NYSE$AVA

Avista Corporation · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income for the fourth quarter of 2022, showing an increase compared to the same period in 2021, and confirmed 2023 earnings guidance.

Avista Corp. reported a net income of $78.0 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to $50.9 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2021. The company confirmed its 2023 consolidated earnings guidance with a range of $2.27 to $2.47 per diluted share.

  • Net income for Q4 2022 was $78.0 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, compared to $50.9 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, for Q4 2021.
  • Consolidated earnings for 2022 were better than expected due to increases in the fair value of certain non-regulated investments.
  • Avista Utilities' earnings were slightly below expectations due to higher power supply costs.
  • The company filed a multi-year rate plan in Idaho to recover infrastructure investment and increased operating costs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$497M

Previous: $419M+18.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.05

Previous: $0.71+47.9%
Capital Expenditures

$121M

Previous: $117M+3.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$207M

Previous: -$78.7M-162.9%
Net Income

$78M

Previous: $50.9M+53.2%
Operating Income

$104M

Previous: $70.4M+47.2%
Gross Profit

$266M

Previous: $262M+1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$13.4M

Previous: $22.2M-39.4%
Total Assets

$7.42B

Previous: $6.85B+8.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.93M

Previous: $1.54M+25.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Avista · Revenue · Quarterly

$497M

Q4 2022+18.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Avista Corp. is confirming its 2023 consolidated earnings guidance with a range of $2.27 to $2.47 per diluted share.

Tailwinds

  • Timely and appropriate rate relief in all of our jurisdictions
  • Avista Utilities to contribute in the range of $2.15 to $2.31 per diluted share.
  • Expect to be in the deadband of the ERM, with an increase to earnings of $0.03 per diluted share.
  • Expect to manage our operating costs to an increase of 2 percent in 2023.
  • AEL&P to contribute in the range of $0.08 to $0.10 per diluted share.

Headwinds

  • Unrecovered structural costs estimated to reduce the return on equity by approximately 70 basis points
  • Regulatory timing lag estimated to reduce the return on equity by approximately 80 basis points.
  • Expected return on equity for Avista Utilities of approximately 7.9 percent in 2023.
  • Guidance assumes normal precipitation, temperatures, hydroelectric generation, and other operating conditions.
  • Guidance does not include the effect of unusual or non-recurring items until the effects are known and certain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

35 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-4.6%-6.4%-6.4%
Q3 2025+2.6%+6.3%+0.1%
Q2 2025-4.2%-2.3%-3.6%
Q1 2025-1.7%-6.1%-10.7%
Q4 2024+3.3%+3.3%+6.1%
Q3 2024-1.8%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2024+2.3%+3.9%+2.8%
Q4 2023+0.1%-2.1%-0.8%
Q3 2023+8.4%+10.3%+10.2%
Q2 2023+0.6%-1.2%-11.1%
Q1 2023+1.4%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2022+2.5%+1.7%+1.1%
Q3 2022-10.1%-9.5%+0.9%
Q2 2022+0.1%-1.0%-5.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%+5.6%+7.2%
Q4 2021+2.1%+5.0%+5.5%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.8%-2.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-4.2%-4.1%
Q1 2021+2.4%+2.8%-2.9%
Q4 2020+4.6%+2.5%+24.3%
Q3 2020-3.1%+3.0%+7.3%
Q2 2020-0.1%+3.1%+0.4%
Q1 2020-1.5%-9.4%-1.1%
Q4 2019-1.0%+1.2%-16.6%
Q3 2019-1.3%-2.3%-0.0%
Q2 2019+2.5%+2.2%+4.6%
Q1 2019+3.1%+2.6%-1.2%
Q4 2018-1.3%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+0.8%+0.8%-15.6%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.5%+1.4%
Q1 2018-0.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2017-1.0%-1.6%+3.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-0.6%
Q2 2017-1.0%-0.7%-2.3%
Q1 2017+2.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.0%+0.8%
Q3 2016-3.6%-3.3%-3.0%
Q2 2016-0.9%-2.3%-4.8%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+4.1%
Q3 2015+2.6%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015-1.2%
Q4 2014-1.5%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+2.2%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012-2.1%
Q2 2012-4.5%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010+3.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2008+1.0%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q3 2009+0.0%
Q2 2009+0.9%
Q4 2009+0.9%
Q2 2010+0.9%

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