NYSE$AVB

AvalonBay Communities Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. announced its Q4 2024 operating results, dividend increase, and initial 2025 outlook.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. reported a 16.5% increase in EPS and a 2.2% increase in Core FFO per share for Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023. The company also announced a 2.9% dividend increase for Q1 2025.

  • EPS increased by 16.5% to $1.98 in Q4 2024 compared to $1.70 in Q4 2023.
  • Core FFO per share increased by 2.2% to $2.80 in Q4 2024 compared to $2.74 in Q4 2023.
  • Total revenue for Q4 2024 was $740,549,000, a 5.1% increase from Q4 2023.
  • The company completed the development of four wholly-owned communities in Q4 2024, adding 1,451 apartment homes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$741M

Previous: $705M+5.1%
EPS (adj)

$2.80

Previous: $2.74+2.2%
Net Debt to Core EBITDAre

4.2

No prior period
Unencumbered NOI

95.0%

No prior period
Economic Occupancy

95.6%

Previous: 95.7%-0.1%
Development Pipeline

17

No prior period
Commercial Space Under Dev

59.0K

No prior period
Total Apartment Homes

93.5K

No prior period
Total Communities

306

No prior period
Net Income

$282M

Previous: $242M+16.5%
Operating Income

$506M

Previous: $485M+4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

AvalonBay · Revenue · Quarterly

$741M

Q4 2024+5.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AvalonBay · $497M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Same Store Residential
    $497M

Forward guidance

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. provided an initial outlook for Q1 2025 and the full year 2025, projecting continued growth in EPS, FFO per share, and Core FFO per share.

Tailwinds

  • Projected Q1 2025 EPS range of $1.62 to $1.72.
  • Projected Q1 2025 FFO per share range of $2.73 to $2.83.
  • Projected Q1 2025 Core FFO per share range of $2.75 to $2.85.
  • Projected Full Year 2025 EPS range of $8.24 to $8.74.
  • Projected Full Year 2025 Core FFO per share range of $11.14 to $11.64.

Headwinds

  • Projected Q1 2025 gain on sale of communities is negative at $(0.40).
  • Projected Full Year 2025 gain on sale of communities is negative at $(3.29).
  • Projected Full Year 2025 expensed overhead change is negative, ranging from (11.5%) to (9.0%).
  • Projected Full Year 2025 expensed overhead change included in Core FFO is negative, ranging from (3.0%) to (0.5%).
  • The outlook is based on certain assumptions and may not be indicative of actual future results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

33 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.4%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2025-4.6%-0.2%+0.0%
Q3 2025-0.9%-0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025-0.5%-1.0%-1.5%
Q4 2024-1.1%-2.4%-2.6%
Q3 2024+4.7%+8.1%+5.3%
Q2 2024+3.3%-1.0%+9.5%
Q1 2024+0.1%-0.9%+2.1%
Q4 2023-0.2%-4.7%-0.2%
Q3 2023-0.9%-3.9%+2.4%
Q2 2023+0.9%-0.7%-0.5%
Q1 2023+3.5%+5.9%+0.1%
Q4 2022+0.4%+0.8%-7.9%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.9%+0.8%
Q2 2022+7.4%+5.2%+6.0%
Q1 2022-2.0%-9.5%-13.7%
Q4 2021+2.3%-0.0%+1.2%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.3%+2.1%
Q2 2021+0.7%+0.2%-1.2%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.9%+6.0%
Q4 2020+3.3%+4.1%+6.7%
Q3 2020-2.7%+3.9%+20.0%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.2%+6.2%
Q1 2020+0.7%-1.3%+8.4%
Q4 2019+0.2%+1.4%-4.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-1.0%-1.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-4.9%+0.8%
Q1 2019+1.9%+0.9%+4.6%
Q4 2018+2.3%+2.3%+2.8%
Q3 2018+2.1%-1.0%+8.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+4.6%+7.0%
Q1 2018-0.2%+0.7%-0.1%
Q4 2017-1.7%-4.7%-7.8%
Q3 2017-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Q2 2017-2.2%-1.9%-2.1%
Q1 2017-0.6%+0.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016+1.3%+0.9%+4.5%
Q3 2016-0.6%-0.3%-4.5%
Q2 2016-1.6%+0.2%-5.8%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-0.0%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q3 2013-4.3%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2012-5.9%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011-1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-3.6%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q1 2009-6.7%
Q1 2010-6.7%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q3 2008+5.3%
Q3 2009+5.3%
Q4 2008+5.3%
Q2 2008-5.1%
Q2 2009-5.1%

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