
  • Property operating expenses for the Same Store Portfolio increased 4.6% during the fourth quarter of 2021 as compared to the same period in the prior year, in line with expectations.
  • Net Operating Income (NOI) from the Same Store Portfolio increased 12.1% during the fourth quarter of 2021 as compared to the same period in the prior year.
  • MAA completed redevelopment of 1,368 apartment homes during the fourth quarter of 2021, capturing average rental rate increases of approximately 12% above non-renovated units.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$464M

Previous: $424M+9.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.90

Previous: $1.65+15.2%
FFO attributable

$2.01

Previous: $213M-100.0%
Net Income

$185M

Previous: $86.3M+114.0%
Operating Income

$191M

Previous: $86.7M+119.7%
Gross Profit

$161M

Previous: $134M+20.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$54.3M

Previous: $25.2M+115.5%
Total Assets

$11.3B

Previous: $11.2B+0.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.86M

Previous: $1.8M+114.9%

Revenue & EPS history

MAA · Revenue · Quarterly

$464M

Q4 2021+9.4%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MAA is providing initial 2022 guidance for Net income per diluted common share, Core FFO per Share and Core AFFO per Share, along with its expectations for growth of Property revenue, Property operating expense and NOI for the Same Store Portfolio in 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Full Year 2022 Earnings per common share - diluted $4.87 to $5.23 Midpoint $5.05
  • Core FFO per Share - diluted $7.74 to $8.10 Midpoint $7.92
  • Core AFFO per Share - diluted $6.95 to $7.31 Midpoint $7.13
  • MAA Same Store Portfolio: Property revenue growth 8.0% to 10.0%
  • Property operating expense growth 5.0% to 6.0%

Headwinds

  • NOI growth 10.0% to 12.0%
  • MAA expects Core FFO for the first quarter of 2022 to be in the range of $1.83 to $1.99 per Share, or $1.91 per Share at the midpoint.
  • MAA does not forecast Net income per diluted share on a quarterly basis as MAA generally cannot predict the timing of forecasted acquisition and disposition activity within a particular quarter (rather than during the course of the full year).
  • Additional details and guidance items are provided in the Supplemental Data to this release.
  • Supplemental data to this release can be found on the “For Investors” page of the MAA website at www.maac.com.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2011

Best reaction

-6.2%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.3%-0.5%
Q4 2025-3.2%+1.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025+2.0%+2.2%+7.6%
Q1 2025+1.5%+3.1%-1.9%
Q4 2024+1.3%-0.5%+6.0%
Q3 2024+0.2%+0.8%+8.7%
Q2 2024+3.6%+3.7%+14.9%
Q1 2024+1.3%+5.2%+2.9%
Q4 2023-0.9%-0.1%+7.4%
Q3 2023-6.1%-9.5%-5.5%
Q2 2023-1.6%-1.4%-4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%+4.5%-1.3%
Q4 2022+4.4%+3.6%-4.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2022+5.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+3.8%+2.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.6%+0.4%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.7%+0.5%
Q1 2021+0.2%+0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2020-0.5%-0.1%-1.2%
Q3 2020-1.2%+4.3%+8.0%
Q2 2020+4.0%+3.4%+3.7%
Q1 2020+1.2%+0.5%+10.7%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.2%-6.0%
Q3 2019+2.6%+2.8%+0.5%
Q2 2019+1.3%-1.4%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.1%+0.4%+4.4%
Q4 2018-2.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Q3 2018-1.8%-2.6%+3.6%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.5%+2.8%
Q1 2018-0.8%+0.6%+2.2%
Q4 2017-1.3%-4.4%-7.8%
Q3 2017-4.3%-2.1%+0.0%
Q2 2017+1.5%+2.1%+5.6%
Q1 2017-3.4%-1.8%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.0%+6.5%
Q3 2016-2.4%-0.4%-1.1%
Q2 2016-1.9%-0.0%-11.3%
Q1 2016+3.2%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+1.6%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014-6.2%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013+0.1%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q2 2011+10.8%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2009+2.9%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%

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