NYSE$IBM

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

IBM's Q4 2023 earnings were released with revenue growth across all segments, driven by hybrid cloud and AI adoption, alongside strong margin expansion and cash generation.

IBM reported a solid Q4 2023 with revenue up 4% to $17.4 billion. The company's growth was broad-based across all segments, driven by hybrid cloud and AI offerings. IBM exceeded its free cash flow objective for the year and expects revenue performance in line with its mid-single digit model and about $12 billion in free cash flow for 2024.

  • Revenue reached $17.4 billion, reflecting a 4% increase (3% at constant currency).
  • Software revenue increased by 3% (2% at constant currency).
  • Consulting revenue grew by 6% (5% at constant currency).
  • Infrastructure revenue was up by 3% (2% at constant currency).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$17.4B

Previous: $16.7B+4.1%
EPS (adj)

$3.87

Previous: $3.60+7.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$543M

Previous: $409M-232.8%
Net Income

$3.29B

Previous: $2.71B+21.3%
Operating Income

$3.76B

Previous: $3.8B-1.1%
Gross Profit

$10.3B

Previous: $9.63B+6.6%
R&D Expense

$1.75B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$290M

Previous: $248M+16.9%

Revenue & EPS history

IBM · Revenue · Quarterly

$17.4B

Q4 2023+4.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

IBM anticipates revenue growth in line with its mid-single digit model and approximately $12 billion in free cash flow for the full year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth consistent with mid-single digit model.
  • Focus on hybrid cloud and AI offerings driving growth.
  • Strong year-end cash position with $13.5 billion in cash and marketable securities.
  • Return value to shareholders through dividends.
  • Continued investment in R&D and talent.

Headwinds

  • Currency is expected to be about a one-point headwind to revenue growth
  • Risk of downturn in economic environment and client spending budgets.
  • Potential for failure of innovation initiatives.
  • Damage to company's reputation could adversely affect results.
  • Cybersecurity and data privacy considerations pose ongoing risks.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

30 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q3 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-7.5%+0.8%
Q4 2025-3.0%+0.1%-18.3%
Q3 2025+4.0%+8.7%+3.5%
Q2 2025+1.1%+2.3%+6.9%
Q1 2025-6.6%-2.5%+5.4%
Q4 2024+13.0%+15.7%+10.4%
Q3 2024-6.0%-8.3%-4.0%
Q2 2024+4.3%+4.0%+6.5%
Q1 2024-7.3%-8.1%-6.2%
Q4 2023+9.5%+7.6%+6.8%
Q3 2023+4.3%+3.5%+12.6%
Q2 2023+2.2%+3.1%+4.5%
Q1 2023-1.1%-1.9%-0.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-4.4%-7.7%
Q3 2022+4.4%+7.9%+20.1%
Q2 2022-6.5%-8.3%-1.5%
Q1 2022+9.6%+9.6%+2.8%
Q4 2021+5.2%+4.0%-5.6%
Q3 2021-9.6%-10.1%-14.5%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.8%+0.4%
Q1 2021+3.4%+6.6%+7.2%
Q4 2020-8.8%-5.8%-8.5%
Q3 2020-6.8%-7.9%-7.3%
Q2 2020+0.8%+0.5%-1.0%
Q1 2020-2.8%+3.8%+1.0%
Q4 2019+4.0%+1.6%+9.3%
Q3 2019-6.1%-7.3%-6.0%
Q2 2019+4.3%+4.3%-6.8%
Q1 2019-3.3%-2.5%-5.6%
Q4 2018+7.3%+8.2%+11.3%
Q3 2018-5.0%-8.5%-14.0%
Q2 2018+4.0%+1.5%+1.8%
Q1 2018-5.8%-8.2%-8.5%
Q4 2017-3.7%-1.4%-7.4%
Q3 2017+8.6%+10.4%+1.6%
Q2 2017-3.6%-3.9%-8.0%
Q1 2017-5.5%-6.3%-11.9%
Q4 2016+2.2%+5.5%+8.3%
Q3 2016-2.4%-3.1%+3.1%
Q2 2016-0.1%+1.4%+0.4%
Q1 2016-5.1%
Q4 2015-6.3%
Q3 2015-6.5%
Q2 2015-5.5%
Q1 2015+2.2%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014-10.3%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-3.6%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-5.3%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-9.4%
Q4 2012+5.3%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012+6.4%
Q1 2012-1.3%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q2 2010-2.8%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2009-0.5%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q4 2007+0.6%
Q3 2008+1.2%
Q3 2009+1.2%
Q2 2009-0.3%
Q2 2008-0.3%
Q4 2008-0.3%

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