NYSE$LYB

LyondellBasell Industries NV · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

LyondellBasell reported first quarter earnings with net income of $474 million and EPS of $1.44.

LyondellBasell reported a net income of $474 million, or $1.44 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2023. Excluding identified items, net income was $822 million, or $2.50 per share. The company generated $482 million in cash from operating activities and returned $459 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

  • Net income was $474 million, or $822 million excluding identified items.
  • Diluted earnings per share were $1.44, or $2.50 excluding identified items, an improvement of more than 90% relative to the fourth quarter 2022.
  • EBITDA was $1.1 billion, or $1.5 billion excluding identified items.
  • The company launched a new strategy targeting net income of $6.3 billion and $10 billion of normalized EBITDA by 2027.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.2B

Previous: $13.2B-22.1%
EPS (adj)

$2.50

Previous: $4.00-37.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$352M

Previous: -$446M+21.1%
Free Cash Flow

$122M

Previous: $874M-86.0%
Net Income

$474M

Previous: $1.32B-64.1%
Operating Income

$713M

Previous: $1.66B-57.1%
Gross Profit

$1.38B

Previous: $2.02B-31.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.79B

Previous: $1.79B+0.3%
Total Assets

$36.3B

Previous: $37.9B-4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$24M

Previous: $18M+33.3%

Revenue & EPS history

LyondellBasell · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.2B

Q1 2023-22.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects typical seasonal trends to drive modest improvement in global demand. Increased summer demand for transportation fuels should provide support for oxyfuels and refining margins. Delays in the start of North American polyethylene capacity additions across the industry are expected to reduce new market supply and support polyethylene margins.

Tailwinds

  • Typical seasonal trends to drive modest improvement in global demand
  • Increased summer demand for transportation fuels should provide support for oxyfuels and refining margins
  • Delays in the start of North American polyethylene capacity additions across the industry are expected to reduce new market supply
  • Polyethylene margins should be supported
  • Intermediates & Derivatives assets are expected to operate at 80%

Headwinds

  • The company remains watchful for the effects of changes in global monetary policies
  • The company remains watchful for the effects of improving economic conditions in China on petrochemical markets during the second half of 2023
  • Global olefins and polyolefins operating rates are expected to modestly increase to 85% to match the market outlook
  • There is no guarantee that demand will increase.
  • There is no guarantee that economic conditions in China will improve.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 64 earnings

Positive

+9.0%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-7.8%

Q2 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+0.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q1 2026+2.1%-1.5%-10.8%
Q3 2025+2.3%-2.7%+8.4%
Q2 2025-7.8%-14.5%-2.7%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.8%-5.3%
Q4 2024-0.6%+1.1%+0.9%
Q3 2024-3.1%-0.5%-4.0%
Q2 2024-5.7%-3.4%+0.6%
Q1 2024+2.0%-0.2%-1.1%
Q4 2023-1.5%-0.1%+5.1%
Q3 2023+0.8%+0.0%+4.8%
Q2 2023+2.0%+3.0%+4.7%
Q1 2023+2.4%-2.0%-4.4%
Q4 2022+2.5%+2.6%+0.9%
Q3 2022-7.3%-5.2%+5.2%
Q2 2022-1.8%-3.3%-1.9%
Q1 2022+1.8%+9.3%+10.3%
Q4 2021+0.9%+4.7%+2.2%
Q3 2021-2.1%-2.9%-7.2%
Q2 2021-1.6%-3.5%+2.3%
Q1 2021+0.4%+4.2%+4.8%
Q4 2020-0.6%+2.3%+18.2%
Q3 2020-0.4%-3.7%+21.7%
Q2 2020-4.8%+0.8%+4.4%
Q1 2020-6.2%-10.1%+10.0%
Q4 2019-5.5%+0.8%-14.4%
Q3 2019+7.8%+8.2%+3.2%
Q2 2019-6.4%-6.8%-5.0%
Q1 2019+0.5%-2.5%-12.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.3%-2.2%
Q3 2018+0.9%+5.3%+5.2%
Q2 2018+4.2%+4.2%+4.0%
Q1 2018-0.7%-1.6%+6.8%
Q4 2017-7.5%-6.2%-8.8%
Q3 2017+4.7%+2.2%+3.1%
Q2 2017+4.1%+2.1%+4.3%
Q1 2017-4.5%-6.3%-7.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%-2.2%-1.6%
Q3 2016-2.7%-1.4%+14.6%
Q2 2016-5.2%-6.9%+0.2%
Q1 2016-2.7%
Q4 2015-2.3%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015+4.4%
Q1 2015+6.1%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-7.6%
Q2 2014+7.1%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013-1.1%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q4 2012-3.7%
Q3 2012-0.0%
Q2 2012+9.0%
Q1 2011-6.3%
Q1 2012-6.3%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2011+4.2%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010-4.3%
Q1 2010

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