NYSE$AVA

Avista Corporation · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Avista Corp's financial results for Q4 2019 were reported, showing an increase in net income and earnings per share compared to Q4 2018. The company also initiated its 2020 earnings guidance.

Avista Corp. reported a net income of $50.8 million, or $0.76 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to $45.8 million, or $0.70 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2018. The company also initiated its 2020 earnings guidance with a consolidated range of $1.95 to $2.15 per diluted share.

  • Net income attributable to Avista Corp. shareholders increased to $50.8 million in Q4 2019 from $45.8 million in Q4 2018.
  • Earnings per diluted share attributable to Avista Corp. shareholders rose to $0.76 in Q4 2019 from $0.70 in Q4 2018.
  • Avista Utilities reported a net income of $44.9 million in Q4 2019, compared to $43.1 million in Q4 2018.
  • The company initiated its 2020 earnings guidance with a consolidated range of $1.95 to $2.15 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$353M

Previous: $355M-0.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.76

Previous: $0.70+8.6%
Capital Expenditures

$122M

Previous: $128M-5.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$63.8M

Previous: -$132M+51.7%
Net Income

$50.8M

Previous: $45.8M+10.8%
Operating Income

$73.3M

Previous: $77.2M-5.0%
Gross Profit

$249M

Previous: $240M+3.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$9.9M

Previous: $14.7M-32.5%
Total Assets

$6.08B

Previous: $5.78B+5.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.4M

Previous: $152K+1480.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Avista · Revenue · Quarterly

$353M

Q4 2019-0.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Avista Corp. initiated its 2020 earnings guidance with a consolidated range of $1.95 to $2.15 per diluted share. This guidance assumes approval of their partial general rate case settlement by the Washington Commission.

Tailwinds

  • Earnings guidance represents over 9 percent growth from the mid-point of the original 2019 guidance, excluding the effects of Hydro One.
  • Expect rate relief in 2020 from general rate cases in Washington, Idaho, and Oregon.
  • Striving to reduce the regulatory timing lag and more closely align earned returns with those authorized by 2022.
  • Anticipate an annual earnings growth rate of 9 percent to 10 percent from 2020 to 2022.
  • Expect AEL&P to contribute in the range of $0.08 to $0.12 per diluted share for 2020.

Headwinds

  • Expect regulatory lag to continue through the end of 2021.
  • 2020 earnings guidance range reflects unrecovered structural costs estimated to reduce the return on equity by approximately 90 basis points.
  • 2020 guidance range reflects regulatory timing lag estimated to reduce the return on equity by approximately 80 basis points.
  • Expect an return on equity for Avista Utilities of approximately 7.7 percent in 2020.
  • Expect the other businesses to contribute in the range of a loss of $0.02 to earnings of $0.02 per diluted share.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

35 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-4.6%-6.4%-6.4%
Q3 2025+2.6%+6.3%+0.1%
Q2 2025-4.2%-2.3%-3.6%
Q1 2025-1.7%-6.1%-10.7%
Q4 2024+3.3%+3.3%+6.1%
Q3 2024-1.8%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2024+2.3%+3.9%+2.8%
Q4 2023+0.1%-2.1%-0.8%
Q3 2023+8.4%+10.3%+10.2%
Q2 2023+0.6%-1.2%-11.1%
Q1 2023+1.4%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2022+2.5%+1.7%+1.1%
Q3 2022-10.1%-9.5%+0.9%
Q2 2022+0.1%-1.0%-5.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%+5.6%+7.2%
Q4 2021+2.1%+5.0%+5.5%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.8%-2.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-4.2%-4.1%
Q1 2021+2.4%+2.8%-2.9%
Q4 2020+4.6%+2.5%+24.3%
Q3 2020-3.1%+3.0%+7.3%
Q2 2020-0.1%+3.1%+0.4%
Q1 2020-1.5%-9.4%-1.1%
Q4 2019-1.0%+1.2%-16.6%
Q3 2019-1.3%-2.3%-0.0%
Q2 2019+2.5%+2.2%+4.6%
Q1 2019+3.1%+2.6%-1.2%
Q4 2018-1.3%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+0.8%+0.8%-15.6%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.5%+1.4%
Q1 2018-0.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2017-1.0%-1.6%+3.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-0.6%
Q2 2017-1.0%-0.7%-2.3%
Q1 2017+2.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.0%+0.8%
Q3 2016-3.6%-3.3%-3.0%
Q2 2016-0.9%-2.3%-4.8%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+4.1%
Q3 2015+2.6%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015-1.2%
Q4 2014-1.5%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+2.2%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012-2.1%
Q2 2012-4.5%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010+3.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2008+1.0%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q3 2009+0.0%
Q2 2009+0.9%
Q4 2009+0.9%
Q2 2010+0.9%

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