NYSE$K

Kellanova · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kellanova had a strong performance in Q2 2024, raising its full-year outlook.

Kellanova reported strong second quarter results with organic growth within its long-term target range. Double-digit operating profit and earnings per share growth were sustained. The company raised its full-year 2024 guidance for organic net sales growth, adjusted-basis operating profit, adjusted-basis earnings per share, net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow.

  • Net sales in the second quarter were negatively impacted by adverse currency translation and the 2023 divestiture of its business in Russia, the Company's organic-basis growth remained within its long-term target range.
  • Double-digit operating profit growth was sustained, as the Company continued to improve profit margins faster than expected.
  • Earnings per share again increased at a double-digit rate, reflecting the higher operating profit.
  • On the strength of its first-half results, the Company raised its full-year 2024 guidance for organic net sales growth, adjusted-basis operating profit, adjusted-basis earnings per share, net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.19B

Previous: $4.04B-21.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.01

Previous: $1.25-19.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$142M

Previous: $136M-204.4%
Net Income

$344M

Previous: $362M-5.0%
Operating Income

$493M

Previous: $509M-3.1%
Gross Profit

$1.18B

Previous: $1.33B-11.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$20M

Previous: $21M-4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Kellanova · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.19B

Q2 2024-21%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kellanova · $3.94B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $2.33B-0.4%
  • AMEA
    $657M-14.3%
  • Europe
    $616M+9.6%
  • Latin America
    $338M+19.4%

Forward guidance

The Company raised its financial guidance for 2024, reflecting its stronger-than-anticipated first-half results.

Tailwinds

  • Organic-basis net sales growth guidance is raised to 3.5% or better, from its previous guidance of approximately 3% or better. This growth, against a recast 2023, remains within the Company's long-term target range, and will continue to be led by the Company's priority snacks brands and emerging markets.
  • Adjusted-basis operating profit guidance range is raised and narrowed to approximately $1,875-1,900 million, from previous guidance of approximately $1,850-1,900 million. This guidance implies strong currency-neutral growth against a recast 2023.
  • Adjusted-basis earnings per share guidance range is raised to approximately $3.65-3.75, from approximately $3.55-3.65, reflecting the strength of the first-half operating profit and other income.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities is now forecast to be above $1.7 billion, with capital expenditure of about $0.7 billion, which is elevated this year for the expansion of Pringles capacity in emerging markets.
  • As a result, free cash flow is now expected to be above $1.0 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-10.9%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025
Q3 2025+0.1%+0.2%+0.7%
Q2 2025-0.0%-0.1%-0.4%
Q1 2025-0.0%-0.9%-0.6%
Q4 2024+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%
Q3 2024-0.3%+0.0%+0.3%
Q2 2024+8.3%+26.1%+38.3%
Q1 2024+6.2%+8.2%+5.8%
Q4 2023-0.4%+1.0%+1.0%
Q3 2023+2.2%+2.6%+5.5%
Q2 2023-2.8%-4.8%-10.2%
Q1 2023-1.7%-1.5%-5.8%
Q4 2022+0.7%-0.0%-5.0%
Q3 2022-7.9%-5.8%-2.6%
Q2 2022+1.5%+1.7%-1.7%
Q1 2022+7.2%+7.5%-0.2%
Q4 2021+3.5%+4.6%-3.1%
Q3 2021-1.2%
Q2 2021+1.9%
Q1 2021+6.2%
Q4 2020-1.3%
Q3 2020-0.9%
Q2 2020-2.7%
Q1 2020-0.1%
Q4 2019-7.5%
Q3 2019+4.6%
Q2 2019+8.9%
Q1 2019-4.9%
Q4 2018-6.4%
Q3 2018-10.9%
Q2 2018+3.9%
Q1 2018+5.5%
Q4 2017+4.9%
Q3 2017+7.0%
Q2 2017+3.2%
Q1 2017+2.5%
Q4 2016+3.4%
Q3 2016-0.1%
Q2 2016+2.0%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015+5.8%
Q3 2015-2.7%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q1 2015-1.8%
Q4 2014-4.7%
Q3 2014+2.4%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013+1.7%
Q3 2013+1.3%
Q2 2013-1.5%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q3 2012+2.6%
Q2 2012+5.3%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q2 2011-1.4%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q1 2010+1.0%
Q4 2007-0.3%
Q4 2010-0.3%
Q3 2009+0.8%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010-0.1%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q2 2009-0.1%

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