NYSE$FIX

Comfort Systems USA Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported increased net income and EPS despite a slight decrease in revenue.

Comfort Systems USA reported strong Q4 2020 results, with net income increasing to $42.8 million and EPS reaching $1.17 per diluted share. Revenue for the quarter was $699.0 million. The company's backlog as of December 31, 2020, was $1.51 billion.

  • Net income for Q4 2020 was $42.8 million, or $1.17 per diluted share.
  • Q4 2020 EPS included a $0.18 benefit from changes in value of earnout accruals.
  • Revenue for Q4 2020 was $699.0 million.
  • Backlog as of December 31, 2020, was $1.51 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$699M

Previous: $720M-2.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.99

Previous: $0.84+17.9%
Backlog

$1.51B

Previous: $1.6B-5.6%
Operating Cash Flow

$70.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$4.67M

Previous: $9.11M-48.7%
Free Cash Flow

$65.4M

Previous: $33.9M+92.9%
Net Income

$42.8M

Previous: $34.1M+25.8%
Operating Income

$48.3M

Previous: $46.6M+3.7%
Gross Profit

$137M

Previous: $133M+3.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$54.9M

Previous: $50.8M+8.1%
Total Assets

$1.76B

Previous: $1.51B+16.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$985K

Previous: $1.02M-3.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Comfort Systems USA · Revenue · Quarterly

$699M

Q4 2020-2.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Comfort Systems USA anticipates that full-year 2021 results are likely to be similar to, but somewhat lower than, the record results achieved in 2020. The company expects good overall trends, especially in its industrial, technology, and manufacturing markets, and feels that it is geographically concentrated in markets with comparatively strong prospects.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipate good overall trends in 2021.
  • Expect strength in industrial, technology and manufacturing markets.
  • Geographically concentrated in markets with comparatively strong prospects.
  • Confident in achieving solid profitability and cash flow during the coming year.
  • Foresee that service operations will enter 2021 with pre-pandemic volumes and profitability.

Headwinds

  • Full-year 2021 results are likely to be somewhat lower than the record results achieved in 2020.
  • Expect sporadic air pockets resulting from delays in project bookings and starts.
  • Backlog continues to reflect some delays in bookings.
  • Likely to result in modest headwinds in same-store revenue in 2021, particularly during the first half of the year.
  • Continue to expect sporadic air pockets resulting from delays in project bookings and starts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

39 / 66 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.5%-2.8%+3.0%
Q4 2025+6.3%+5.6%-1.2%
Q3 2025+18.9%+22.5%+8.4%
Q2 2025-1.3%-1.3%+9.3%
Q1 2025+5.6%+5.7%+25.3%
Q4 2024-4.7%-1.9%-7.8%
Q3 2024-10.1%-3.8%+19.2%
Q2 2024+3.3%+1.9%+12.9%
Q1 2024-2.2%+0.2%+10.9%
Q4 2023+15.4%+20.4%+33.0%
Q3 2023+15.6%+19.5%+30.7%
Q2 2023-1.3%+3.9%+8.5%
Q1 2023+12.9%+11.9%+13.7%
Q4 2022+10.0%+18.8%+11.5%
Q3 2022+7.5%+11.8%+14.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+16.0%+12.7%
Q1 2022+2.1%-0.3%+8.7%
Q4 2021-3.7%+0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2021+4.2%+8.2%+14.9%
Q2 2021+0.7%-1.7%+2.2%
Q1 2021+0.2%+3.5%+1.1%
Q4 2020-3.0%+4.1%+17.5%
Q3 2020-14.4%-16.9%-6.7%
Q2 2020+16.8%+21.0%+24.9%
Q1 2020+14.2%+4.9%+28.7%
Q4 2019-6.2%-6.4%-28.6%
Q3 2019+10.1%+10.0%+7.6%
Q2 2019-21.7%-19.5%-30.8%
Q1 2019-6.0%-6.1%-14.5%
Q4 2018+5.4%+4.7%-2.0%
Q3 2018+9.3%+11.3%+5.6%
Q2 2018+12.8%+15.2%+17.8%
Q1 2018+5.0%+0.8%+11.5%
Q4 2017+0.5%+1.3%-2.3%
Q3 2017+15.7%+20.7%+14.9%
Q2 2017-7.3%-8.0%-9.3%
Q1 2017+0.5%+1.6%-4.3%
Q4 2016+14.7%+13.2%+3.7%
Q3 2016+5.5%+2.8%+25.1%
Q2 2016-4.7%-8.6%-10.0%
Q1 2016-7.6%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015+13.3%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014+11.5%
Q3 2014-2.9%
Q2 2014-4.5%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012-2.4%
Q2 2012+2.5%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q4 2011-7.1%
Q4 2009-7.1%
Q3 2010-5.2%
Q3 2011-5.2%
Q2 2010+14.7%
Q4 2010+14.7%
Q2 2011+14.7%
Q1 2010-15.9%

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