NYSE$CTO

CTO Realty Growth Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CTO Realty Growth's operating results for Q1 2023 were announced.

CTO Realty Growth reported a net loss per diluted share of ($0.32), Core FFO per diluted share of $0.39, and AFFO per diluted share of $0.43 for the quarter ended March 31, 2023. The company acquired a property for $3.3 million and originated a $15.0 million first mortgage loan. Same-Property NOI decreased by (1.2%) compared to Q1 2022.

  • Net Loss per diluted share attributable to common stockholders was ($0.32).
  • Core FFO per diluted share attributable to common stockholders was $0.39.
  • AFFO per diluted share attributable to common stockholders was $0.43.
  • Same-Property NOI decreased (1.2%) as compared to the first quarter of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24.7M

Previous: $17.2M+43.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.43

Previous: $0.16+168.8%
Leased Occupancy

89.9%

No prior period
Shopping Center Same-Property NOI Increase

10303000.0%

Previous: 6413000.0%+60.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.99M

Previous: $202K-3066.8%
Net Income

-$5.99M

Previous: $202K-3066.8%
Operating Income

$2.96M

Previous: $3.49M-15.2%
Gross Profit

$17.5M

Previous: $13.1M+33.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.02M

Previous: $9.45M-25.7%
Total Assets

$981M

Previous: $754M+30.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.07M

Previous: $906K+18.3%

Revenue & EPS history

CTO · Revenue · Quarterly

$24.7M

Q1 2023+43.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CTO · $23.5M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Income Properties
    $22.4M+47.9%
  • Management Fee Income
    $1.1M+17.3%

Forward guidance

The Company has maintained its Core FFO and AFFO outlook for 2023 and has revised certain assumptions to take into account the Company’s first quarter performance and revised expectations regarding the Company’s operational and investment activities and forecasted capital markets transactions.

Tailwinds

  • Same-Property NOI growth of 1% to 4%, including the impact of elevated bad debt expense, occupancy loss and costs associated with tenants in bankruptcy and/or tenant lease defaults
  • General and administrative expense within a range of $14 million to $15 million
  • Weighted average diluted shares outstanding of approximately 22.5 million shares
  • Year-end 2023 leased occupancy projected to be within a range of 94% to 95% before any potential impact from 2023 income property acquisitions and/or dispositions
  • Investment in income producing assets, including structured investments, between $100 million and $200 million at a weighted average initial cash yield between 7.25% and 8.00%

Headwinds

  • The Company’s 2023 guidance assumes continued stability in economic activity
  • The Company’s 2023 guidance assumes stable or positive business trends related to each of our tenants
  • The Company’s 2023 guidance assumes other significant assumptions.
  • Disposition of assets between $5 million and $75 million at a weighted average exit cash yield between 6.00% and 7.50%
  • Impact of elevated bad debt expense, occupancy loss and costs associated with tenants in bankruptcy and/or tenant lease defaults

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

38 / 63 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-5.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+3.2%+4.3%
Q4 2025+4.5%+1.8%-4.4%
Q3 2025+0.9%+3.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.8%+1.8%
Q4 2024-5.9%-7.5%-6.6%
Q3 2024+0.1%-1.7%+1.3%
Q2 2024+3.3%+6.1%-0.5%
Q1 2024-2.0%-0.7%+2.2%
Q4 2023+4.4%+3.6%+1.4%
Q3 2023+0.6%+2.9%+6.2%
Q2 2023-2.9%-1.6%-3.8%
Q1 2023+1.0%-1.8%-4.7%
Q4 2022-5.5%-5.9%-11.5%
Q3 2022+2.2%+2.0%+2.2%
Q2 2022-2.1%-0.8%-0.8%
Q1 2022-0.5%-2.6%+3.4%
Q4 2021+6.6%+8.3%+10.0%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.4%+1.5%
Q2 2021+2.9%-0.5%+1.3%
Q1 2021+0.4%-4.0%+0.1%
Q4 2020+0.6%+1.7%+6.2%
Q3 2020+6.6%+8.4%+17.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+4.9%+12.7%
Q1 2020+6.8%+0.3%+6.2%
Q4 2019+3.2%+1.5%-18.4%
Q3 2019+4.5%+5.2%+4.6%
Q2 2019+7.4%+4.0%+2.9%
Q1 2019+2.5%+3.2%+0.8%
Q4 2018-0.8%+0.4%-3.1%
Q3 2018-2.8%-1.3%-8.7%
Q2 2018+0.6%+1.1%+7.6%
Q1 2018+6.1%+1.4%+4.7%
Q4 2017+1.0%+1.0%+3.1%
Q3 2017+2.7%-0.4%+3.7%
Q2 2017+2.0%-2.3%-3.4%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.4%+0.7%
Q4 2016-1.9%-1.5%-7.0%
Q3 2016-0.4%+1.8%+10.2%
Q2 2016-2.3%-1.8%+0.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015-0.5%
Q4 2014+9.5%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012-1.4%
Q2 2012+1.4%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-4.3%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q2 2011-2.4%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q2 2010+0.8%

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