NYSE$HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue increased, driven by commercial aerospace growth, with strong profit and cash generation

Howmet Aerospace reported strong Q3 2023 results, with revenue up 16% year-over-year to $1.66 billion, driven by a 23% increase in commercial aerospace revenue. Net income was $188 million, or $0.45 per share, while adjusted EPS was $0.46, up 28% year-over-year. The company also generated $132 million in free cash flow and increased its common stock dividend by 25%.

  • Revenue of $1.66 billion, up 16% year over year, driven by commercial aerospace, up 23% year over year
  • Net income of $188 million; earnings per share of $0.45
  • Net income excluding special items of $192 million; adjusted earnings per share excluding special items of $0.46, up 28% year over year
  • Generated $191 million cash from operations and $132 million of free cash flow

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.66B

Previous: $1.43B+15.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $0.36+27.8%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

23.0%

No prior period
Operating Income Margin

18.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$59M

Previous: -$42M-40.5%
Free Cash Flow

$129M

Previous: $38M+239.5%
Net Income

$188M

Previous: $80M+135.0%
Operating Income

$307M

Previous: $228M+34.6%
Gross Profit

-$1.19B

Previous: -$1.06B-12.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$424M

Previous: $453M-6.4%
Total Assets

$10.2B

Previous: $9.93B+2.4%
R&D Expense

$9M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$13M

Previous: $14M-7.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Howmet Aerospace · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.66B

Q3 2023+15.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Howmet Aerospace · $1.66B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Engine Products
    $798M+16.8%
  • Fastening Systems
    $348M+19.6%
  • Forged Wheels
    $285M+7.1%
  • Engineered Structures
    $227M+17.6%

Forward guidance

The company raised its full year 2023 guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted earnings per share and expects above-trend growth to continue in full year 2024, with a cautious view on commercial aerospace growth until sustained achievement of build rate increases at aircraft OEMs.

Tailwinds

  • The outlook for the commercial aerospace market continues to be robust, supported by demand for new, more fuel-efficient aircraft, as well as increased spares demand.
  • Our defense aerospace and industrial markets also continue to be healthy.
  • Commercial transportation markets have been resilient
  • Again raising our full year 2023 guidance for revenue
  • Expect above-trend growth to continue in full year 2024

Headwinds

  • We remain cautious given softening leading indicators.
  • A cautious view on commercial aerospace growth until we see sustained achievement of build rate increases at aircraft OEMs.
  • Market projections are subject to the risks discussed above and other risks in the market.
  • Deterioration in global economic and financial market conditions generally
  • Unfavorable changes in the markets served by Howmet Aerospace

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

43 / 72 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+6.3%+4.0%-1.7%
Q1 2026+2.8%+4.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025-0.8%+0.8%+0.5%
Q2 2025-6.4%-6.7%-9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+12.4%+22.6%
Q4 2024-0.0%+6.7%-1.2%
Q3 2024+8.9%+12.3%+15.8%
Q2 2024+15.5%+8.8%+17.0%
Q4 2023+7.7%+6.8%+11.3%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.9%+18.3%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.1%-3.3%
Q1 2023+0.9%-0.7%-1.3%
Q4 2022+5.7%+4.7%-1.5%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-0.5%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2022+8.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2021+2.8%+3.8%+7.1%
Q3 2021+9.8%+8.7%-4.5%
Q2 2021-4.1%-4.4%-4.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+0.2%+8.8%
Q4 2020+4.7%+6.2%+16.3%
Q3 2020+22.0%+18.6%+35.0%
Q2 2020+5.5%+13.7%+10.1%
Q1 2020-3.8%+5.6%+30.0%
Q4 2019+8.1%+2.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+2.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q2 2019-3.3%+3.5%+6.1%
Q1 2019+3.7%+8.3%+6.3%
Q4 2018-1.1%-7.0%-1.7%
Q3 2018+5.8%+10.1%+11.0%
Q2 2018+2.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q1 2018-21.2%-23.3%-19.3%
Q4 2017-13.2%-15.3%-15.4%
Q3 2017-10.5%-9.4%-12.6%
Q2 2017+2.8%-1.0%+1.4%
Q1 2017+5.4%+4.7%+4.3%
Q4 2016+12.4%+15.1%+26.8%
Q3 2016+6.0%+9.6%+25.2%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-2.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013+0.9%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-2.5%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011+4.7%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010-4.8%
Q1 2009+2.9%
Q1 2010+2.1%
Q4 2007-0.5%
Q3 2008-5.4%
Q3 2009-5.4%
Q2 2009+8.0%
Q2 2008+8.0%
Q4 2008+8.0%

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