NYSE$AVB

AvalonBay Communities Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AvalonBay's financial performance for Q3 2024 was marked by significant EPS growth and strategic capital deployment.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. reported a strong Q3 2024 with a notable increase in Earnings per Share (EPS). The company also completed development projects, started new constructions, and engaged in strategic acquisitions and dispositions, enhancing its portfolio and financial position.

  • Reported EPS increased by 115.7% compared to Q3 2023.
  • Completed development of two communities with 629 apartment homes and 9,200 square feet of commercial space.
  • Started construction of four apartment communities expected to contain 1,418 apartment homes.
  • Acquired three wholly-owned communities with a total of 668 apartment homes and 1,700 square feet of commercial space.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$734M

Previous: $698M+5.3%
EPS

$2.61

Previous: $2.66-1.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.11B

Previous: -$897M-23.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$734M

Previous: -$725M-1.3%
Net Income

$373M

Previous: $172M+116.8%
Operating Income

$497M

Previous: $472M+5.2%
Gross Profit

$541M

Previous: $522M+3.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$552M

Previous: $509M+8.6%
Total Assets

$21.3B

Previous: $20.7B+2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.75M

Previous: $6.73M+0.2%

Revenue & EPS history

AvalonBay · Revenue · Quarterly

$734M

Q3 2024+5.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AvalonBay · $497M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Same Store Residential
    $497M

Forward guidance

AvalonBay provided its financial outlook for Q4 and full year 2024, projecting EPS between $1.61 and $1.71 for Q4, and between $7.23 and $7.33 for the full year. The company also anticipates Same Store Residential revenue change between 3.4% and 3.6% for the full year.

Tailwinds

  • Projected EPS for Q4 2024 is expected to be between $1.61 and $1.71.
  • Projected FFO per share for Q4 2024 is expected to be between $2.67 and $2.77.
  • Projected Core FFO per share for Q4 2024 is expected to be between $2.78 and $2.88.
  • Full year 2024 Same Store Residential revenue is projected to increase by 3.4% to 3.6%.
  • Full year 2024 Same Store Residential NOI is projected to increase by 2.8% to 3.2%.

Headwinds

  • Non-core items are expected to negatively impact Q4 2024 EPS by $0.25 per share.
  • Gain on sale of real estate and depreciation expense are expected to negatively impact Q4 2024 EPS by $0.79 per share.
  • Capital markets and transaction activity are expected to negatively impact Q4 2024 EPS, FFO and Core FFO by $0.03 per share.
  • Full year 2024 Same Store Residential Opex is projected to increase by 4.3% to 4.7%.
  • The full year 2024 EPS outlook is lower compared to the July 2024 outlook.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

33 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.4%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-0.6%-0.4%
Q4 2025-4.6%-0.2%+0.0%
Q3 2025-0.9%-0.1%+3.2%
Q1 2025-0.5%-1.0%-1.5%
Q4 2024-1.1%-2.4%-2.6%
Q3 2024+4.7%+8.1%+5.3%
Q2 2024+3.3%-1.0%+9.5%
Q1 2024+0.1%-0.9%+2.1%
Q4 2023-0.2%-4.7%-0.2%
Q3 2023-0.9%-3.9%+2.4%
Q2 2023+0.9%-0.7%-0.5%
Q1 2023+3.5%+5.9%+0.1%
Q4 2022+0.4%+0.8%-7.9%
Q3 2022-2.3%-5.9%+0.8%
Q2 2022+7.4%+5.2%+6.0%
Q1 2022-2.0%-9.5%-13.7%
Q4 2021+2.3%-0.0%+1.2%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.3%+2.1%
Q2 2021+0.7%+0.2%-1.2%
Q1 2021-1.9%-1.9%+6.0%
Q4 2020+3.3%+4.1%+6.7%
Q3 2020-2.7%+3.9%+20.0%
Q2 2020+0.6%-0.2%+6.2%
Q1 2020+0.7%-1.3%+8.4%
Q4 2019+0.2%+1.4%-4.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-1.0%-1.8%
Q2 2019-3.7%-4.9%+0.8%
Q1 2019+1.9%+0.9%+4.6%
Q4 2018+2.3%+2.3%+2.8%
Q3 2018+2.1%-1.0%+8.0%
Q2 2018+2.7%+4.6%+7.0%
Q1 2018-0.2%+0.7%-0.1%
Q4 2017-1.7%-4.7%-7.8%
Q3 2017-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Q2 2017-2.2%-1.9%-2.1%
Q1 2017-0.6%+0.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016+1.3%+0.9%+4.5%
Q3 2016-0.6%-0.3%-4.5%
Q2 2016-1.6%+0.2%-5.8%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-2.2%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-0.0%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q3 2013-4.3%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2012-5.9%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011-1.5%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q2 2011-3.6%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q1 2009-6.7%
Q1 2010-6.7%
Q4 2007-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q3 2008+5.3%
Q3 2009+5.3%
Q4 2008+5.3%
Q2 2008-5.1%
Q2 2009-5.1%

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