NYSE$ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ITW's Q2 2023 results reflected strong operational execution and financial performance.

ITW reported a 2% increase in revenue to $4.1 billion with 3% organic growth. Operating income grew by 9% to a record $1.01 billion, and operating margin improved by 170 bps to 24.8%. GAAP EPS increased by 5% to a record $2.48, and the company raised its full-year GAAP EPS guidance by $0.10 to a range of $9.55 to $9.95 per share.

  • Revenue increased by 2% to $4.1 billion, with organic growth of 3%.
  • Operating income reached a record $1.01 billion, a 9% increase.
  • Operating margin expanded by 170 bps to 24.8%.
  • GAAP EPS increased by 5% to a record $2.48, excluding one-time tax items, EPS increased 9%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.07B

Previous: $4.01B+1.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.41

Previous: $2.21+9.0%
Organic revenue growth

3.0%

Previous: 10.0%-70.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$198M

Previous: -$155M-27.7%
Free Cash Flow

$556M

Previous: $583M-4.6%
Net Income

$754M

Previous: $738M+2.2%
Operating Income

$1.01B

Previous: $926M+9.1%
Gross Profit

$1.73B

Previous: $1.62B+6.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$922M

Previous: $879M+4.9%
Total Assets

$15.7B

Previous: $15.7B-0.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $17M+5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ITW · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.07B

Q2 2023+1.6%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ITW · $4.08B total across 7 segments · Q2 2023

  • Automotive OEM
    $826M+16.2%
  • Test & Measurement
    $700M+0.6%
  • Food Equipment
    $654M+6.5%
  • Construction Products
    $526M-6.9%
  • Welding
    $490M+0.8%
  • Polymers & Fluids
    $459M-7.5%
  • Specialty Products
    $423M-5.4%

Forward guidance

ITW is raising its full-year GAAP EPS guidance by $0.10 to $9.55 to $9.95 per share. The company is projecting organic growth of three to five percent. Divestitures are expected to reduce revenue by one percent resulting in total revenue growth of two to four percent. Operating margin is projected to be in the range of 24.5 to 25.5 percent, with enterprise initiatives contributing more than 100 basis points. Free cash flow is projected to be greater than 100 percent of net income and the company plans to repurchase approximately $1.5 billion of its own shares. The expected tax rate is in the range of 22.5 to 23.5 percent.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year GAAP EPS guidance raised by $0.10 to $9.55-$9.95 per share.
  • Organic growth projected at 3-5%.
  • Operating margin projected in the range of 24.5-25.5%.
  • Enterprise initiatives expected to contribute more than 100 basis points to operating margin.
  • Free cash flow projected to be greater than 100% of net income.

Headwinds

  • Divestitures are expected to reduce revenue by 1%.
  • Customer and channel inventory normalization will continue to be a factor for the next several quarters.
  • Stabilizing supply chain performance impacted organic growth by 1 to 1.5 percent in the quarter.
  • Expected tax rate is in the range of 22.5 to 23.5 percent.
  • Raw material inflation and rising interest rates

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

36 / 73 earnings

Positive

+6.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-7.7%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-4.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025+4.5%+11.1%+6.9%
Q3 2025-4.5%-6.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025+0.9%+0.9%+4.3%
Q1 2025-0.8%-0.4%+1.4%
Q4 2024-0.2%+1.2%+7.8%
Q3 2024+2.0%+3.1%+8.4%
Q2 2024-0.3%-1.7%+1.0%
Q1 2024-2.8%-2.1%-4.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-2.0%-0.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+0.4%+8.2%
Q2 2023-5.1%-6.3%-6.1%
Q1 2023-5.5%-6.3%-9.7%
Q4 2022+3.0%-0.1%-0.3%
Q3 2022+3.4%+6.6%+13.9%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.6%-4.9%
Q1 2022+6.5%+4.6%+4.6%
Q4 2021-3.0%-4.4%-10.1%
Q3 2021+2.6%+3.6%+5.6%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.4%+1.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.1%+0.4%
Q4 2020+3.6%+4.0%+6.6%
Q3 2020-0.9%-4.5%+1.1%
Q2 2020+0.1%+1.5%+8.1%
Q1 2020+0.3%+1.7%+12.9%
Q4 2019-0.8%+4.4%-5.7%
Q3 2019+6.1%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%-2.8%-7.7%
Q1 2019-2.1%-0.8%-7.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.2%+5.2%
Q3 2018-3.1%-0.6%+6.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-4.5%-7.3%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2017+1.0%+2.2%-5.3%
Q3 2017+2.2%+2.6%+3.0%
Q2 2017-3.8%-4.4%-7.3%
Q1 2017+3.3%+2.4%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.9%+1.4%+3.6%
Q3 2016-2.3%-3.4%+7.1%
Q2 2016+2.6%+3.3%+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+5.3%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015-3.0%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+3.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+5.6%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012+4.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011-7.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.1%
Q1 2009+4.1%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q2 2009-0.9%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q2 2008-0.9%

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