NYSE$FIX

Comfort Systems USA Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported increased revenue, record earnings, great cash flow, and a surge of backlog.

Comfort Systems USA reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2022, marked by increased revenue, record earnings, great cash flow, and a surge in backlog. The company also announced the acquisition of Eldeco, Inc., which is expected to contribute significantly to future revenue.

  • Net income for Q4 2022 was $55.4 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, compared to $37.6 million, or $1.04 per diluted share, for Q4 2021.
  • Revenue for Q4 2022 was $1,117.2 million, up from $856.1 million in 2021.
  • Operating cash flow for Q4 2022 was $132.0 million, compared to $27.5 million in 2021.
  • Backlog as of December 31, 2022, reached $4.06 billion, compared to $2.31 billion as of December 31, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.12B

Previous: $856M+30.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.54

Previous: $1.04+48.1%
Backlog

$4.06B

Previous: $2.31B+75.8%
Operating Cash Flow

$132M

Previous: $27.5M+380.1%
Capital Expenditures

$13.6M

Previous: $6.47M+109.8%
Free Cash Flow

$118M

Previous: $21M+463.2%
Net Income

$55.4M

Previous: $37.6M+47.4%
Operating Income

$80.1M

Previous: $49.3M+62.3%
Gross Profit

$211M

Previous: $154M+37.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$57.2M

Previous: $58.8M-2.7%
Total Assets

$2.6B

Previous: $2.21B+17.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.05M

Previous: $3.22M-5.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Comfort Systems USA · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.12B

Q4 2022+30.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Comfort Systems expects continued growth and strong ongoing profitability in 2023, supported by high levels of demand and the recent acquisition of Eldeco.

Tailwinds

  • Continued high levels of demand for services.
  • Anticipated synergies from the acquisition of Eldeco.
  • Strengthening performance in the electrical segment.
  • Robust same-store increases in backlog.
  • Expected neutral to slightly accretive contribution to earnings per share from Eldeco acquisition in 2023 and 2024.

Headwinds

  • Risk of incorrect estimates for bidding fixed-price contracts.
  • Potential for contractual commitments to exceed labor resources.
  • Risk of failing to perform contractual obligations efficiently enough to maintain profitability.
  • Potential for national or regional weakness in construction activity and economic conditions.
  • Risk of rising inflation and fluctuations in interest rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

39 / 66 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.5%-2.8%+3.0%
Q4 2025+6.3%+5.6%-1.2%
Q3 2025+18.9%+22.5%+8.4%
Q2 2025-1.3%-1.3%+9.3%
Q1 2025+5.6%+5.7%+25.3%
Q4 2024-4.7%-1.9%-7.8%
Q3 2024-10.1%-3.8%+19.2%
Q2 2024+3.3%+1.9%+12.9%
Q1 2024-2.2%+0.2%+10.9%
Q4 2023+15.4%+20.4%+33.0%
Q3 2023+15.6%+19.5%+30.7%
Q2 2023-1.3%+3.9%+8.5%
Q1 2023+12.9%+11.9%+13.7%
Q4 2022+10.0%+18.8%+11.5%
Q3 2022+7.5%+11.8%+14.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+16.0%+12.7%
Q1 2022+2.1%-0.3%+8.7%
Q4 2021-3.7%+0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2021+4.2%+8.2%+14.9%
Q2 2021+0.7%-1.7%+2.2%
Q1 2021+0.2%+3.5%+1.1%
Q4 2020-3.0%+4.1%+17.5%
Q3 2020-14.4%-16.9%-6.7%
Q2 2020+16.8%+21.0%+24.9%
Q1 2020+14.2%+4.9%+28.7%
Q4 2019-6.2%-6.4%-28.6%
Q3 2019+10.1%+10.0%+7.6%
Q2 2019-21.7%-19.5%-30.8%
Q1 2019-6.0%-6.1%-14.5%
Q4 2018+5.4%+4.7%-2.0%
Q3 2018+9.3%+11.3%+5.6%
Q2 2018+12.8%+15.2%+17.8%
Q1 2018+5.0%+0.8%+11.5%
Q4 2017+0.5%+1.3%-2.3%
Q3 2017+15.7%+20.7%+14.9%
Q2 2017-7.3%-8.0%-9.3%
Q1 2017+0.5%+1.6%-4.3%
Q4 2016+14.7%+13.2%+3.7%
Q3 2016+5.5%+2.8%+25.1%
Q2 2016-4.7%-8.6%-10.0%
Q1 2016-7.6%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015+13.3%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014+11.5%
Q3 2014-2.9%
Q2 2014-4.5%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012-2.4%
Q2 2012+2.5%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q4 2011-7.1%
Q4 2009-7.1%
Q3 2010-5.2%
Q3 2011-5.2%
Q2 2010+14.7%
Q4 2010+14.7%
Q2 2011+14.7%
Q1 2010-15.9%

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