NYSE$BLDR

Builders FirstSource Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a decrease in net sales, but an increase in adjusted EBITDA margin due to higher gross margin.

Builders FirstSource reported a decrease in net sales by 4.7% to $4.2 billion, driven by a decline in core organic net sales and commodity deflation, partially offset by acquisitions. Net income decreased by 8.8% to $350.7 million. However, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 50 basis points to 16.5% due to higher gross margin.

  • Net sales decreased by 4.7% to $4.2 billion.
  • Net income decreased by 8.8% to $350.7 million, or $2.83 earnings per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 1.6% to $685.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 50 basis points to 16.5%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.2B

Previous: $4.36B-3.6%
EPS (adj)

$3.55

Previous: $3.21+10.6%
Gross Margin

35.3%

Previous: 34.1%+3.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$686M

Previous: $700M-2.1%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

16.5%

Previous: 16.0%+3.1%
SG&A Expenses

$974M

Previous: $959M+1.6%
Net Interest Expense

$46.8M

Previous: $42.2M+10.9%
Income Tax Benefit

$92.9M

Previous: $99.3M-6.4%
Net Income Margin

8.4%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$99.7M

Previous: $135M-173.9%
Net Income

$351M

Previous: $400M-12.3%
Operating Income

$2.18B

Previous: $3.77B-42.3%
Gross Profit

$1.5B

Previous: $1.5B+0.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$13M

Previous: $4.69M+176.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Builders FirstSource · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.2B

Q4 2023-3.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Builders FirstSource · $4.53B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Manufactured Products
    $1.2B-19.0%
  • Lumber & Sheet Goods
    $1.15B-36.7%
  • Windows, Doors & Millwork
    $1.1B-14.8%
  • Specialty Building Products
    $1.08B-7.6%

Forward guidance

For 2024, Builders FirstSource anticipates net sales in the range of $17.5 billion to $18.5 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $2.4 billion and $2.8 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales to be in a range of $17.5 billion to $18.5 billion.
  • Gross Profit margin to be in a range of 30% to 33%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $2.4 billion to $2.8 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin to be in a range of 14.0% to 15.0%.
  • Free cash flow in the range of $1.0 billion to $1.2 billion.

Headwinds

  • Single-Family starts are projected to be up mid-single digits.
  • Multi-Family starts down 20% to 30%.
  • R&R is projected to be up low single digits.
  • Acquisitions completed within the last twelve months are projected to add net sales growth of 1% to 1.5%.
  • Interest expense in the range of $190 million to $200 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

30 / 64 earnings

Positive

+23.3%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%-10.6%-8.6%
Q4 2025+0.8%-3.6%-26.4%
Q3 2025-3.1%-4.8%-2.7%
Q1 2025-6.4%-10.4%-10.0%
Q4 2024-0.3%-2.8%-12.7%
Q3 2024+2.5%+3.4%+2.0%
Q2 2024+2.1%+3.9%+12.0%
Q1 2024-18.6%-16.9%-27.5%
Q4 2023+2.7%+5.2%+14.6%
Q3 2023+11.7%+15.7%+28.3%
Q2 2023-1.4%+3.7%+1.3%
Q1 2023+12.2%+19.4%+25.0%
Q4 2022+5.2%+9.4%+5.8%
Q3 2022-1.5%+13.8%+14.7%
Q2 2022+3.3%+0.5%-13.8%
Q1 2022-2.7%+3.3%+0.6%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.4%-13.3%
Q3 2021+11.6%+12.3%+18.0%
Q2 2021+2.9%+6.2%+18.6%
Q1 2021+6.7%+2.7%-13.0%
Q4 2020+10.4%+6.5%+14.8%
Q3 2020-0.7%+7.1%+24.3%
Q2 2020-0.0%+10.6%+33.6%
Q1 2020-11.8%-13.5%+6.5%
Q4 2019-4.5%-11.6%-59.2%
Q3 2019+8.7%+6.4%+13.6%
Q2 2019+9.8%+10.5%+13.2%
Q1 2019+17.0%+16.4%-1.9%
Q4 2018+2.2%+0.6%-2.8%
Q3 2018+17.8%+12.0%+9.3%
Q2 2018-1.4%-4.7%-9.4%
Q1 2018-3.1%-5.8%+2.8%
Q4 2017+7.8%+7.2%+1.0%
Q3 2017+5.3%+3.0%+17.5%
Q2 2017+7.0%+6.4%+6.1%
Q1 2017-4.2%-11.1%-11.1%
Q4 2016+13.4%+18.2%+15.8%
Q3 2016-3.1%+0.3%+12.1%
Q2 2016-4.2%-5.4%+2.4%
Q1 2016+2.8%
Q4 2015+13.4%
Q3 2015+23.3%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014-4.0%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014-10.8%
Q1 2014-4.4%
Q4 2013+7.2%
Q3 2013-0.5%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013+3.9%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012-15.4%
Q1 2012-6.9%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-10.4%
Q2 2011-11.0%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010+0.8%
Q3 2010-1.9%
Q2 2010-7.1%
Q1 2010-0.5%

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