NYSE$CTO

CTO Realty Growth Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. reported its operating results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024, highlighting strong investment activity and increased Core FFO.

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. had an outstanding year in 2024, closing $331 million in investments at a weighted average yield of 9.3% and achieving a record high Core FFO of $1.88 per share. The company also raised $165.2 million in net proceeds through its common ATM program and ended the year with $222 million in liquidity.

  • Closed investments of $57.0 million in Q4 2024 at a weighted average initial cash yield of 10.2%.
  • Reported Core FFO of $0.46 per diluted share attributable to common stockholders for Q4 2024.
  • Raised net proceeds of $33.0 million under the common stock ATM offering program in Q4 2024.
  • Signed 16 leases totaling 67,788 square feet in Q4 2024, with comparable leases showing a 7.8% increase in average cash base rent.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$35.7M

Previous: $29.9M+19.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $0.52-11.5%
Capital Expenditures

$169M

Previous: -$2.36M+7260.7%
Net Income

-$15.2M

Previous: $7.04M-316.2%
Operating Income

-$7.3M

Previous: $10.2M-171.7%

Revenue & EPS history

CTO · Revenue · Quarterly

$35.7M

Q4 2024+19.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CTO · $23.9M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Income Properties
    $22.8M
  • Management Fee Income
    $1.1M

Forward guidance

The Company's outlook for 2025 anticipates investments between $100.0 million and $200.0 million at a weighted average initial cash yield of 8.0% to 8.5%, with Same-Property NOI growth of approximately 1%.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipated investments between $100.0 million and $200.0 million.
  • Expected weighted average initial cash yield on investments between 8.0% and 8.5%.
  • Projected Same-Property NOI growth of approximately 1% compared to 2024.
  • Core FFO per Common Share - Diluted is expected to be between $1.80 and $1.86.
  • AFFO per Common Share - Diluted is expected to be between $1.93 and $1.98.

Headwinds

  • Outlook incorporates an estimated $0.10 per common share impact from announced and anticipated store closings.
  • Outlook incorporates an estimated $0.05 per common share impact from the anticipated cash settlement of the 2025 Convertible Notes.
  • General and administrative expenses are projected to be between $17.5 million and $18.0 million.
  • The outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties described in the press release and SEC filings.
  • The guidance includes the estimated impact associated with announced and anticipated store closings on Same-Property NOI growth.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

38 / 63 earnings

Positive

+9.5%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-5.9%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.5%+3.2%+4.3%
Q4 2025+4.5%+1.8%-4.4%
Q3 2025+0.9%+3.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025+0.3%-1.8%+1.8%
Q4 2024-5.9%-7.5%-6.6%
Q3 2024+0.1%-1.7%+1.3%
Q2 2024+3.3%+6.1%-0.5%
Q1 2024-2.0%-0.7%+2.2%
Q4 2023+4.4%+3.6%+1.4%
Q3 2023+0.6%+2.9%+6.2%
Q2 2023-2.9%-1.6%-3.8%
Q1 2023+1.0%-1.8%-4.7%
Q4 2022-5.5%-5.9%-11.5%
Q3 2022+2.2%+2.0%+2.2%
Q2 2022-2.1%-0.8%-0.8%
Q1 2022-0.5%-2.6%+3.4%
Q4 2021+6.6%+8.3%+10.0%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.4%+1.5%
Q2 2021+2.9%-0.5%+1.3%
Q1 2021+0.4%-4.0%+0.1%
Q4 2020+0.6%+1.7%+6.2%
Q3 2020+6.6%+8.4%+17.8%
Q2 2020+4.5%+4.9%+12.7%
Q1 2020+6.8%+0.3%+6.2%
Q4 2019+3.2%+1.5%-18.4%
Q3 2019+4.5%+5.2%+4.6%
Q2 2019+7.4%+4.0%+2.9%
Q1 2019+2.5%+3.2%+0.8%
Q4 2018-0.8%+0.4%-3.1%
Q3 2018-2.8%-1.3%-8.7%
Q2 2018+0.6%+1.1%+7.6%
Q1 2018+6.1%+1.4%+4.7%
Q4 2017+1.0%+1.0%+3.1%
Q3 2017+2.7%-0.4%+3.7%
Q2 2017+2.0%-2.3%-3.4%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.4%+0.7%
Q4 2016-1.9%-1.5%-7.0%
Q3 2016-0.4%+1.8%+10.2%
Q2 2016-2.3%-1.8%+0.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015+0.2%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q1 2015-0.5%
Q4 2014+9.5%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012-1.4%
Q2 2012+1.4%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011-4.3%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q2 2011-2.4%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q2 2010+0.8%

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