NYSE$HLLY

Holley Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Holley's financial performance was impacted by supply-chain disruptions and demand normalization, but the company remains confident in its core enthusiast base.

Holley Inc. reported a decrease in net sales and gross profit for Q4 2022, with a net loss of $(15.2) million. The company is focused on cost structure alignment and free cash flow improvement.

  • Net Sales decreased 14.3% to $154.2 million compared to the prior year's fourth quarter.
  • Gross Profit decreased 36.8% to $47.3 million compared to the prior year's fourth quarter.
  • Net Loss of $(15.2) million, or $(0.13) per diluted share, compared to a Net Loss of $(18.0) million, or $(0.16) per diluted share, in the prior year's fourth quarter.
  • The company reached an agreement with its lending group to amend the net leverage covenant applicable to the revolver.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$154M

Previous: $180M-14.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.19

Previous: $0.08-337.5%
Capital Expenditures

$1.85M

Previous: $4.77M-61.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.7M

Previous: -$8.1M+79.0%
Net Income

-$15.2M

Previous: -$18M+15.5%
Operating Income

-$15.2M

Previous: $22.8M-166.8%
Gross Profit

$47.3M

Previous: $74.7M-36.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$26.2M

Previous: $36.3M-28.0%
Total Assets

$1.25B

Previous: $1.19B+4.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Holley · Revenue · Quarterly

$154M

Q4 2022-14.3%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Holley anticipates net sales between $625 and $675 million and adjusted EBITDA between $108 and $122 million for the full year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Operational improvements and cost initiatives are expected to drive approximately $30 million of year-over-year cost savings in 2023.
  • Anticipated improvements in gross margin driven by improved shipping costs as the result of a recently negotiated contract with a new 3rd party logistics provider.
  • Reduction in force expected to contribute $15 million in savings.
  • Focus on restoring profitability.
  • Optimizing inventories.

Headwinds

  • 2022 results were challenged by multiple factors.
  • Normalization to pre-COVID trend growth levels.
  • Ongoing supply-chain disruptions.
  • Market demand
  • De-leveraging our balance sheet in 2023 and beyond.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

13 / 22 earnings

Positive

+49.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.0%-17.6%-22.4%
Q4 2025-12.7%-16.2%-22.3%
Q3 2025+36.8%+41.0%+57.5%
Q1 2025-14.6%+7.2%+2.4%
Q4 2024+24.2%+0.4%-4.2%
Q3 2024+3.6%-1.1%-0.4%
Q2 2024-8.2%-12.3%-9.6%
Q1 2024-3.6%-5.8%-13.4%
Q4 2023-11.5%-13.0%-8.0%
Q3 2023-14.0%-11.8%+0.5%
Q2 2023+27.2%+18.0%-15.3%
Q1 2023+18.5%+15.8%+36.3%
Q4 2022+49.5%+48.0%+14.6%
Q3 2022-4.7%-6.5%-23.4%
Q2 2022+1.2%-1.7%-7.9%
Q1 2022+14.2%+20.9%+20.0%
Q4 2019+8.9%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2021+7.4%+4.3%+7.2%
Q3 2021+7.1%+11.3%+2.7%
Q2 2021+1.1%-2.0%+4.2%
Q1 2021+0.0%+0.0%+2.2%
Q4 2020+0.3%+4.3%+0.8%
Q3 2020

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