NYSE$K
Kellanova · Q3 2023 earnings
Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Kellanova delivered a solid financial performance amidst challenging industry conditions and the execution of the spin-off of its North America cereal business. Profit margins were restored, and advantaged brands and markets delivered top-line growth in line with long-term targets. The company is well-positioned as it launches into the Kellanova era.
Kellanova reported flat net sales in Q3 2023, but organic net sales increased by 4%. The company sustained double-digit operating profit growth due to the restoration of gross profit margin. Kellanova provided guidance for Q4 2023, its first reporting period as a stand-alone company, projecting net sales of approximately $3.1 billion and adjusted operating profit between $380-$390 million.
- Net sales in the third quarter were held flat by adverse currency translation and the divestiture of its business in Russia, and 4% organic-basis growth remained within the Company’s long-term target range.
- Double-digit operating profit growth was sustained, as the Company continued to restore gross profit margin faster than expected around the world.
- The Company's year-to-date performance in net sales, operating profit, earnings per share, and free cash flow is ahead of pace for the full-year guidance previously provided for Kellogg Company.
- On October 2nd, subsequent to the end of the third quarter, the Company completed the spin-off of WK Kellogg Co, renaming itself Kellanova and embarking on a new era with a more growth-oriented portfolio, a refreshed strategy, and higher long-term financial targets.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Kellanova · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.94B
Revenue by segment
Kellanova · $3.94B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023
- North America$2.33B-0.4%59.1%
- AMEA$657M-14.3%16.7%
- Europe$616M+9.6%15.6%
- Latin America$338M+19.4%8.6%
Forward guidance
Kellanova provided guidance for its fourth quarter 2023, which will be the first reporting period as a stand-alone company, after the spin-off of WK Kellogg Co. Specifically, the Company projects net sales of approximately $3.1 billion and operating profit of $380-$390 million on an adjusted basis.
Tailwinds
- Net sales of approximately $3.1 billion. This implies on-algorithm growth excluding the estimated impact of the WK Kellogg Co spin-off, as well as the Russia divestiture and foreign currency translation.
- We continue to assume rising elasticities and the lapping of last year’s sizeable price increases, partially offset by the return to full commercial activity.
- Operating profit of $380-$390 million on an adjusted basis. This implies on-algorithm growth excluding the estimated impact of the WK Kellogg Co spin-off, as well as the Russia divestiture and foreign currency translation.
- This outlook also includes the shift of some brand investment from earlier in the year, in a return to full commercial activity.
- Earnings per share of $0.73-$0.76 on an adjusted basis, implying a modest decline versus the prior year, as the aforementioned operating profit growth is offset by continued year-on-year headwinds from higher interest rates and lower pension income.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023
+0.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.4%
Avg return
30 days after
49%
33 / 67 earnings
Positive
+8.9%
Q2 2019
Best reaction
-10.9%
Q3 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2025 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.7% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0% | -0.1% | -0.4% | |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0% | -0.9% | -0.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +0.3% | |
| Q2 2024 | +8.3% | +26.1% | +38.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | +6.2% | +8.2% | +5.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4% | +1.0% | +1.0% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.2% | +2.6% | +5.5% | |
| Q2 2023 | -2.8% | -4.8% | -10.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | -1.7% | -1.5% | -5.8% | |
| Q4 2022 | +0.7% | -0.0% | -5.0% | |
| Q3 2022 | -7.9% | -5.8% | -2.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | +1.5% | +1.7% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +7.2% | +7.5% | -0.2% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.5% | +4.6% | -3.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2021 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2020 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2020 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2020 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2019 | -7.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2019 | +4.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2019 | +8.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2018 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2018 | -10.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2018 | +5.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2017 | +4.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2017 | +7.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2016 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +5.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +5.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.1% | — | — |
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