NYSE$DCH

Dauch Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered positive year-over-year performance driven by productivity and operating efficiencies.

American Axle & Manufacturing reported sales of $1.50 billion and net income of $10.0 million for the third quarter of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $174.4 million, and diluted earnings per share was $0.08.

  • Sales of $1.50 billion
  • Net income of $10.0 million, or 0.7% of sales
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $174.4 million, or 11.6% of sales
  • Diluted earnings per share of $0.08; Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.5B

Previous: $1.55B-3.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: -$0.11+281.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$170M

Previous: -$139M-22.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$160M

Previous: -$156M-2.6%
Net Income

$10M

Previous: -$17.4M+157.5%
Operating Income

$41.7M

Previous: $23.9M+74.5%
Gross Profit

$171M

Previous: $131M+31.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$543M

Previous: $616M-11.9%
Total Assets

$5.33B

Previous: $5.48B-2.7%
R&D Expense

$40.1M

Previous: $35.8M+12.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.9M

Previous: $3.5M+11.4%

Revenue & EPS history

American Axle · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.5B

Q3 2024-3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Axle · $1.69B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Driveline
    $1.06B
  • Metal Forming
    $625M

Forward guidance

AAM's full year 2024 financial targets are as follows: AAM is targeting sales in the range of $6.1 - $6.15 billion vs. $6.1 - $6.3 billion prior. AAM is targeting Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $715 - $745 million vs. $705 - $755 million prior. AAM is targeting Adjusted free cash flow in the range of $200 - $220 million vs. $200 - $240 million prior; this target assumes capital spending of approximately 4% of sales.

Tailwinds

  • Targeting sales in the range of $6.1 - $6.15 billion
  • Targeting Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $715 - $745 million
  • Targeting Adjusted free cash flow in the range of $200 - $220 million
  • Assumes capital spending of approximately 4% of sales
  • Based on North American light vehicle production of approximately 15.5 million units

Headwinds

  • Lowered sales target compared to prior guidance ($6.1 - $6.15 billion vs. $6.1 - $6.3 billion)
  • Lowered Adjusted EBITDA target compared to prior guidance ($715 - $745 million vs. $705 - $755 million)
  • Lowered Adjusted free cash flow target compared to prior guidance ($200 - $220 million vs. $200 - $240 million)
  • Targets are based on assumptions for 2024
  • Targets are based on AAM's production estimates of key programs

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+32.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+15.3%+13.4%+9.7%
Q4 2025-14.0%-15.5%-38.6%
Q3 2025+6.7%+5.2%+2.3%
Q1 2025+4.8%+8.7%+15.5%
Q4 2024+8.4%+23.2%-5.3%
Q3 2024+7.9%+4.7%+6.6%
Q2 2024-2.4%-0.8%-5.0%
Q1 2024+4.6%+6.6%+4.4%
Q4 2023-9.7%-13.8%-22.9%
Q3 2023+5.4%+2.0%+13.2%
Q2 2023-11.3%-13.1%-16.1%
Q1 2023+8.0%+5.5%+8.3%
Q4 2022-9.5%-12.2%-25.2%
Q3 2022-10.3%-15.6%-5.5%
Q2 2022+14.5%+22.0%+18.7%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.1%+23.6%
Q4 2021-10.9%+1.3%+0.5%
Q3 2021+2.0%-0.7%-5.8%
Q2 2021-0.6%-5.8%-6.2%
Q1 2021+6.0%+2.9%+26.3%
Q4 2020-7.5%-11.4%+22.2%
Q3 2020+4.2%+2.4%+24.9%
Q2 2020-3.0%-2.3%+12.3%
Q1 2020+31.9%+15.0%+105.4%
Q4 2019-19.1%-22.5%-51.9%
Q3 2019+32.2%+24.5%+17.9%
Q2 2019-22.4%-26.8%-42.5%
Q1 2019-7.7%-12.0%-29.5%
Q4 2018+13.0%+15.2%-4.2%
Q3 2018-27.1%-17.8%-20.8%
Q2 2018+6.4%+8.9%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.8%+4.0%+9.8%
Q4 2017-2.3%-0.1%-5.8%
Q3 2017+1.9%-2.6%-2.5%
Q2 2017-7.9%-9.9%-13.1%
Q1 2017+7.5%+6.3%-6.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%-3.8%-7.7%
Q3 2016-17.8%-17.3%-4.9%
Q2 2016+5.3%+3.3%+3.3%
Q1 2016+5.8%
Q4 2015+24.9%
Q3 2015+6.6%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q4 2014-2.3%
Q3 2014+8.7%
Q2 2014-2.2%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013+4.4%
Q1 2013+12.2%
Q4 2012+5.0%
Q3 2012-6.2%
Q2 2012+4.5%
Q1 2011-10.0%
Q1 2012-10.0%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q4 2009-2.0%
Q4 2011-2.0%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010+10.2%
Q2 2011+10.2%
Q4 2010+10.2%

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