NYSE$CTO

CTO Realty Growth Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CTO Realty Growth reported strong third quarter results, driven by strategic investments and disciplined capital management.

CTO Realty Growth reported a strong third quarter with net income per diluted share of $0.17 and Core FFO of $0.50 per diluted share, a 6.4% increase year-over-year. The company raised $125.7 million through its common stock ATM offering and closed a $100 million unsecured term loan. Investments totaled $191.3 million at a weighted average yield of 9.5%.

  • Net income per diluted share was $0.17.
  • Core FFO per diluted share increased by 6.4% to $0.50.
  • Investments totaled $191.3 million with a weighted average yield of 9.5%.
  • Liquidity stood at $213 million as of September 30, 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$31.8M

Previous: $28.5M+11.7%
EPS

$0.17

Previous: $0.48-64.6%
Shopping Center Same-Property NOI Increase

18223000.0%

Previous: 10762000.0%+69.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.23M

Previous: -$11M+16.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$3M

Previous: $2.69M-211.8%
Net Income

$6.23M

Previous: $2.69M+131.8%
Operating Income

$4.96M

Previous: $7.69M-35.5%
Gross Profit

$23.6M

Previous: $21.3M+11.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.17M

Previous: $7.02M+16.5%
Total Assets

$1.18B

Previous: $1.07B+10.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$750K

Previous: $868K-13.6%

Revenue & EPS history

CTO · Revenue · Quarterly

$31.8M

Q3 2024+11.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CTO · $23.9M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Income Properties
    $22.8M
  • Management Fee Income
    $1.1M

Forward guidance

The Company increased its Core FFO and AFFO outlook for 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Same-Property NOI growth of 4% to 6%.
  • Year-end 2024 leased occupancy projected to be within a range of 96% to 97%.
  • Investment between $300 million and $350 million at a weighted average initial cash yield between 8.50% and 9.00%.
  • General and administrative expenses within a range of $16.0 million to $16.5 million.
  • Weighted average diluted shares outstanding of 25.3 million shares.

Headwinds

  • Assumes continued stability in economic activity.
  • Assumes stable or positive business trends related to each of our tenants.
  • Includes the known impact of bad debt expense.
  • Includes occupancy loss and costs associated with tenants in bankruptcy.
  • Includes tenant lease defaults.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

38 / 63 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-5.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+3.2%+4.3%
Q4 2025+4.5%+1.8%-4.4%
Q3 2025+0.9%+3.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.8%+1.8%
Q4 2024-5.9%-7.5%-6.6%
Q3 2024+0.1%-1.7%+1.3%
Q2 2024+3.3%+6.1%-0.5%
Q1 2024-2.0%-0.7%+2.2%
Q4 2023+4.4%+3.6%+1.4%
Q3 2023+0.6%+2.9%+6.2%
Q2 2023-2.9%-1.6%-3.8%
Q1 2023+1.0%-1.8%-4.7%
Q4 2022-5.5%-5.9%-11.5%
Q3 2022+2.2%+2.0%+2.2%
Q2 2022-2.1%-0.8%-0.8%
Q1 2022-0.5%-2.6%+3.4%
Q4 2021+6.6%+8.3%+10.0%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.4%+1.5%
Q2 2021+2.9%-0.5%+1.3%
Q1 2021+0.4%-4.0%+0.1%
Q4 2020+0.6%+1.7%+6.2%
Q3 2020+6.6%+8.4%+17.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+4.9%+12.7%
Q1 2020+6.8%+0.3%+6.2%
Q4 2019+3.2%+1.5%-18.4%
Q3 2019+4.5%+5.2%+4.6%
Q2 2019+7.4%+4.0%+2.9%
Q1 2019+2.5%+3.2%+0.8%
Q4 2018-0.8%+0.4%-3.1%
Q3 2018-2.8%-1.3%-8.7%
Q2 2018+0.6%+1.1%+7.6%
Q1 2018+6.1%+1.4%+4.7%
Q4 2017+1.0%+1.0%+3.1%
Q3 2017+2.7%-0.4%+3.7%
Q2 2017+2.0%-2.3%-3.4%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.4%+0.7%
Q4 2016-1.9%-1.5%-7.0%
Q3 2016-0.4%+1.8%+10.2%
Q2 2016-2.3%-1.8%+0.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015-0.5%
Q4 2014+9.5%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012-1.4%
Q2 2012+1.4%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-4.3%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q2 2011-2.4%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q2 2010+0.8%

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