NYSE$BLDR

Builders FirstSource Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Builders FirstSource's third quarter performance was impacted by a weaker housing market and commodity deflation, but acquisitions and operational initiatives partially offset these challenges.

Builders FirstSource reported net sales of $4.5 billion, a decrease of 21.3%, and net income of $451.5 million for Q3 2023. Despite market headwinds, the company focused on customer service, product mix, and digital tools to drive long-term growth.

  • Net sales decreased by 21.3% to $4.5 billion due to a weaker housing market and commodity deflation.
  • Net income decreased 38.8% to $451.5 million, with earnings per diluted share at $3.59.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 30.6% to $813.3 million, with a margin of 17.9%.
  • The company repurchased 1.7 million shares in Q3 and $1.6 billion year-to-date.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.53B

Previous: $5.76B-21.3%
EPS (adj)

$4.24

Previous: $5.20-18.5%
Gross Margin

34.9%

Previous: 35.0%-0.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$813M

Previous: $1.2B-32.2%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

17.9%

Previous: 20.3%-11.8%
SG&A Expenses

$940M

Previous: $1B-6.1%
Net Interest Expense

$50.2M

Previous: $44.1M+13.8%
Income Tax Benefit

$140M

Previous: $232M-39.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$377M

Previous: -$205M-83.5%
Free Cash Flow

$74.9M

Previous: $533M-85.9%
Net Income

$451M

Previous: $738M-38.8%
Operating Income

$642M

Previous: $1.01B-36.8%
Gross Profit

$1.58B

Previous: $2.01B-21.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$88.1M

Previous: $85M+3.7%
Total Assets

$10.7B

Previous: $11.5B-6.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.1M

Previous: $8.5M+42.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Builders FirstSource · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.53B

Q3 2023-21.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Builders FirstSource · $4.53B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Manufactured Products
    $1.2B-19.0%
  • Lumber & Sheet Goods
    $1.15B-36.7%
  • Windows, Doors & Millwork
    $1.1B-14.8%
  • Specialty Building Products
    $1.08B-7.6%

Forward guidance

For 2023, Builders FirstSource expects net sales to be in the range of $16.8 billion to $17.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $2.7 billion to $2.8 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales to be in a range of $16.8 billion to $17.1 billion.
  • Gross Profit margin to be in a range of 34% to 35%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $2.7 billion to $2.8 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin to be in a range of 15.8% to 16.7%.
  • Multi-Family starts up low double-digits

Headwinds

  • Single-Family starts are projected to be down low double-digits to high single-digits
  • Total capital expenditures in the range of $400 million to $450 million.
  • Free cash flow in the range of $1.8 billion to $2.0 billion, assuming average commodity prices in the range of $400 to $425 per thousand board feet (mbf).
  • Interest expense in the range of $190 million to $200 million.
  • An effective tax rate of 23.0% to 25.0%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

30 / 64 earnings

Positive

+23.3%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-18.6%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%-10.6%-8.6%
Q4 2025+0.8%-3.6%-26.4%
Q3 2025-3.1%-4.8%-2.7%
Q1 2025-6.4%-10.4%-10.0%
Q4 2024-0.3%-2.8%-12.7%
Q3 2024+2.5%+3.4%+2.0%
Q2 2024+2.1%+3.9%+12.0%
Q1 2024-18.6%-16.9%-27.5%
Q4 2023+2.7%+5.2%+14.6%
Q3 2023+11.7%+15.7%+28.3%
Q2 2023-1.4%+3.7%+1.3%
Q1 2023+12.2%+19.4%+25.0%
Q4 2022+5.2%+9.4%+5.8%
Q3 2022-1.5%+13.8%+14.7%
Q2 2022+3.3%+0.5%-13.8%
Q1 2022-2.7%+3.3%+0.6%
Q4 2021+3.8%-0.4%-13.3%
Q3 2021+11.6%+12.3%+18.0%
Q2 2021+2.9%+6.2%+18.6%
Q1 2021+6.7%+2.7%-13.0%
Q4 2020+10.4%+6.5%+14.8%
Q3 2020-0.7%+7.1%+24.3%
Q2 2020-0.0%+10.6%+33.6%
Q1 2020-11.8%-13.5%+6.5%
Q4 2019-4.5%-11.6%-59.2%
Q3 2019+8.7%+6.4%+13.6%
Q2 2019+9.8%+10.5%+13.2%
Q1 2019+17.0%+16.4%-1.9%
Q4 2018+2.2%+0.6%-2.8%
Q3 2018+17.8%+12.0%+9.3%
Q2 2018-1.4%-4.7%-9.4%
Q1 2018-3.1%-5.8%+2.8%
Q4 2017+7.8%+7.2%+1.0%
Q3 2017+5.3%+3.0%+17.5%
Q2 2017+7.0%+6.4%+6.1%
Q1 2017-4.2%-11.1%-11.1%
Q4 2016+13.4%+18.2%+15.8%
Q3 2016-3.1%+0.3%+12.1%
Q2 2016-4.2%-5.4%+2.4%
Q1 2016+2.8%
Q4 2015+13.4%
Q3 2015+23.3%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014-4.0%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014-10.8%
Q1 2014-4.4%
Q4 2013+7.2%
Q3 2013-0.5%
Q2 2013-2.2%
Q1 2013+3.9%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012-15.4%
Q1 2012-6.9%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-10.4%
Q2 2011-11.0%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010+0.8%
Q3 2010-1.9%
Q2 2010-7.1%
Q1 2010-0.5%

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