NYSE$HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue declined due to disruptions in commercial aerospace and transportation markets, but cost and cash containment actions drove positive adjusted free cash flow.

Howmet Aerospace reported a revenue of $1.25 billion, a 31% decrease year-over-year, impacted by COVID-19 and 737 MAX production declines. The company reported a Loss from Continuing Operations of $84 million, or $0.19 per share. Income from Continuing Operations excluding special items was $55 million, or $0.12 per share. Despite these challenges, Howmet Aerospace generated positive cash from operations and positive adjusted free cash flow, with a cash balance of $1.28 billion at the end of the quarter.

  • Revenue decreased 31% year-over-year to $1.25 billion due to COVID-19 and 737 MAX production declines.
  • Loss from Continuing Operations was $84 million, or $0.19 per share.
  • Income from Continuing Operations excluding special items was $55 million, or $0.12 per share.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow excluding separation costs was $76 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.25B

Previous: $3.69B-66.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: $0.58-79.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$101M

Previous: -$304M+66.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$197M

Previous: -$425M+53.6%
Net Income

-$96M

Previous: -$121M+20.7%
Operating Income

$74M

Previous: -$81M+191.4%
Gross Profit

-$923M

Previous: $752M-222.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.28B

Previous: $1.36B-5.6%
Total Assets

$11.4B

Previous: $17.9B-36.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Howmet Aerospace · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.25B

Q2 2020-66.1%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Howmet Aerospace · $1.25B total across 4 segments · Q2 2020

  • Engine Products
    $585M-29.9%
  • Fastening Systems
    $326M-18.3%
  • Engineered Structures
    $229M-30.8%
  • Forged Wheels
    $113M-56.0%

Forward guidance

Howmet Aerospace provided an outlook for the third quarter and full year of 2020, including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, and earnings per share excluding special items. The company anticipates third quarter 2020 revenue and earnings will represent the low point for the year, while fourth quarter 2020 revenue is expected to recover with margins rebounding to levels similar to the second quarter 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Full Year Revenue ~$5,200M +/- $100M
  • Full Year Adjusted EBITDA ~$1,030M +/- $35M
  • Full Year Adjusted EBITDA Margin ~20% +/- 100 bps
  • Full Year Earnings per Share Excluding Special Items $0.60 - $0.72
  • 2Q - 4Q Adjusted Free Cash Flow ~$400M +/- $50M

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

43 / 72 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-21.2%

Q1 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+6.3%+4.0%-1.7%
Q1 2026+2.8%+4.0%-1.7%
Q3 2025-0.8%+0.8%+0.5%
Q2 2025-6.4%-6.7%-9.4%
Q1 2025+6.8%+12.4%+22.6%
Q4 2024-0.0%+6.7%-1.2%
Q3 2024+8.9%+12.3%+15.8%
Q2 2024+15.5%+8.8%+17.0%
Q4 2023+7.7%+6.8%+11.3%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.9%+18.3%
Q2 2023-6.0%-4.1%-3.3%
Q1 2023+0.9%-0.7%-1.3%
Q4 2022+5.7%+4.7%-1.5%
Q3 2022+0.9%-0.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-0.5%+0.6%-5.9%
Q1 2022+8.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2021+2.8%+3.8%+7.1%
Q3 2021+9.8%+8.7%-4.5%
Q2 2021-4.1%-4.4%-4.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+0.2%+8.8%
Q4 2020+4.7%+6.2%+16.3%
Q3 2020+22.0%+18.6%+35.0%
Q2 2020+5.5%+13.7%+10.1%
Q1 2020-3.8%+5.6%+30.0%
Q4 2019+8.1%+2.9%+9.4%
Q3 2019+2.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q2 2019-3.3%+3.5%+6.1%
Q1 2019+3.7%+8.3%+6.3%
Q4 2018-1.1%-7.0%-1.7%
Q3 2018+5.8%+10.1%+11.0%
Q2 2018+2.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q1 2018-21.2%-23.3%-19.3%
Q4 2017-13.2%-15.3%-15.4%
Q3 2017-10.5%-9.4%-12.6%
Q2 2017+2.8%-1.0%+1.4%
Q1 2017+5.4%+4.7%+4.3%
Q4 2016+12.4%+15.1%+26.8%
Q3 2016+6.0%+9.6%+25.2%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015+9.7%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-2.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+2.7%
Q2 2014-2.9%
Q1 2014+4.5%
Q4 2013+0.9%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-2.5%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+5.4%
Q1 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011+4.7%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010-4.8%
Q1 2009+2.9%
Q1 2010+2.1%
Q4 2007-0.5%
Q3 2008-5.4%
Q3 2009-5.4%
Q2 2009+8.0%
Q2 2008+8.0%
Q4 2008+8.0%

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