NYSE$ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ITW's Q4 2023 performance remained stable with flat revenue and a strong operating margin, driven by enterprise initiatives.

ITW reported fourth-quarter revenue of $4.0 billion, essentially flat year-over-year, with operating income reaching a record $988 million. GAAP EPS was $2.38, including a negative impact from Argentina's currency devaluation. The company's operating margin was 24.8%, boosted by enterprise initiatives.

  • Revenue remained essentially flat at $4.0 billion.
  • Operating margin reached 24.8%, with enterprise initiatives contributing 150 bps.
  • GAAP EPS was $2.38, which included a negative impact of $(0.04) from Argentina's currency devaluation.
  • Free cash flow grew 39 percent to a record $908 million, with a conversion of 127 percent to net income.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.98B

Previous: $3.97B+0.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.42

Previous: $2.34+3.4%
Organic revenue growth

-0.5%

Previous: 12.0%-104.2%
Capital Expenditures

$131M

Previous: $156M-16.0%
Net Income

$717M

Previous: $907M-20.9%
Operating Income

$988M

Previous: $986M+0.2%
Gross Profit

$1.67B

Previous: $1.66B+0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$17M

Previous: $15M+13.3%

Revenue & EPS history

ITW · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.98B

Q4 2023+0.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ITW · $4.04B total across 7 segments · Q3 2023

  • Automotive OEM
    $799M+6.1%
  • Test & Measurement
    $698M-2.4%
  • Food Equipment
    $678M+7.1%
  • Construction Products
    $522M-0.9%
  • Welding
    $468M-1.9%
  • Polymers & Fluids
    $458M-3.2%
  • Specialty Products
    $414M-5.5%

Forward guidance

The company is initiating 2024 guidance including GAAP EPS in the range of $10.00 to $10.40 per share and revenue growth of two to four percent based on current levels of demand. Organic growth is projected to be one to three percent with foreign currency translation at current exchange rates adding approximately one percent to revenue. Operating margin is projected to be in the range of 25.5 to 26.5 percent, with enterprise initiatives contributing approximately 100 basis points. Free cash flow is expected to be greater than 100 percent of net income and the company plans to repurchase approximately $1.5 billion of its own shares. The projected effective tax rate is in the range of 24 to 24.5 percent.

Tailwinds

  • GAAP EPS of $10.00 to $10.40
  • Revenue growth of 2 to 4%
  • Organic growth of 1 to 3%
  • Operating margin of 25.5 to 26.5%
  • Free cash flow is expected to be greater than 100 percent of net income

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

36 / 73 earnings

Positive

+6.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-7.7%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-4.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025+4.5%+11.1%+6.9%
Q3 2025-4.5%-6.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025+0.9%+0.9%+4.3%
Q1 2025-0.8%-0.4%+1.4%
Q4 2024-0.2%+1.2%+7.8%
Q3 2024+2.0%+3.1%+8.4%
Q2 2024-0.3%-1.7%+1.0%
Q1 2024-2.8%-2.1%-4.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-2.0%-0.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+0.4%+8.2%
Q2 2023-5.1%-6.3%-6.1%
Q1 2023-5.5%-6.3%-9.7%
Q4 2022+3.0%-0.1%-0.3%
Q3 2022+3.4%+6.6%+13.9%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.6%-4.9%
Q1 2022+6.5%+4.6%+4.6%
Q4 2021-3.0%-4.4%-10.1%
Q3 2021+2.6%+3.6%+5.6%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.4%+1.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.1%+0.4%
Q4 2020+3.6%+4.0%+6.6%
Q3 2020-0.9%-4.5%+1.1%
Q2 2020+0.1%+1.5%+8.1%
Q1 2020+0.3%+1.7%+12.9%
Q4 2019-0.8%+4.4%-5.7%
Q3 2019+6.1%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%-2.8%-7.7%
Q1 2019-2.1%-0.8%-7.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.2%+5.2%
Q3 2018-3.1%-0.6%+6.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-4.5%-7.3%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2017+1.0%+2.2%-5.3%
Q3 2017+2.2%+2.6%+3.0%
Q2 2017-3.8%-4.4%-7.3%
Q1 2017+3.3%+2.4%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.9%+1.4%+3.6%
Q3 2016-2.3%-3.4%+7.1%
Q2 2016+2.6%+3.3%+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+5.3%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015-3.0%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+3.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+5.6%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012+4.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011-7.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.1%
Q1 2009+4.1%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q2 2009-0.9%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q2 2008-0.9%

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