NYSE$DCH

Dauch Corporation · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid financial performance driven by better-than-expected volume and mix and sequential improvement.

American Axle & Manufacturing (AAM) reported a solid start to 2024 with first-quarter sales of $1.61 billion, a net income of $20.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $205.6 million. The company's performance was driven by better-than-expected volume and mix.

  • Sales reached $1.61 billion.
  • Net income was $20.5 million, representing 1.3% of sales.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $205.6 million, or 12.8% of sales.
  • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $0.17; adjusted EPS at $0.18.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.61B

Previous: $1.49B+7.6%
EPS

$0.17

Previous: -$0.01+1800.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$206M

Previous: $175M+17.2%
Adj EBITDA Margin

12.8%

Previous: 11.7%+9.4%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow

-$21.4M

Previous: -$17.1M-25.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$48M

Previous: -$46.6M-3.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$27.5M

Previous: -$51.7M+46.8%
Net Income

$20.5M

Previous: -$5.1M+502.0%
Operating Income

$77M

Previous: $36.1M+113.3%
Gross Profit

$199M

Previous: $161M+23.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$470M

Previous: $466M+0.9%
Total Assets

$5.37B

Previous: $5.45B-1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.8M

Previous: $3.4M+11.8%

Revenue & EPS history

American Axle · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.61B

Q1 2024+7.6%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

American Axle · $1.69B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Driveline
    $1.06B
  • Metal Forming
    $625M

Forward guidance

AAM's full year 2024 financial targets remain unchanged. AAM is targeting sales in the range of $6.05 - $6.35 billion, Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $685 - $750 million, and Adjusted free cash flow in the range of $200 - $240 million.

Tailwinds

  • Targeting sales in the range of $6.05 - $6.35 billion.
  • Targeting Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $685 - $750 million.
  • Targeting Adjusted free cash flow in the range of $200 - $240 million.
  • North American light vehicle production of approximately 15.8 million units.
  • Capital spending of approximately 4.0% - 4.5% of sales.

Headwinds

  • Global economic conditions, including the impact of inflation, recession or recessionary concerns, or slower growth in the markets.
  • Reduced purchases of products by General Motors Company (GM), Stellantis N.V. (Stellantis), Ford Motor Company (Ford) or other customers.
  • Ability to respond to changes in technology, increased competition or pricing pressures.
  • Ability to develop and produce new products that reflect market demand.
  • Lower-than-anticipated market acceptance of new or existing products.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+32.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-27.1%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+15.3%+13.4%+9.7%
Q4 2025-14.0%-15.5%-38.6%
Q3 2025+6.7%+5.2%+2.3%
Q1 2025+4.8%+8.7%+15.5%
Q4 2024+8.4%+23.2%-5.3%
Q3 2024+7.9%+4.7%+6.6%
Q2 2024-2.4%-0.8%-5.0%
Q1 2024+4.6%+6.6%+4.4%
Q4 2023-9.7%-13.8%-22.9%
Q3 2023+5.4%+2.0%+13.2%
Q2 2023-11.3%-13.1%-16.1%
Q1 2023+8.0%+5.5%+8.3%
Q4 2022-9.5%-12.2%-25.2%
Q3 2022-10.3%-15.6%-5.5%
Q2 2022+14.5%+22.0%+18.7%
Q1 2022-5.5%-5.1%+23.6%
Q4 2021-10.9%+1.3%+0.5%
Q3 2021+2.0%-0.7%-5.8%
Q2 2021-0.6%-5.8%-6.2%
Q1 2021+6.0%+2.9%+26.3%
Q4 2020-7.5%-11.4%+22.2%
Q3 2020+4.2%+2.4%+24.9%
Q2 2020-3.0%-2.3%+12.3%
Q1 2020+31.9%+15.0%+105.4%
Q4 2019-19.1%-22.5%-51.9%
Q3 2019+32.2%+24.5%+17.9%
Q2 2019-22.4%-26.8%-42.5%
Q1 2019-7.7%-12.0%-29.5%
Q4 2018+13.0%+15.2%-4.2%
Q3 2018-27.1%-17.8%-20.8%
Q2 2018+6.4%+8.9%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.8%+4.0%+9.8%
Q4 2017-2.3%-0.1%-5.8%
Q3 2017+1.9%-2.6%-2.5%
Q2 2017-7.9%-9.9%-13.1%
Q1 2017+7.5%+6.3%-6.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%-3.8%-7.7%
Q3 2016-17.8%-17.3%-4.9%
Q2 2016+5.3%+3.3%+3.3%
Q1 2016+5.8%
Q4 2015+24.9%
Q3 2015+6.6%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q4 2014-2.3%
Q3 2014+8.7%
Q2 2014-2.2%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013+4.4%
Q1 2013+12.2%
Q4 2012+5.0%
Q3 2012-6.2%
Q2 2012+4.5%
Q1 2011-10.0%
Q1 2012-10.0%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q4 2009-2.0%
Q4 2011-2.0%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010+10.2%
Q2 2011+10.2%
Q4 2010+10.2%

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