NYSE$AVB

AvalonBay Communities Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AvalonBay's performance declined due to a decrease in Established Community Residential NOI.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. reported a decrease in Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders for the three months ended March 31, 2021. EPS, FFO per share, and Core FFO per share also decreased compared to the prior year period.

  • Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders decreased to $142,223,000.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS) decreased by 14.3% to $1.02.
  • Funds from Operations (FFO) per share decreased by 14.9% to $1.94.
  • Core FFO per share decreased by 18.4% to $1.95.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$551M

Previous: $602M-8.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.95

Previous: $2.39-18.4%
Total Apartment Homes

85.8K

No prior period
Total Communities

290

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$226M

Previous: -$279M+18.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$84.2M

Previous: -$111M+24.0%
Net Income

$142M

Previous: $168M-15.3%
Operating Income

$365M

Previous: $425M-14.1%
Gross Profit

$411M

Previous: $470M-12.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$129M

Previous: $778M-83.4%
Total Assets

$19.1B

Previous: $19.9B-3.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.38M

Previous: $5.34M+0.8%

Revenue & EPS history

AvalonBay · Revenue · Quarterly

$551M

Q1 2021-8.4%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AvalonBay · $497M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Same Store Residential
    $497M

Forward guidance

The Company expects the following for its second quarter 2021 financial outlook:

Tailwinds

  • Projected EPS between $2.95 and $3.05
  • Projected FFO per share between $1.82 and $1.92
  • Projected Core FFO per share between $1.85 and $1.95
  • Residential revenue change between -6.25% and -4.75%
  • Residential operating expense change between 6.75% and 9.75%

Headwinds

  • Residential NOI change between -13.0% and -10.0%
  • Established Community Residential NOI decrease
  • Potential impact of COVID-19 pandemic
  • Adverse capital and credit market conditions
  • Delays in completing development/redevelopment

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

33 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.4%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2025-4.6%-0.2%+0.0%
Q3 2025-0.9%-0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025-0.5%-1.0%-1.5%
Q4 2024-1.1%-2.4%-2.6%
Q3 2024+4.7%+8.1%+5.3%
Q2 2024+3.3%-1.0%+9.5%
Q1 2024+0.1%-0.9%+2.1%
Q4 2023-0.2%-4.7%-0.2%
Q3 2023-0.9%-3.9%+2.4%
Q2 2023+0.9%-0.7%-0.5%
Q1 2023+3.5%+5.9%+0.1%
Q4 2022+0.4%+0.8%-7.9%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.9%+0.8%
Q2 2022+7.4%+5.2%+6.0%
Q1 2022-2.0%-9.5%-13.7%
Q4 2021+2.3%-0.0%+1.2%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.3%+2.1%
Q2 2021+0.7%+0.2%-1.2%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.9%+6.0%
Q4 2020+3.3%+4.1%+6.7%
Q3 2020-2.7%+3.9%+20.0%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.2%+6.2%
Q1 2020+0.7%-1.3%+8.4%
Q4 2019+0.2%+1.4%-4.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-1.0%-1.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-4.9%+0.8%
Q1 2019+1.9%+0.9%+4.6%
Q4 2018+2.3%+2.3%+2.8%
Q3 2018+2.1%-1.0%+8.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+4.6%+7.0%
Q1 2018-0.2%+0.7%-0.1%
Q4 2017-1.7%-4.7%-7.8%
Q3 2017-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Q2 2017-2.2%-1.9%-2.1%
Q1 2017-0.6%+0.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016+1.3%+0.9%+4.5%
Q3 2016-0.6%-0.3%-4.5%
Q2 2016-1.6%+0.2%-5.8%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-0.0%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q3 2013-4.3%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2012-5.9%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011-1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-3.6%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q1 2009-6.7%
Q1 2010-6.7%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q3 2008+5.3%
Q3 2009+5.3%
Q4 2008+5.3%
Q2 2008-5.1%
Q2 2009-5.1%

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