NYSE$HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Howmet Aerospace's third quarter earnings increased due to growth in commercial aerospace market and share repurchases

Howmet Aerospace reported Q3 2022 revenues of $1.43 billion, up 12% year over year, driven by growth in the commercial aerospace market. Net income was $80 million, or $0.19 per share, compared to $27 million, or $0.06 per share, in Q3 2021. Net income excluding special items was $152 million, or $0.36 per share, versus $120 million, or $0.27 per share, in Q3 2021.

  • Revenue of $1.43 billion, up 12% year over year, driven by Commercial Aerospace, up 23% YoY
  • Net income of $80 million, or $0.19 per share, versus $27 million, or $0.06 per share, in the third quarter 2021
  • Net income excluding special items of $152 million, or $0.36 per share, versus $120 million, or $0.27 per share, in the third quarter 2021
  • Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items of $323 million, up 11% year over year

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.43B

Previous: $1.28B+11.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.27+33.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$323M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$42M

Previous: -$47M+10.6%
Free Cash Flow

$38M

Previous: -$20M+290.0%
Net Income

$80M

Previous: $27M+196.3%
Operating Income

$228M

Previous: $205M+11.2%
Gross Profit

-$1.06B

Previous: -$928M-13.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$453M

Previous: $724M-37.4%
Total Assets

$9.93B

Previous: $10.4B-4.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$14M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Howmet Aerospace · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.43B

Q3 2022+11.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Howmet Aerospace · $1.43B total across 4 segments · Q3 2022

  • Engine Products
    $683M+14.0%
  • Fastening Systems
    $291M+14.6%
  • Forged Wheels
    $266M+15.2%
  • Engineered Structures
    $193M-3.0%

Forward guidance

The company expects 2023 revenue growth versus 2022 to be up approximately 10%, plus or minus 2%.

Tailwinds

  • Expect commercial aerospace end market to grow at above-trend rates for the next several years.
  • Defense aerospace market should return to growth starting in the middle of 2023.
  • Company's balance sheet remains strong.
  • Company is positioned to continue generating strong cash flows ahead.
  • Company doubled the quarterly dividend on common stock to $0.04 per share for the fourth quarter 2022.

Headwinds

  • Cash flows were impacted as Howmet Aerospace carried higher inventory due to customer schedule rebalances.
  • Customer schedule rebalances are expected to persist in the fourth quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin, excluding special items, was down approximately 30 basis points year over year at 22.5% while passing through approximately $70 million of additional material costs year over year.
  • Wheels segment was impacted by higher aluminum material costs and higher European energy costs.
  • Wheels segment was unfavorably impacted by foreign currency movements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

43 / 72 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+6.3%+4.0%-1.7%
Q1 2026+2.8%+4.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025-0.8%+0.8%+0.5%
Q2 2025-6.4%-6.7%-9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+12.4%+22.6%
Q4 2024-0.0%+6.7%-1.2%
Q3 2024+8.9%+12.3%+15.8%
Q2 2024+15.5%+8.8%+17.0%
Q4 2023+7.7%+6.8%+11.3%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.9%+18.3%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.1%-3.3%
Q1 2023+0.9%-0.7%-1.3%
Q4 2022+5.7%+4.7%-1.5%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-0.5%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2022+8.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2021+2.8%+3.8%+7.1%
Q3 2021+9.8%+8.7%-4.5%
Q2 2021-4.1%-4.4%-4.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+0.2%+8.8%
Q4 2020+4.7%+6.2%+16.3%
Q3 2020+22.0%+18.6%+35.0%
Q2 2020+5.5%+13.7%+10.1%
Q1 2020-3.8%+5.6%+30.0%
Q4 2019+8.1%+2.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+2.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q2 2019-3.3%+3.5%+6.1%
Q1 2019+3.7%+8.3%+6.3%
Q4 2018-1.1%-7.0%-1.7%
Q3 2018+5.8%+10.1%+11.0%
Q2 2018+2.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q1 2018-21.2%-23.3%-19.3%
Q4 2017-13.2%-15.3%-15.4%
Q3 2017-10.5%-9.4%-12.6%
Q2 2017+2.8%-1.0%+1.4%
Q1 2017+5.4%+4.7%+4.3%
Q4 2016+12.4%+15.1%+26.8%
Q3 2016+6.0%+9.6%+25.2%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-2.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013+0.9%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-2.5%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011+4.7%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010-4.8%
Q1 2009+2.9%
Q1 2010+2.1%
Q4 2007-0.5%
Q3 2008-5.4%
Q3 2009-5.4%
Q2 2009+8.0%
Q2 2008+8.0%
Q4 2008+8.0%

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