NYSE$LYB

LyondellBasell Industries NV · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income and EPS, while advancing strategic priorities and greenhouse gas emission reduction targets.

LyondellBasell reported a net income of $353 million, or $1.07 per share, for Q4 2022. The company's EBITDA was $792 million, or $865 million excluding identified items. The company reduced operating rates to match lower demand and decreased working capital by more than $700 million during the fourth quarter.

  • Net Income: $353 million, $427 million excluding identified items
  • Diluted earnings per share: $1.07 per share, $1.29 per share excluding identified items
  • EBITDA: $792 million, $865 million excluding identified items
  • Delivered $1.6 billion of cash from operating activities

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.2B

Previous: $12.8B-20.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.29

Previous: $3.63-64.5%
Capital Expenditures

$473M

Previous: $674M-29.8%
Free Cash Flow

$1.13B

Previous: $5.74B-80.3%
Net Income

$353M

Previous: $726M-51.4%
Operating Income

$355M

Previous: $731M-51.4%
Gross Profit

$850M

Previous: $1.9B-55.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.15B

Previous: $1.47B+46.1%
Total Assets

$36.4B

Previous: $36.7B-1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$16M

Previous: $16M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

LyondellBasell · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.2B

Q4 2022-20.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Challenging market conditions are expected to persist through the first half of 2023. LyondellBasell is aligning production with global demand trends and expects first quarter average utilization rates for the assets operated by the company to be 80% for each of the Olefins & Polyolefins and Intermediates & Derivatives segments. Start-up activities for the new PO/TBA capacity in Houston remain on track for the end of the first quarter 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Demand from consumer packaging, oxyfuels and refining markets remained stable in January.
  • Moderating energy and feedstock costs are providing some offsets to tepid global demand.
  • LyondellBasell is aligning production with global demand trends
  • Start-up activities for the new PO/TBA capacity in Houston remain on track for the end of the first quarter 2023.
  • The company expects typical spring and summer seasonal demand improvements and is prepared to leverage any increased economic activity in China as the year progresses.

Headwinds

  • Challenging market conditions are expected to persist through the first half of 2023.
  • Tepid global demand
  • Price and margin pressures from new supply
  • Customer destocking
  • Weak demand in petrochemical markets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 64 earnings

Positive

+9.0%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-7.8%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+0.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q1 2026+2.1%-1.5%-10.8%
Q3 2025+2.3%-2.7%+8.4%
Q2 2025-7.8%-14.5%-2.7%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.8%-5.3%
Q4 2024-0.6%+1.1%+0.9%
Q3 2024-3.1%-0.5%-4.0%
Q2 2024-5.7%-3.4%+0.6%
Q1 2024+2.0%-0.2%-1.1%
Q4 2023-1.5%-0.1%+5.1%
Q3 2023+0.8%+0.0%+4.8%
Q2 2023+2.0%+3.0%+4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%-2.0%-4.4%
Q4 2022+2.5%+2.6%+0.9%
Q3 2022-7.3%-5.2%+5.2%
Q2 2022-1.8%-3.3%-1.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+9.3%+10.3%
Q4 2021+0.9%+4.7%+2.2%
Q3 2021-2.1%-2.9%-7.2%
Q2 2021-1.6%-3.5%+2.3%
Q1 2021+0.4%+4.2%+4.8%
Q4 2020-0.6%+2.3%+18.2%
Q3 2020-0.4%-3.7%+21.7%
Q2 2020-4.8%+0.8%+4.4%
Q1 2020-6.2%-10.1%+10.0%
Q4 2019-5.5%+0.8%-14.4%
Q3 2019+7.8%+8.2%+3.2%
Q2 2019-6.4%-6.8%-5.0%
Q1 2019+0.5%-2.5%-12.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.3%-2.2%
Q3 2018+0.9%+5.3%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.2%+4.2%+4.0%
Q1 2018-0.7%-1.6%+6.8%
Q4 2017-7.5%-6.2%-8.8%
Q3 2017+4.7%+2.2%+3.1%
Q2 2017+4.1%+2.1%+4.3%
Q1 2017-4.5%-6.3%-7.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%-2.2%-1.6%
Q3 2016-2.7%-1.4%+14.6%
Q2 2016-5.2%-6.9%+0.2%
Q1 2016-2.7%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015+4.4%
Q1 2015+6.1%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-7.6%
Q2 2014+7.1%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013-1.1%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q4 2012-3.7%
Q3 2012-0.0%
Q2 2012+9.0%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q1 2012-6.3%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+4.2%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2010

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