NYSE$IBM

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

IBM's third-quarter performance was driven by double-digit growth in Software and expanded gross profit margin. The company's generative AI book of business reached over $3 billion. IBM expects fourth-quarter constant currency revenue growth to be consistent with the third quarter and anticipates delivering over $12 billion in free cash flow for the year.

IBM's third-quarter 2024 results showed strong performance, led by double-digit growth in Software. The company's generative AI book of business now exceeds $3 billion, and they are confident in achieving over $12 billion in free cash flow for the year.

  • Software revenue increased by 10 percent.
  • Gross Profit Margin (GAAP) increased by 190 basis points to 56.3 percent.
  • Free cash flow was $2.1 billion for the quarter and $6.6 billion year-to-date.
  • Generative AI book of business reached more than $3 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$15B

Previous: $14.8B+1.5%
EPS

-$0.36

Previous: $2.20-116.4%
Gross Profit Margin

56.3%

No prior period
Pre-tax Income Margin

-5.4%

No prior period
Net Cash from Operating Activities

$2.88B

No prior period
Dividends Paid

$1.54B

No prior period
Acquisitions, net of cash acquired

$2.51B

No prior period
Operating Gross Profit Margin

57.5%

No prior period
Operating Pre-tax Income Margin

16.6%

No prior period
Effective Tax Rate

60.4%

No prior period
Operating Effective Tax Rate

13.4%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$3.8B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$745M

Previous: -$945M+21.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.08B

Previous: $759M-241.6%
Net Income

-$330M

Previous: $1.7B-119.4%
Operating Income

-$546M

Previous: $577M-194.6%
Gross Profit

$8.42B

Previous: $8.02B+4.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.2B

Previous: $7.26B+81.9%
Total Assets

$134B

Previous: $129B+3.9%
R&D Expense

$1.88B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$330M

Previous: $287M+15.0%

Revenue & EPS history

IBM · Revenue · Quarterly

$15B

Q3 2024+1.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

IBM expects fourth-quarter constant currency revenue growth to be consistent with the third quarter and continues to expect more than $12 billion in free cash flow for the full year.

Tailwinds

  • Fourth-quarter constant currency revenue growth expected to be consistent with the third quarter.
  • Continued strength in Software is anticipated.
  • Currency is expected to be about a half-point headwind to revenue growth in the quarter
  • Expects to deliver more than $12 billion in free cash flow for the year.

Headwinds

  • Currency is expected to be about a half-point headwind to revenue growth in the quarter

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

30 / 73 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q3 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-7.5%+0.8%
Q4 2025-3.0%+0.1%-18.3%
Q3 2025+4.0%+8.7%+3.5%
Q2 2025+1.1%+2.3%+6.9%
Q1 2025-6.6%-2.5%+5.4%
Q4 2024+13.0%+15.7%+10.4%
Q3 2024-6.0%-8.3%-4.0%
Q2 2024+4.3%+4.0%+6.5%
Q1 2024-7.3%-8.1%-6.2%
Q4 2023+9.5%+7.6%+6.8%
Q3 2023+4.3%+3.5%+12.6%
Q2 2023+2.2%+3.1%+4.5%
Q1 2023-1.1%-1.9%-0.4%
Q4 2022-5.0%-4.4%-7.7%
Q3 2022+4.4%+7.9%+20.1%
Q2 2022-6.5%-8.3%-1.5%
Q1 2022+9.6%+9.6%+2.8%
Q4 2021+5.2%+4.0%-5.6%
Q3 2021-9.6%-10.1%-14.5%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.8%+0.4%
Q1 2021+3.4%+6.6%+7.2%
Q4 2020-8.8%-5.8%-8.5%
Q3 2020-6.8%-7.9%-7.3%
Q2 2020+0.8%+0.5%-1.0%
Q1 2020-2.8%+3.8%+1.0%
Q4 2019+4.0%+1.6%+9.3%
Q3 2019-6.1%-7.3%-6.0%
Q2 2019+4.3%+4.3%-6.8%
Q1 2019-3.3%-2.5%-5.6%
Q4 2018+7.3%+8.2%+11.3%
Q3 2018-5.0%-8.5%-14.0%
Q2 2018+4.0%+1.5%+1.8%
Q1 2018-5.8%-8.2%-8.5%
Q4 2017-3.7%-1.4%-7.4%
Q3 2017+8.6%+10.4%+1.6%
Q2 2017-3.6%-3.9%-8.0%
Q1 2017-5.5%-6.3%-11.9%
Q4 2016+2.2%+5.5%+8.3%
Q3 2016-2.4%-3.1%+3.1%
Q2 2016-0.1%+1.4%+0.4%
Q1 2016-5.1%
Q4 2015-6.3%
Q3 2015-6.5%
Q2 2015-5.5%
Q1 2015+2.2%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014-10.3%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-3.6%
Q4 2013-4.1%
Q3 2013-5.3%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-9.4%
Q4 2012+5.3%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012+6.4%
Q1 2012-1.3%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q2 2010-2.8%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2009-0.5%
Q1 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009+0.6%
Q4 2007+0.6%
Q3 2008+1.2%
Q3 2009+1.2%
Q2 2009-0.3%
Q2 2008-0.3%
Q4 2008-0.3%

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