NYSE$CBRE

CBRE Group Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CBRE's first quarter results were slightly better than expected, but still significantly down from last year. The company maintains its earnings outlook for full-year 2023.

CBRE Group, Inc. reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023. GAAP EPS declined 68% to $0.37, and Core EPS declined 34% to $0.92. Revenue was $7.411 billion, a 1.1% increase year-over-year.

  • First quarter results were slightly better than expected, led by resilient business elements and cost management.
  • Full-year 2023 earnings outlook maintained, with core earnings per share expected to decline by low-to-mid double digits, but exceed the prior peak in 2024.
  • Cyclically resilient businesses, including Global Workplace Solutions, loan servicing, and property management, rose nearly 10% and are expected to generate over 50% of business segment operating profit.
  • GWS had its strongest first quarter for new business since 2019, with pipeline rising to a record level.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.41B

Previous: $7.33B+1.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.92

Previous: $1.39-33.8%
Operating Margin

0.0%

Previous: 20.7%-100.0%
Advisory SOP

$270M

Previous: $466M-42.1%
REI SOP

$131M

Previous: $167M-21.6%
Mortgage Origination Growth

-51.0%

Previous: 4.0%-1375.0%
Property Sales Growth

-41.0%

Previous: 58.0%-170.7%
Leasing Revenue Growth

-8.0%

Previous: 49.0%-116.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$60.3M

Previous: -$42.1M-43.3%
Free Cash Flow

$56.6M

Previous: $350M-83.8%
Net Income

$117M

Previous: $392M-70.2%
Operating Income

$37.4M

Previous: $377M-90.1%
Gross Profit

$1.4B

Previous: $1.58B-11.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.23B

Previous: $1.66B-25.7%
Total Assets

$21B

Previous: $21.1B-0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$18M

Previous: $36.9M-51.2%

Revenue & EPS history

CBRE · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.41B

Q1 2023+1.1%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CBRE · $2.08B total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Advisory Services
    $1.85B-17.5%
  • Real Estate Investments
    $224M-21.2%

Forward guidance

CBRE is maintaining its earnings outlook for full-year 2023, with core earnings per share expected to decline by low-to-mid double digits this year, but then exceed the prior peak in 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Benefits from the diversification of the business.
  • Intense focus on cost management.
  • Expectation that a recession this year will be moderate.
  • Eventual easing of the Fed’s monetary policy will spur a rebound in economic activity in 2024.
  • GWS pipeline rose to a record level with growth across nearly all key client sectors.

Headwinds

  • Pressure on transactional businesses is expected to intensify further this year.
  • Uncertainty in the outlook is higher than 60 days ago.
  • Non-core operating loss totaled $26 million, primarily due to the lower fair-value of the company’s investment in Altus Power, Inc.
  • Sales revenue fell 41% due to severely constrained capital availability and especially difficult comparisons with first-quarter 2022.
  • Most debt capital sources sharply curtailed their lending activity.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-4.3%-14.5%
Q4 2025-8.8%-5.5%-10.5%
Q3 2025+0.1%-2.6%-4.3%
Q2 2025+7.8%+5.0%+10.5%
Q1 2025+0.8%-0.2%-0.8%
Q4 2024+1.8%+2.2%-10.7%
Q3 2024+7.7%+6.3%+10.0%
Q2 2024+12.5%+13.9%+19.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.3%+1.5%
Q4 2023+7.2%+4.7%+7.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+5.6%+18.9%
Q2 2023-6.7%-6.1%-6.5%
Q1 2023+9.6%+7.4%+8.0%
Q4 2022-1.1%-0.9%-19.9%
Q3 2022-2.6%+0.2%+6.4%
Q2 2022+0.4%-0.3%-7.7%
Q1 2022-5.1%-8.2%-6.6%
Q4 2021+2.7%-0.5%-6.0%
Q3 2021+0.5%-1.4%-5.2%
Q2 2021+6.0%+5.7%+5.1%
Q1 2021+3.1%+3.4%+6.2%
Q4 2020+2.6%+0.7%+1.6%
Q3 2020+14.8%+18.2%+39.2%
Q2 2020-4.4%-1.0%+10.6%
Q1 2020+9.0%-2.5%+41.6%
Q4 2019-1.4%+1.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019-1.9%-0.7%+5.3%
Q2 2019+0.9%-2.7%-1.4%
Q1 2019-2.8%-3.8%-1.5%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.6%+5.9%
Q3 2018+3.6%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2018-0.7%-0.5%-2.1%
Q1 2018+0.3%+1.0%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.5%+3.8%+11.9%
Q3 2017+3.9%+4.6%+10.2%
Q2 2017-1.9%-1.6%-7.8%
Q1 2017+3.6%+4.1%-0.5%
Q4 2016+9.2%+12.3%+15.3%
Q3 2016-6.7%-7.0%+5.8%
Q2 2016-1.4%-1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2016-3.2%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015+8.9%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-4.0%
Q1 2014+9.9%
Q4 2013-3.5%
Q3 2013+0.3%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+8.7%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+3.7%
Q4 2011+3.1%
Q3 2011-5.8%
Q2 2011+1.0%
Q1 2010-2.7%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2008-1.8%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.8%
Q2 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009+1.8%

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