NYSE$ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ITW reported strong Q4 2022 results, driven by double-digit organic growth and margin improvement.

ITW's Q4 2022 saw revenue increase by 8% to $4.0 billion, with organic growth of 12%. Operating income rose by 18% to $986 million, resulting in an operating margin of 24.8%. GAAP EPS reached a record $2.95, including $0.61 from divestiture gains, while EPS excluding these gains was $2.34, a 21% increase.

  • Revenue increased by 8% to $4.0 billion, with organic growth of 12%.
  • Operating income reached a record $986 million, an 18% increase.
  • Operating margin improved by 210 bps to 24.8%.
  • GAAP EPS was $2.95, including $0.61 of divestiture gains; excluding these gains, EPS increased by 21% to $2.34.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.97B

Previous: $3.68B+7.9%
EPS (adj)

$2.34

Previous: $1.95+20.0%
Organic revenue growth

12.0%

Previous: 5.3%+126.4%
Operating margin

24.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$156M

Previous: $79M+97.5%
Free Cash Flow

$655M

Previous: $695M-5.8%
Net Income

$907M

Previous: $609M+48.9%
Operating Income

$986M

Previous: $834M+18.2%
Gross Profit

$1.66B

Previous: $1.49B+11.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$708M

Previous: $1.53B-53.6%
Total Assets

$15.4B

Previous: $16.1B-4.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$15M

Previous: $12M+25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ITW · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.97B

Q4 2022+7.9%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ITW · $3.98B total across 7 segments · Q4 2022

  • Automotive OEM
    $745M+12.4%
  • Test & Measurement
    $732M+15.1%
  • Food Equipment
    $631M+10.9%
  • Welding
    $481M+14.0%
  • Construction Products
    $470M-2.1%
  • Specialty Products
    $462M-1.1%
  • Polymers & Fluids
    $455M+1.8%

Forward guidance

The company is initiating 2023 guidance including GAAP EPS in the range of $9.40 to $9.80 per share and organic growth of three to five percent based on current levels of demand and anticipated further slowing in certain end markets.

Tailwinds

  • GAAP EPS in the range of $9.40 to $9.80 per share
  • Organic growth of three to five percent
  • Operating margin is projected to be in the range of 24.5 to 25.5 percent
  • Free cash flow is expected to be greater than 100 percent of net income
  • The company plans to repurchase approximately $1.5 billion of its own shares

Headwinds

  • Foreign currency translation is expected to reduce revenue by approximately 0.75 percent
  • Divestitures are expected to reduce revenue by approximately 0.75 percent
  • Total revenue growth of 1.5 to 3.5 percent
  • Projected effective tax rate is approximately 24 percent
  • Anticipated further slowing in certain end markets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

36 / 73 earnings

Positive

+6.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-7.7%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-4.2%-7.0%
Q4 2025+4.5%+11.1%+6.9%
Q3 2025-4.5%-6.0%-3.8%
Q2 2025+0.9%+0.9%+4.3%
Q1 2025-0.8%-0.4%+1.4%
Q4 2024-0.2%+1.2%+7.8%
Q3 2024+2.0%+3.1%+8.4%
Q2 2024-0.3%-1.7%+1.0%
Q1 2024-2.8%-2.1%-4.6%
Q4 2023-1.9%-2.0%-0.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+0.4%+8.2%
Q2 2023-5.1%-6.3%-6.1%
Q1 2023-5.5%-6.3%-9.7%
Q4 2022+3.0%-0.1%-0.3%
Q3 2022+3.4%+6.6%+13.9%
Q2 2022+0.6%+1.6%-4.9%
Q1 2022+6.5%+4.6%+4.6%
Q4 2021-3.0%-4.4%-10.1%
Q3 2021+2.6%+3.6%+5.6%
Q2 2021-1.3%-0.4%+1.0%
Q1 2021+1.2%+2.1%+0.4%
Q4 2020+3.6%+4.0%+6.6%
Q3 2020-0.9%-4.5%+1.1%
Q2 2020+0.1%+1.5%+8.1%
Q1 2020+0.3%+1.7%+12.9%
Q4 2019-0.8%+4.4%-5.7%
Q3 2019+6.1%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%-2.8%-7.7%
Q1 2019-2.1%-0.8%-7.1%
Q4 2018+0.8%+0.2%+5.2%
Q3 2018-3.1%-0.6%+6.0%
Q2 2018-5.9%-4.5%-7.3%
Q1 2018-6.0%-5.0%-2.8%
Q4 2017+1.0%+2.2%-5.3%
Q3 2017+2.2%+2.6%+3.0%
Q2 2017-3.8%-4.4%-7.3%
Q1 2017+3.3%+2.4%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.9%+1.4%+3.6%
Q3 2016-2.3%-3.4%+7.1%
Q2 2016+2.6%+3.3%+7.7%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+5.3%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015-3.0%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014-1.7%
Q3 2014+3.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.9%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+5.6%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012+4.2%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011-7.7%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.1%
Q1 2009+4.1%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q3 2008-1.3%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q2 2009-0.9%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q2 2008-0.9%

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