NYSE$CBRE

CBRE Group Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CBRE's Q4 2019 financial results were released, showcasing record revenue and earnings.

CBRE Group, Inc. reported strong Q4 2019 results, with revenue reaching $7.119 billion, a 13.1% increase year-over-year. GAAP EPS was $1.87, up 63.0%, and adjusted EPS was $1.32, an 8.8% increase. The company anticipates adjusted EPS of $4.05 to $4.25 for 2020.

  • Revenue reached $7.119 billion, up 13.1% from Q4 2018.
  • GAAP net income was $638 million, a 61.9% increase year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EPS increased by 8.8% to $1.32.
  • Global property sales surged 21%, reaching its highest level ever for a quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.12B

Previous: $6.29B+13.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.32

Previous: $1.21+9.1%
Operating Margin

18.6%

No prior period
Advisory SOP

$523M

No prior period
REI SOP

$43M

No prior period
Mortgage Origination Growth

-15.0%

No prior period
Property Sales Growth

21.0%

No prior period
Leasing Revenue Growth

-7.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$133M

Previous: $75.9M+75.1%
Free Cash Flow

$951M

Previous: $553M+72.0%
Net Income

$638M

Previous: $394M+62.0%
Operating Income

$514M

Previous: $459M+11.9%
Gross Profit

$1.59B

Previous: $1.52B+4.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$972M

Previous: $777M+25.0%
Total Assets

$16.2B

Previous: $13.5B+20.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$28.8M

Previous: $31.1M-7.6%

Revenue & EPS history

CBRE · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.12B

Q4 2019+13.1%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CBRE · $3.06B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Advisory Services
    $2.82B+3.4%
  • Real Estate Investments
    $247M+62.5%

Forward guidance

CBRE expects adjusted earnings-per-share of $4.05 to $4.25 for 2020, indicating growth of 12% at the mid-point of the range.

Tailwinds

  • Advisory Services fee revenue growth in the mid-single-digit percentage range
  • Similar level of growth anticipated for both leasing and capital markets (property sales and commercial mortgage origination combined)
  • Fee revenue in the GWS segment is expected to increase in the low double-digit percentage range as the pipeline remains strong and renewals/expansions are expected to be in line with the historical average
  • Solid adjusted EBITDA growth in its Advisory Services and GWS business segments
  • Adjusted EBITDA from its REI segment will increase significantly to around $250 million for the year at the midpoint of the company’s outlook

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-4.3%-14.5%
Q4 2025-8.8%-5.5%-10.5%
Q3 2025+0.1%-2.6%-4.3%
Q2 2025+7.8%+5.0%+10.5%
Q1 2025+0.8%-0.2%-0.8%
Q4 2024+1.8%+2.2%-10.7%
Q3 2024+7.7%+6.3%+10.0%
Q2 2024+12.5%+13.9%+19.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.3%+1.5%
Q4 2023+7.2%+4.7%+7.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+5.6%+18.9%
Q2 2023-6.7%-6.1%-6.5%
Q1 2023+9.6%+7.4%+8.0%
Q4 2022-1.1%-0.9%-19.9%
Q3 2022-2.6%+0.2%+6.4%
Q2 2022+0.4%-0.3%-7.7%
Q1 2022-5.1%-8.2%-6.6%
Q4 2021+2.7%-0.5%-6.0%
Q3 2021+0.5%-1.4%-5.2%
Q2 2021+6.0%+5.7%+5.1%
Q1 2021+3.1%+3.4%+6.2%
Q4 2020+2.6%+0.7%+1.6%
Q3 2020+14.8%+18.2%+39.2%
Q2 2020-4.4%-1.0%+10.6%
Q1 2020+9.0%-2.5%+41.6%
Q4 2019-1.4%+1.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019-1.9%-0.7%+5.3%
Q2 2019+0.9%-2.7%-1.4%
Q1 2019-2.8%-3.8%-1.5%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.6%+5.9%
Q3 2018+3.6%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2018-0.7%-0.5%-2.1%
Q1 2018+0.3%+1.0%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.5%+3.8%+11.9%
Q3 2017+3.9%+4.6%+10.2%
Q2 2017-1.9%-1.6%-7.8%
Q1 2017+3.6%+4.1%-0.5%
Q4 2016+9.2%+12.3%+15.3%
Q3 2016-6.7%-7.0%+5.8%
Q2 2016-1.4%-1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2016-3.2%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015+8.9%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-4.0%
Q1 2014+9.9%
Q4 2013-3.5%
Q3 2013+0.3%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+8.7%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+3.7%
Q4 2011+3.1%
Q3 2011-5.8%
Q2 2011+1.0%
Q1 2010-2.7%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2008-1.8%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.8%
Q2 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009+1.8%

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