NYSE$MAA

Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced operating results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2020.

MAA reported Q4 2020 results, with net income available for common shareholders at $82.4 million, or $0.72 per diluted common share. Core FFO was $195.4 million, or $1.65 per diluted common share and unit. Property revenues from the Same Store Portfolio increased 1.8%.

  • Property revenues from the Same Store Portfolio increased 1.8% during the fourth quarter of 2020 as compared to the same period in the prior year, driven by a 1.3% growth in Average Effective Rent per Unit.
  • Property operating expenses for the Same Store Portfolio increased 6.9% during the fourth quarter of 2020 as compared to the same period in the prior year, driven by growth in real estate taxes, utility costs, insurance expenses, and personnel costs.
  • Net Operating Income, or NOI, from the Same Store Portfolio decreased 0.9% during the fourth quarter of 2020 as compared to the same period in the prior year.
  • MAA completed redevelopment of 911 apartment homes during the fourth quarter of 2020, capturing average rental rate increases of approximately 9.5% above non-renovated units.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$424M

Previous: $417M+1.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.65

Previous: $1.68-1.8%
FFO attributable

$213M

Previous: $198M+7.7%
Net Income

$86.3M

Previous: $155M-44.3%
Operating Income

$86.7M

Previous: $155M-44.2%
Gross Profit

$134M

Previous: $142M-5.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$25.2M

Previous: $20.5M+23.1%
Total Assets

$11.2B

Previous: $11.2B-0.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.8M

Previous: $2.1M-14.6%

Revenue & EPS history

MAA · Revenue · Quarterly

$424M

Q4 2020+1.6%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MAA is providing initial 2021 guidance for Net income per diluted common share, as well as Core FFO per Share, and Core AFFO per Share. MAA expects to update its 2021 Net income per diluted common share, Core FFO per Share and Core AFFO per Share guidance on a quarterly basis.

Tailwinds

  • Full Year 2021 Earnings per common share - diluted $3.26 to $3.56
  • Full Year 2021 Core FFO per Share - diluted $6.30 to $6.60
  • Full Year 2021 Core AFFO per Share - diluted $5.62 to $5.92
  • Property revenue growth 1.00% to 3.00%
  • NOI growth 0.00% to 2.00%

Headwinds

  • Property operating expense growth 3.00% to 5.00%
  • MAA expects Core FFO for the first quarter of 2021 to be in the range of $1.51 to $1.67 per Share
  • MAA does not forecast Net income per diluted share on a quarterly basis as MAA cannot accurately predict the timing of forecasted acquisition and disposition activity within a particular quarter (rather than during the course of the full year).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2011

Best reaction

-6.2%

Q2 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.3%-0.5%
Q4 2025-3.2%+1.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025+2.0%+2.2%+7.6%
Q1 2025+1.5%+3.1%-1.9%
Q4 2024+1.3%-0.5%+6.0%
Q3 2024+0.2%+0.8%+8.7%
Q2 2024+3.6%+3.7%+14.9%
Q1 2024+1.3%+5.2%+2.9%
Q4 2023-0.9%-0.1%+7.4%
Q3 2023-6.1%-9.5%-5.5%
Q2 2023-1.6%-1.4%-4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%+4.5%-1.3%
Q4 2022+4.4%+3.6%-4.3%
Q3 2022+0.0%+2.3%+4.9%
Q2 2022+5.9%+4.7%+0.1%
Q1 2022+1.3%-6.7%-9.6%
Q4 2021+3.8%+2.5%+4.4%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.6%+0.4%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.7%+0.5%
Q1 2021+0.2%+0.9%+3.6%
Q4 2020-0.5%-0.1%-1.2%
Q3 2020-1.2%+4.3%+8.0%
Q2 2020+4.0%+3.4%+3.7%
Q1 2020+1.2%+0.5%+10.7%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.2%-6.0%
Q3 2019+2.6%+2.8%+0.5%
Q2 2019+1.3%-1.4%+6.3%
Q1 2019+0.1%+0.4%+4.4%
Q4 2018-2.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Q3 2018-1.8%-2.6%+3.6%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.5%+2.8%
Q1 2018-0.8%+0.6%+2.2%
Q4 2017-1.3%-4.4%-7.8%
Q3 2017-4.3%-2.1%+0.0%
Q2 2017+1.5%+2.1%+5.6%
Q1 2017-3.4%-1.8%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.0%+6.5%
Q3 2016-2.4%-0.4%-1.1%
Q2 2016-1.9%-0.0%-11.3%
Q1 2016+3.2%
Q4 2015-5.2%
Q3 2015+1.6%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-2.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-0.2%
Q2 2014-6.2%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013+0.1%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q2 2011+10.8%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q4 2008+2.1%
Q3 2009+2.9%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q2 2010-1.9%
Q2 2009-1.9%

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