NYSE$GWW

WW Grainger Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Grainger reported solid fourth quarter and record full year earnings, issuing 2024 guidance with sales growth expected between 4% and 7%.

Grainger's Q4 2023 sales reached $4.0 billion, a 5.1% increase, with adjusted EPS rising by 16.7% to $8.33. The company's performance was driven by focused execution in both High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment segments.

  • Sales increased by 5.1% to $4.0 billion, or 5.5% on a daily, organic constant currency basis.
  • Reported operating margin was 13.9%, while adjusted operating margin reached 14.6%, an increase of 80 basis points.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 4.7% to $7.89 on a reported basis, and by 16.7% to $8.33 on an adjusted basis.
  • Plans were announced to open a new 1.2 million square-foot distribution center near Houston, Texas in 2026.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4B

Previous: $3.8B+5.1%
EPS (adj)

$8.33

Previous: $7.14+16.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$127M

Previous: $48M-364.6%
Free Cash Flow

$477M

Previous: $312M+52.9%
Net Income

$412M

Previous: $384M+7.3%
Operating Income

$557M

Previous: $544M+2.4%
Gross Profit

$1.56B

Previous: $1.51B+3.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$13M

Previous: $10M+30.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Grainger · Revenue · Quarterly

$4B

Q4 2023+5.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following outlook for 2024: Total Company(1)2024 Guidance RangeNet Sales$17.2 - $17.7 billionSales growth4.3% - 7.3%Daily, organic constant currency sales growth4.0% - 7.0%Gross Profit Margin39.1% - 39.4%Operating Margin15.3% - 15.8%Diluted Earnings per Share$38.00 - $40.50Operating Cash Flow$1.9 - $2.1 billionCapEx (cash basis)$0.4 - $0.5 billionShare Buyback$0.9 - $1.1 billionTax Rate~24.0%Segment Operating MarginHigh-Touch Solutions N.A.17.4% - 17.9%Endless Assortment7.3% - 7.8%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+24.8%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-12.4%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+6.9%+11.2%
Q4 2025+5.1%+9.3%+4.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+0.6%-0.8%
Q2 2025-10.3%-7.6%-2.5%
Q1 2025+2.8%+1.7%+6.2%
Q4 2024-5.6%-7.4%-9.3%
Q3 2024+0.5%+2.1%+9.6%
Q2 2024-2.5%-2.5%+0.8%
Q1 2024-3.0%-3.9%+0.8%
Q4 2023+2.5%+2.4%+6.3%
Q3 2023+4.3%+7.7%+19.9%
Q2 2023-4.0%-4.8%-6.2%
Q1 2023+5.4%+4.4%+0.7%
Q4 2022+13.0%+13.4%+16.6%
Q3 2022+8.7%+8.6%+12.4%
Q2 2022+9.5%+8.2%+12.8%
Q1 2022+0.9%-2.4%-1.1%
Q4 2021-2.7%-3.8%-2.6%
Q3 2021+8.6%+10.1%+13.6%
Q2 2021-4.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q1 2021+3.3%+7.1%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.3%+1.5%+7.0%
Q3 2020-3.3%-4.2%+9.6%
Q2 2020+0.7%-1.6%+4.0%
Q1 2020-2.4%+3.6%+6.1%
Q4 2019-7.6%-5.9%-15.3%
Q3 2019-1.2%-0.9%-0.1%
Q2 2019+7.7%+4.6%-4.6%
Q1 2019-4.9%-5.3%-15.9%
Q4 2018-1.8%-0.3%+5.1%
Q3 2018-12.2%-13.1%-3.7%
Q2 2018+12.0%+12.4%+17.3%
Q1 2018+1.3%-1.8%+8.1%
Q4 2017+24.8%+19.6%+16.0%
Q3 2017+14.5%+14.0%+8.9%
Q2 2017-4.9%-4.4%-7.5%
Q1 2017-12.4%-12.5%-22.3%
Q4 2016+2.9%+2.2%+0.5%
Q3 2016-4.5%-5.0%+2.6%
Q2 2016-5.2%-4.8%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015-8.9%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-5.8%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.6%
Q4 2013-6.9%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013+5.5%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-3.1%
Q2 2012+8.9%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q1 2009+1.9%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2007-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q3 2008+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q4 2008+1.1%
Q2 2008+1.1%
Q2 2009+1.1%

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