NYSE$CBRE

CBRE Group Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CBRE reported a decline in GAAP EPS and Core EPS due to sustained slowdown in property sales and debt financing activity.

CBRE Group, Inc. reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023. GAAP EPS declined 56% to $0.61, and Core EPS declined 36% to $0.72. The company now expects 2023 core earnings-per-share to decrease by mid-30%.

  • Commercial real estate capital markets remained under significant pressure.
  • Experienced a sustained slowdown in property sales and debt financing activity.
  • Decline in core earnings-per-share was exacerbated by delays in harvesting development assets.
  • Interest rates have increased more than 100 basis points since the second quarter results.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.87B

Previous: $7.53B+4.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.72

Previous: $1.13-36.3%
Operating Margin

13.8%

Previous: 17.4%-20.7%
Advisory SOP

$277M

No prior period
REI SOP

$6.62M

No prior period
Mortgage Origination Growth

-18.0%

Previous: -28.0%+35.7%
Property Sales Growth

-38.0%

Previous: -11.0%-245.5%
Leasing Revenue Growth

-16.0%

Previous: 14.0%-214.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$103M

Previous: -$161M+35.9%
Free Cash Flow

$87.3M

Previous: $286M-69.4%
Net Income

$191M

Previous: $447M-57.3%
Operating Income

$269M

Previous: $374M-28.0%
Gross Profit

$1.47B

Previous: $1.6B-7.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.25B

Previous: $1.13B+11.3%
Total Assets

$21.7B

Previous: $20.2B+7.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$34.2M

Previous: $41.5M-17.5%

Revenue & EPS history

CBRE · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.87B

Q3 2023+4.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CBRE · $2.22B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Advisory Services
    $2.01B-17.3%
  • Real Estate Investments
    $210M-18.6%

Forward guidance

CBRE now expects 2023 core earnings-per-share to decrease by mid-30%, compared with a 20% to 25% decline anticipated when the company reported second quarter 2023 results 90 days ago. The reduced outlook is almost entirely attributable to the company’s interest-rate sensitive businesses. The company believes 2023 will be the trough for earnings.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-4.3%-14.5%
Q4 2025-8.8%-5.5%-10.5%
Q3 2025+0.1%-2.6%-4.3%
Q2 2025+7.8%+5.0%+10.5%
Q1 2025+0.8%-0.2%-0.8%
Q4 2024+1.8%+2.2%-10.7%
Q3 2024+7.7%+6.3%+10.0%
Q2 2024+12.5%+13.9%+19.1%
Q1 2024-0.5%-0.3%+1.5%
Q4 2023+7.2%+4.7%+7.3%
Q3 2023+1.6%+5.6%+18.9%
Q2 2023-6.7%-6.1%-6.5%
Q1 2023+9.6%+7.4%+8.0%
Q4 2022-1.1%-0.9%-19.9%
Q3 2022-2.6%+0.2%+6.4%
Q2 2022+0.4%-0.3%-7.7%
Q1 2022-5.1%-8.2%-6.6%
Q4 2021+2.7%-0.5%-6.0%
Q3 2021+0.5%-1.4%-5.2%
Q2 2021+6.0%+5.7%+5.1%
Q1 2021+3.1%+3.4%+6.2%
Q4 2020+2.6%+0.7%+1.6%
Q3 2020+14.8%+18.2%+39.2%
Q2 2020-4.4%-1.0%+10.6%
Q1 2020+9.0%-2.5%+41.6%
Q4 2019-1.4%+1.4%-31.1%
Q3 2019-1.9%-0.7%+5.3%
Q2 2019+0.9%-2.7%-1.4%
Q1 2019-2.8%-3.8%-1.5%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.6%+5.9%
Q3 2018+3.6%+6.3%+8.4%
Q2 2018-0.7%-0.5%-2.1%
Q1 2018+0.3%+1.0%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.5%+3.8%+11.9%
Q3 2017+3.9%+4.6%+10.2%
Q2 2017-1.9%-1.6%-7.8%
Q1 2017+3.6%+4.1%-0.5%
Q4 2016+9.2%+12.3%+15.3%
Q3 2016-6.7%-7.0%+5.8%
Q2 2016-1.4%-1.9%+2.7%
Q1 2016-3.2%
Q4 2015+0.3%
Q3 2015+8.9%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-4.0%
Q1 2014+9.9%
Q4 2013-3.5%
Q3 2013+0.3%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+8.7%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q1 2012+3.7%
Q4 2011+3.1%
Q3 2011-5.8%
Q2 2011+1.0%
Q1 2010-2.7%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2008-1.8%
Q4 2010-1.8%
Q3 2009+1.5%
Q3 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.8%
Q2 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009+1.8%

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