NYSE$FIX

Comfort Systems USA Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Comfort Systems USA reported strong Q4 2023 results with increased revenue, net income, and operating cash flow.

Comfort Systems USA reported a strong fourth quarter in 2023, marked by significant growth in revenue and earnings. Net income rose to $91.6 million, or $2.55 per diluted share, compared to $55.4 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, in the same quarter of the previous year. Revenue increased to $1,357.6 million from $1,117.2 million in 2022, and operating cash flow increased to $173.0 million.

  • Net income for Q4 2023 was $91.6 million, or $2.55 per diluted share, up from $55.4 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, in Q4 2022.
  • Revenue for Q4 2023 increased to $1,357.6 million compared to $1,117.2 million in the previous year.
  • Operating cash flow for the quarter was $173.0 million, up from $132.0 million in 2022.
  • Backlog as of December 31, 2023, reached $5.16 billion, compared to $4.06 billion as of December 31, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.36B

Previous: $1.12B+21.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.55

Previous: $1.54+65.6%
Backlog

$5.16B

Previous: $4.06B+27.1%
Operating Cash Flow

$173M

Previous: $132M+31.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$25.3M

Previous: $13.6M-286.2%
Net Income

$91.6M

Previous: $55.4M+65.3%
Operating Income

$120M

Previous: $80.1M+50.2%
Gross Profit

$270M

Previous: $211M+27.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.81M

Previous: $3.05M+24.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Comfort Systems USA · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.36B

Q4 2023+21.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Comfort Systems USA is optimistic about continued growth and maintaining strong operational results in 2024, supported by underlying demand and recent acquisitions.

Tailwinds

  • Underlying demand remains very supportive.
  • Two new companies joined Comfort Systems USA at the beginning of February.
  • Optimistic about continued growth.
  • Expect to maintain strong operational results.
  • Backlog is up 27% from last year.

Headwinds

  • Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties.
  • Incorrect estimates for bidding a fixed-price contract.
  • National or regional weakness in construction activity and economic conditions.
  • Shortages of labor and specialty building materials or material increases to the cost thereof.
  • The Company’s business being negatively affected by health crises or outbreaks of disease, such as epidemics or pandemics (and related impacts, such as supply chain disruptions).

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

39 / 66 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-21.7%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.5%-2.8%+3.0%
Q4 2025+6.3%+5.6%-1.2%
Q3 2025+18.9%+22.5%+8.4%
Q2 2025-1.3%-1.3%+9.3%
Q1 2025+5.6%+5.7%+25.3%
Q4 2024-4.7%-1.9%-7.8%
Q3 2024-10.1%-3.8%+19.2%
Q2 2024+3.3%+1.9%+12.9%
Q1 2024-2.2%+0.2%+10.9%
Q4 2023+15.4%+20.4%+33.0%
Q3 2023+15.6%+19.5%+30.7%
Q2 2023-1.3%+3.9%+8.5%
Q1 2023+12.9%+11.9%+13.7%
Q4 2022+10.0%+18.8%+11.5%
Q3 2022+7.5%+11.8%+14.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+16.0%+12.7%
Q1 2022+2.1%-0.3%+8.7%
Q4 2021-3.7%+0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2021+4.2%+8.2%+14.9%
Q2 2021+0.7%-1.7%+2.2%
Q1 2021+0.2%+3.5%+1.1%
Q4 2020-3.0%+4.1%+17.5%
Q3 2020-14.4%-16.9%-6.7%
Q2 2020+16.8%+21.0%+24.9%
Q1 2020+14.2%+4.9%+28.7%
Q4 2019-6.2%-6.4%-28.6%
Q3 2019+10.1%+10.0%+7.6%
Q2 2019-21.7%-19.5%-30.8%
Q1 2019-6.0%-6.1%-14.5%
Q4 2018+5.4%+4.7%-2.0%
Q3 2018+9.3%+11.3%+5.6%
Q2 2018+12.8%+15.2%+17.8%
Q1 2018+5.0%+0.8%+11.5%
Q4 2017+0.5%+1.3%-2.3%
Q3 2017+15.7%+20.7%+14.9%
Q2 2017-7.3%-8.0%-9.3%
Q1 2017+0.5%+1.6%-4.3%
Q4 2016+14.7%+13.2%+3.7%
Q3 2016+5.5%+2.8%+25.1%
Q2 2016-4.7%-8.6%-10.0%
Q1 2016-7.6%
Q4 2015+4.8%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015+13.3%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014+11.5%
Q3 2014-2.9%
Q2 2014-4.5%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013+0.5%
Q2 2013+4.8%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012-2.4%
Q2 2012+2.5%
Q1 2011-1.7%
Q1 2012-1.7%
Q4 2011-7.1%
Q4 2009-7.1%
Q3 2010-5.2%
Q3 2011-5.2%
Q2 2010+14.7%
Q4 2010+14.7%
Q2 2011+14.7%
Q1 2010-15.9%

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