NYSE$HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Arconic experienced a sharp year-over-year improvement in earnings and operational cash flows.

Arconic Inc. reported fourth quarter revenues of $3.4 billion, a decrease of 2% year over year. Net income was $309 million, or $0.70 per share, compared to $218 million, or $0.44 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2018. Net income excluding special items was $234 million, or $0.53 per share, compared to $162 million, or $0.33 per share, in the fourth quarter 2018.

  • Revenue of $3.4 billion, down 2% year over year; organic revenue up 1% year over year
  • Net income of $309 million, or $0.70 per share
  • Net income excluding special items of $234 million, or $0.53 per share
  • Operating income of $416 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.4B

Previous: $3.47B-2.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.53

Previous: $0.33+60.6%
Capital Expenditures

$171M

Previous: $271M-36.9%
Free Cash Flow

$335M

Previous: $155M+116.1%
Net Income

$309M

Previous: $218M+41.7%
Operating Income

$416M

Previous: $323M+28.8%
Gross Profit

$731M

Previous: $627M+16.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.65B

Previous: $2.28B-27.6%
Total Assets

$17.6B

Previous: $18.7B-6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$78M

Previous: $50M+56.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Howmet Aerospace · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.4B

Q4 2019-2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Howmet Aerospace · $1.66B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Engine Products
    $798M+16.8%
  • Fastening Systems
    $348M+19.6%
  • Forged Wheels
    $285M+7.1%
  • Engineered Structures
    $227M+17.6%

Forward guidance

Arconic is providing the following 2020 guidance: Full Year 2020 Revenue $13.9-$14.2 billion, Earnings Per Share Excluding Special Items* $2.22-$2.42, Adjusted Free Cash Flow* $800-$900 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

43 / 72 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+6.3%+4.0%-1.7%
Q1 2026+2.8%+4.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025-0.8%+0.8%+0.5%
Q2 2025-6.4%-6.7%-9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+12.4%+22.6%
Q4 2024-0.0%+6.7%-1.2%
Q3 2024+8.9%+12.3%+15.8%
Q2 2024+15.5%+8.8%+17.0%
Q4 2023+7.7%+6.8%+11.3%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.9%+18.3%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.1%-3.3%
Q1 2023+0.9%-0.7%-1.3%
Q4 2022+5.7%+4.7%-1.5%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-0.5%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2022+8.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2021+2.8%+3.8%+7.1%
Q3 2021+9.8%+8.7%-4.5%
Q2 2021-4.1%-4.4%-4.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+0.2%+8.8%
Q4 2020+4.7%+6.2%+16.3%
Q3 2020+22.0%+18.6%+35.0%
Q2 2020+5.5%+13.7%+10.1%
Q1 2020-3.8%+5.6%+30.0%
Q4 2019+8.1%+2.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+2.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q2 2019-3.3%+3.5%+6.1%
Q1 2019+3.7%+8.3%+6.3%
Q4 2018-1.1%-7.0%-1.7%
Q3 2018+5.8%+10.1%+11.0%
Q2 2018+2.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q1 2018-21.2%-23.3%-19.3%
Q4 2017-13.2%-15.3%-15.4%
Q3 2017-10.5%-9.4%-12.6%
Q2 2017+2.8%-1.0%+1.4%
Q1 2017+5.4%+4.7%+4.3%
Q4 2016+12.4%+15.1%+26.8%
Q3 2016+6.0%+9.6%+25.2%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-2.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013+0.9%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-2.5%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011+4.7%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010-4.8%
Q1 2009+2.9%
Q1 2010+2.1%
Q4 2007-0.5%
Q3 2008-5.4%
Q3 2009-5.4%
Q2 2009+8.0%
Q2 2008+8.0%
Q4 2008+8.0%

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