NYSE$K
Kellanova · Q3 2020 earnings
Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Kellogg Company reported better-than-expected financial results and solid in-market performance across all four regions, leading to an increased full-year outlook amidst an uncertain business environment.
Kellogg Company reported a nearly 2% increase in net sales, driven by strong organic growth and elevated demand for at-home consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic. The company raised its full-year financial guidance due to better-than-expected results in the third quarter.
- Kellogg continued to execute well against its priorities during the global COVID-19 pandemic.
- Net sales growth was led by emerging markets and strong consumption in key developed markets.
- Significant increases in brand investment around the world aimed at further strengthening competitive positions.
- Strong cash generation enabled the Company to continue to enhance financial flexibility.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Kellanova · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.43B
Revenue by segment
Kellanova · $3.43B total across 4 segments · Q3 2020
- North America$2.06B—60.0%
- AMEA$582M—17.0%
- Europe$552M—16.1%
- Latin America$236M—6.9%
Forward guidance
Kellogg Company raised its full-year financial guidance on the strength of its third quarter results.
Tailwinds
- Organic net sales growth is now expected to finish 2020 at approximately 6% year on year, up from previous guidance of approximately 5%.
- Currency-neutral adjusted operating profit growth is now projected to grow approximately 2% year on year, an improvement from previous guidance of a decline of approximately (1)%, and still weighed down by the absence of businesses divested in July, 2019.
- Currency-neutral adjusted earnings per share for the full year is now estimated to increase by approximately 2% year on year, an improvement from previous guidance of a decline of about (1)%, and still weighed down by the absence of businesses divested in July, 2019.
- Net cash provided by operating activities is now expected to finish 2020 at $1.8 to $1.9 billion, well above the previous guidance range of $1.5-1.6 billion, with capital expenditure of approximately $0.5 billion.
- Cash flow is now expected to finish 2020 at $1.3 to $1.4 billion, a significant improvement from the previous guidance of approximately $1.0 billion.
Headwinds
- Excluded from this guidance are any significant supply chain or other prolonged market disruptions related to the pandemic or global economy.
- Guidance for operating profit excludes the impact of costs related to restructuring programs, mark-to-market adjustments, multi-employer pension plan withdrawal liabilities, and other items that could affect comparability, and foreign currency translation.
- Guidance for earnings per share excludes the impact of costs related to restructuring programs, mark-to-market adjustments , multi-employer pension plan withdrawal liabilities, the gain on the divestiture of selected cookies fruit snacks, pie crusts, and ice cream cone businesses, and other items that could affect comparability, and foreign currency translation.
- We are unable to reasonably estimate the potential full-year financial impact of mark-to-market adjustments because these impacts are dependent on future changes in market conditions (interest rates, return on assets, and commodity prices).
- Similarly, because of volatility in foreign exchange rates and shifts in country mix of our international earnings, we are unable to reasonably estimate the potential full-year financial impact of foreign currency translation.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports
+0.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.4%
Avg return
30 days after
49%
33 / 67 earnings
Positive
+8.9%
Q2 2019
Best reaction
-10.9%
Q3 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2025 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.7% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0% | -0.1% | -0.4% | |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0% | -0.9% | -0.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +0.3% | |
| Q2 2024 | +8.3% | +26.1% | +38.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | +6.2% | +8.2% | +5.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4% | +1.0% | +1.0% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.2% | +2.6% | +5.5% | |
| Q2 2023 | -2.8% | -4.8% | -10.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | -1.7% | -1.5% | -5.8% | |
| Q4 2022 | +0.7% | -0.0% | -5.0% | |
| Q3 2022 | -7.9% | -5.8% | -2.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | +1.5% | +1.7% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +7.2% | +7.5% | -0.2% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.5% | +4.6% | -3.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2021 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2020 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2020 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2020 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2019 | -7.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2019 | +4.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2019 | +8.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2018 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2018 | -10.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2018 | +5.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2017 | +4.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2017 | +7.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2017 | +3.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2016 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2016 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +5.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +5.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.1% | — | — |
Discussion
Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.
Join the conversation
Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.
Sign in with eToro