NYSE$HLLY

Holley Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Holley's Q4 2023 results showed year-over-year improvement in profitability due to organizational transformation.

Holley Inc. reported a 1.0% increase in net sales to $155.7 million and a significant improvement in net income to $1.2 million, compared to a net loss of $(15.2) million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 89% to $28.5 million. The company is in the early stages of an organizational transformation, which is positively impacting financial performance.

  • Net sales increased 1.0% to $155.7 million.
  • Gross profit increased 27.5% to $60.3 million, with a gross margin of 38.7%.
  • Net income was $1.2 million, a significant improvement from the prior year's net loss of $(15.2) million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 89% to $28.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$156M

Previous: $154M+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.00

Previous: -$0.19+100.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$28.5M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$36K

Previous: $1.85M-102.0%
Net Income

$1.2M

Previous: -$15.2M+107.9%
Operating Income

$19.3M

Previous: -$15.2M+227.1%
Gross Profit

$60.3M

Previous: $47.3M+27.5%
R&D Expense

$4.91M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Holley · Revenue · Quarterly

$156M

Q4 2023+1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Holley anticipates a soft Q1 2024 due to lower consumer demand and high inventory levels at key distribution partners, but expects growth in the second half of the year. The company provided net sales outlook for Q1 2024 between $150 million and $160 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $27 million and $33 million. For the full year 2024, net sales are expected to be between $640 million and $680 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $125 million and $145 million.

Tailwinds

  • Product and launch strategy will lead to growth in the second half of the year.
  • Actions to simplify and focus the organization will support long-term goal of delivering at least 20% EBITDA margin.
  • Q1 2024 Net Sales Outlook: $150 - $160 million
  • Q1 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook: $27 - $33 million
  • Full Year 2024 Net Sales Outlook: $640 - $680 million

Headwinds

  • Anticipate a soft Q1 due to lower than expected consumer demand.
  • High inventory levels at key distribution partners.
  • Capital Expenditures for Q1 2024 Outlook: $8 - $12 million
  • Depreciation and Amortization Expense: $24 - $26 million
  • Interest Expense: $50 - $55 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+5.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.0%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

13 / 22 earnings

Positive

+49.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.0%-17.6%-22.4%
Q4 2025-12.7%-16.2%-22.3%
Q3 2025+36.8%+41.0%+57.5%
Q1 2025-14.6%+7.2%+2.4%
Q4 2024+24.2%+0.4%-4.2%
Q3 2024+3.6%-1.1%-0.4%
Q2 2024-8.2%-12.3%-9.6%
Q1 2024-3.6%-5.8%-13.4%
Q4 2023-11.5%-13.0%-8.0%
Q3 2023-14.0%-11.8%+0.5%
Q2 2023+27.2%+18.0%-15.3%
Q1 2023+18.5%+15.8%+36.3%
Q4 2022+49.5%+48.0%+14.6%
Q3 2022-4.7%-6.5%-23.4%
Q2 2022+1.2%-1.7%-7.9%
Q1 2022+14.2%+20.9%+20.0%
Q4 2019+8.9%+5.4%+1.3%
Q4 2021+7.4%+4.3%+7.2%
Q3 2021+7.1%+11.3%+2.7%
Q2 2021+1.1%-2.0%+4.2%
Q1 2021+0.0%+0.0%+2.2%
Q4 2020+0.3%+4.3%+0.8%
Q3 2020

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