NYSE$GWW

WW Grainger Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong first quarter performance with sales up 12.2% and diluted EPS up 36.0% compared to Q1 2022, leading to an increased full-year earnings outlook.

Grainger reported a strong first quarter in 2023, with sales reaching $4.1 billion, a 12.2% increase, and diluted EPS of $9.61, a 36.0% increase compared to Q1 2022. The company has raised its full-year 2023 guidance due to this strong performance.

  • Sales reached $4.1 billion, up 12.2% (14.5% on a daily, constant currency basis).
  • Operating earnings increased by 27.4% to $680 million, with a 16.6% operating margin, up 200 basis points.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 36.0% to $9.61.
  • Generated $454 million in operating cash flow and returned $229 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.09B

Previous: $3.65B+12.2%
EPS (adj)

$9.61

Previous: $7.07+35.9%
Gross profit margin

39.9%

No prior period
Operating margin

16.6%

Previous: 14.6%+13.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$98M

Previous: -$57M-71.9%
Free Cash Flow

$390M

Previous: $309M+26.2%
Net Income

$488M

Previous: $366M+33.3%
Operating Income

$680M

Previous: $534M+27.3%
Gross Profit

$1.63B

Previous: $1.38B+18.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$461M

Previous: $364M+26.6%
Total Assets

$7.83B

Previous: $6.99B+11.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$12M

Previous: $9M+33.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Grainger · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.09B

Q1 2023+12.2%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Grainger is updating its full year 2023 guidance ranges including an increased outlook for diluted EPS, operating cash flow and share repurchases.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales: $16.2 - $16.8 billion
  • Sales Growth: 6.6% - 10.6%
  • Daily Sales Growth: 7.0% - 11.0%
  • Gross Profit Margin: 39.1% - 39.4%
  • Operating Margin: 15.2% - 15.7%

Headwinds

  • CapEx (cash basis): $450 - $525 million
  • Effective Tax Rate: ~24.0%
  • Endless Assortment Operating Margin: 7.9% - 8.3%
  • Diluted Earnings per Share: $34.25 - $36.75
  • Operating Cash Flow: $1.6 - $1.8 billion

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

40 / 73 earnings

Positive

+24.8%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-12.4%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+6.9%+11.2%
Q4 2025+5.1%+9.3%+4.5%
Q3 2025+1.0%+0.6%-0.8%
Q2 2025-10.3%-7.6%-2.5%
Q1 2025+2.8%+1.7%+6.2%
Q4 2024-5.6%-7.4%-9.3%
Q3 2024+0.5%+2.1%+9.6%
Q2 2024-2.5%-2.5%+0.8%
Q1 2024-3.0%-3.9%+0.8%
Q4 2023+2.5%+2.4%+6.3%
Q3 2023+4.3%+7.7%+19.9%
Q2 2023-4.0%-4.8%-6.2%
Q1 2023+5.4%+4.4%+0.7%
Q4 2022+13.0%+13.4%+16.6%
Q3 2022+8.7%+8.6%+12.4%
Q2 2022+9.5%+8.2%+12.8%
Q1 2022+0.9%-2.4%-1.1%
Q4 2021-2.7%-3.8%-2.6%
Q3 2021+8.6%+10.1%+13.6%
Q2 2021-4.6%-4.7%-6.3%
Q1 2021+3.3%+7.1%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.3%+1.5%+7.0%
Q3 2020-3.3%-4.2%+9.6%
Q2 2020+0.7%-1.6%+4.0%
Q1 2020-2.4%+3.6%+6.1%
Q4 2019-7.6%-5.9%-15.3%
Q3 2019-1.2%-0.9%-0.1%
Q2 2019+7.7%+4.6%-4.6%
Q1 2019-4.9%-5.3%-15.9%
Q4 2018-1.8%-0.3%+5.1%
Q3 2018-12.2%-13.1%-3.7%
Q2 2018+12.0%+12.4%+17.3%
Q1 2018+1.3%-1.8%+8.1%
Q4 2017+24.8%+19.6%+16.0%
Q3 2017+14.5%+14.0%+8.9%
Q2 2017-4.9%-4.4%-7.5%
Q1 2017-12.4%-12.5%-22.3%
Q4 2016+2.9%+2.2%+0.5%
Q3 2016-4.5%-5.0%+2.6%
Q2 2016-5.2%-4.8%+1.1%
Q1 2016-2.0%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015-8.9%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015-1.0%
Q4 2014-5.8%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.6%
Q4 2013-6.9%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013+5.5%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-3.1%
Q2 2012+8.9%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q1 2009+1.9%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2007-1.8%
Q4 2009-1.8%
Q3 2008+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q4 2008+1.1%
Q2 2008+1.1%
Q2 2009+1.1%

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