NYSE$ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

ITW delivered a solid financial performance with revenue of $3.9 billion and EPS of $2.54.

ITW reported Q4 2024 results, with revenue of $3.9 billion, a decrease of 1.3%. GAAP EPS increased by 7% to $2.54. The company achieved a record operating margin of 26.2% and generated $1 billion in free cash flow, a 10% increase. ITW initiates 2025 guidance including GAAP EPS in the range of $10.15 to $10.55 per share.

  • Revenue decreased by 1.3% to $3.9 billion, with organic revenue declining 0.5%.
  • GAAP EPS increased by 7% to $2.54.
  • Operating margin reached a record 26.2%, an increase of 140 bps.
  • Free cash flow grew by 10% to $1.0 billion, with a conversion rate of 133%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.93B

Previous: $3.98B-1.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.54

Previous: $2.42+5.0%
Organic revenue growth

-0.5%

Previous: -0.5%+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$118M

Previous: $131M-190.1%
Net Income

$750M

Previous: $717M+4.6%
Operating Income

$1.03B

Previous: $988M+4.4%
Gross Profit

$1.71B

Previous: $1.67B+2.4%

Revenue & EPS history

ITW · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.93B

Q4 2024-1.3%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ITW · $4.04B total across 7 segments · Q3 2023

  • Automotive OEM
    $799M+6.1%
  • Test & Measurement
    $698M-2.4%
  • Food Equipment
    $678M+7.1%
  • Construction Products
    $522M-0.9%
  • Welding
    $468M-1.9%
  • Polymers & Fluids
    $458M-3.2%
  • Specialty Products
    $414M-5.5%

Forward guidance

The company is initiating 2025 guidance including GAAP EPS in the range of $10.15 to $10.55 per share which includes a foreign currency translation headwind of $0.30. The company projects above-market organic growth of zero to two percent based on current levels of demand, including an expected PLS reduction of approximately one percentage point.

Tailwinds

  • Above-market organic growth of 0 to 2% based on current levels of demand
  • Organic growth of 1 to 3% excluding PLS reduction of approximately 1%-point
  • Enterprise initiatives contributing approximately 100 bps to margin improvement
  • Free cash flow is projected to be greater than 100 percent of net income
  • The company plans to repurchase approximately $1.5 billion of its own shares

Headwinds

  • GAAP EPS of $10.15 to $10.55 including foreign currency translation headwind of $0.30
  • Foreign currency translation is expected to reduce revenue by three percent, resulting in a projected total revenue decline of one to three percent.
  • PLS reduction of approximately one percentage point
  • Projected effective tax rate is 24 to 24.5 percent.
  • Global supply chain challenges, expected impact of inflation including raw and specialty material inflation and fluctuating interest rates

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

36 / 73 earnings

Positive

+6.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-7.7%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-4.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025+4.5%+11.1%+6.9%
Q3 2025-4.5%-6.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025+0.9%+0.9%+4.3%
Q1 2025-0.8%-0.4%+1.4%
Q4 2024-0.2%+1.2%+7.8%
Q3 2024+2.0%+3.1%+8.4%
Q2 2024-0.3%-1.7%+1.0%
Q1 2024-2.8%-2.1%-4.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-2.0%-0.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+0.4%+8.2%
Q2 2023-5.1%-6.3%-6.1%
Q1 2023-5.5%-6.3%-9.7%
Q4 2022+3.0%-0.1%-0.3%
Q3 2022+3.4%+6.6%+13.9%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.6%-4.9%
Q1 2022+6.5%+4.6%+4.6%
Q4 2021-3.0%-4.4%-10.1%
Q3 2021+2.6%+3.6%+5.6%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.4%+1.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.1%+0.4%
Q4 2020+3.6%+4.0%+6.6%
Q3 2020-0.9%-4.5%+1.1%
Q2 2020+0.1%+1.5%+8.1%
Q1 2020+0.3%+1.7%+12.9%
Q4 2019-0.8%+4.4%-5.7%
Q3 2019+6.1%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%-2.8%-7.7%
Q1 2019-2.1%-0.8%-7.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.2%+5.2%
Q3 2018-3.1%-0.6%+6.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-4.5%-7.3%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2017+1.0%+2.2%-5.3%
Q3 2017+2.2%+2.6%+3.0%
Q2 2017-3.8%-4.4%-7.3%
Q1 2017+3.3%+2.4%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.9%+1.4%+3.6%
Q3 2016-2.3%-3.4%+7.1%
Q2 2016+2.6%+3.3%+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+5.3%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015-3.0%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+3.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+5.6%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012+4.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011-7.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.1%
Q1 2009+4.1%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q2 2009-0.9%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q2 2008-0.9%

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