NYSE$LYB

LyondellBasell Industries NV · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income of $185 million and EPS of $0.56 per share, with EBITDA at $639 million.

LyondellBasell reported a net income of $185 million, or $0.56 per share, for Q4 2023. The company's EBITDA for the quarter was $639 million, or $910 million excluding identified items. They generated $1.5 billion in cash from operating activities and returned $406 million to shareholders in dividends.

  • Net income was $185 million, or $411 million excluding identified items.
  • Diluted earnings per share was $0.56, or $1.26 excluding identified items.
  • EBITDA was $639 million, or $910 million excluding identified items.
  • Generated $1.5 billion of cash from operating activities resulting in 171% cash conversion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$9.93B

Previous: $10.2B-2.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.26

Previous: $1.29-2.3%
Capital Expenditures

$484M

Previous: $473M+2.3%
Net Income

$185M

Previous: $353M-47.6%
Operating Income

$186M

Previous: $355M-47.6%
Gross Profit

$1.69B

Previous: $850M+98.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$20M

Previous: $16M+25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

LyondellBasell · Revenue · Quarterly

$9.93B

Q4 2023-2.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

In the first quarter of 2024, the company expects continued headwinds from seasonally slow demand and economic uncertainty for most businesses. They anticipate relatively low ethane raw material costs to benefit North American Olefins & Polyolefins margins, with modest improvement in regional demand. Oxyfuels and refining margins are expected to be within typical winter seasonal ranges.

Tailwinds

  • Relatively low ethane raw material costs are continuing to benefit North American Olefins & Polyolefins margins.
  • Regional demand is showing modest improvement.
  • Spring and summer seasonal demand improvements are expected across global markets.
  • LYB is aligning first quarter operating rates with global demand.
  • Oxyfuels and refining margins are expected to be within typical winter seasonal ranges.

Headwinds

  • Seasonally slow demand is expected to provide continued headwinds for most businesses.
  • Economic uncertainty is expected to provide continued headwinds for most businesses.
  • January demand was subdued as buyers managed inventories around Lunar New Year holidays in China.
  • Growth remained uncertain in China.
  • The company expects to operate Olefins & Polyolefins Americas assets at approximately 80%, and both Olefins & Polyolefins EAI assets and Intermediates & Derivatives assets at approximately 75%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 64 earnings

Positive

+9.0%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-7.8%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+0.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q1 2026+2.1%-1.5%-10.8%
Q3 2025+2.3%-2.7%+8.4%
Q2 2025-7.8%-14.5%-2.7%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.8%-5.3%
Q4 2024-0.6%+1.1%+0.9%
Q3 2024-3.1%-0.5%-4.0%
Q2 2024-5.7%-3.4%+0.6%
Q1 2024+2.0%-0.2%-1.1%
Q4 2023-1.5%-0.1%+5.1%
Q3 2023+0.8%+0.0%+4.8%
Q2 2023+2.0%+3.0%+4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%-2.0%-4.4%
Q4 2022+2.5%+2.6%+0.9%
Q3 2022-7.3%-5.2%+5.2%
Q2 2022-1.8%-3.3%-1.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+9.3%+10.3%
Q4 2021+0.9%+4.7%+2.2%
Q3 2021-2.1%-2.9%-7.2%
Q2 2021-1.6%-3.5%+2.3%
Q1 2021+0.4%+4.2%+4.8%
Q4 2020-0.6%+2.3%+18.2%
Q3 2020-0.4%-3.7%+21.7%
Q2 2020-4.8%+0.8%+4.4%
Q1 2020-6.2%-10.1%+10.0%
Q4 2019-5.5%+0.8%-14.4%
Q3 2019+7.8%+8.2%+3.2%
Q2 2019-6.4%-6.8%-5.0%
Q1 2019+0.5%-2.5%-12.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.3%-2.2%
Q3 2018+0.9%+5.3%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.2%+4.2%+4.0%
Q1 2018-0.7%-1.6%+6.8%
Q4 2017-7.5%-6.2%-8.8%
Q3 2017+4.7%+2.2%+3.1%
Q2 2017+4.1%+2.1%+4.3%
Q1 2017-4.5%-6.3%-7.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%-2.2%-1.6%
Q3 2016-2.7%-1.4%+14.6%
Q2 2016-5.2%-6.9%+0.2%
Q1 2016-2.7%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015+4.4%
Q1 2015+6.1%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-7.6%
Q2 2014+7.1%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013-1.1%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q4 2012-3.7%
Q3 2012-0.0%
Q2 2012+9.0%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q1 2012-6.3%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+4.2%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2010

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