NYSE$AVA

Avista Corporation · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income and confirmed earnings guidance.

Avista Corp. reported a strong start to 2021 with net income of $68.0 million, or $0.98 per diluted share, for the first quarter, exceeding expectations due to higher utility margin from lower net power supply costs and gains on investments. The company confirmed its 2021 earnings guidance with a consolidated range of $1.96 to $2.16 per diluted share.

  • Net income for Q1 2021 was $68.0 million, or $0.98 per diluted share, compared to $48.4 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, for Q1 2020.
  • Avista Utilities' earnings were better than expected, driven by higher utility margin mainly from lower net power supply costs.
  • AEL&P's earnings met expectations for the first quarter.
  • The company is carbon neutral by 2045, with a near-term goal of 30 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$413M

Previous: $390M+5.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.98

Previous: $0.72+36.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$97.2M

Previous: -$95.5M-1.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$29.2M

Previous: -$47.1M+38.0%
Net Income

$68M

Previous: $48.4M+40.5%
Operating Income

$102M

Previous: $82.2M+24.0%
Gross Profit

$413M

Previous: $390M+5.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$21.6M

Previous: $18.9M+14.4%
Total Assets

$6.4B

Previous: $6.17B+3.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$626K

Previous: $872K-28.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Avista · Revenue · Quarterly

$413M

Q1 2021+5.8%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Avista Corp. confirmed its 2021, 2022, and 2023 earnings guidance with consolidated ranges of $1.96 to $2.16 per diluted share in 2021, $2.18 to $2.38 per diluted share in 2022, and $2.42 to $2.62 per diluted share in 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Timely and appropriate rate relief in our jurisdictions.
  • Avista Utilities to contribute in the range of $1.93 to $2.07 per diluted share for 2021.
  • Current expectation for the ERM is a benefit position within the 75 percent customer/25 percent Company sharing band, which is expected to contribute $0.06 per diluted share.
  • For 2021, we expect AEL&P to contribute in the range of $0.08 to $0.11 per diluted share.
  • Our guidance does not include the effect of unusual or non-recurring items until the effects are known and certain.

Headwinds

  • Unrecovered structural costs estimated to reduce the return on equity by approximately 70 basis points.
  • Regulatory timing lag estimated to reduce the return on equity by approximately 100 basis points.
  • We expect the other businesses to have a loss of $0.05 to $0.02 per diluted share.
  • We expect to experience increased costs associated with exploring strategic business opportunities.
  • Our outlook for Avista Utilities and AEL&P assumes, among other variables, normal precipitation, temperatures, other operating conditions, and slightly below normal hydroelectric generation.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

35 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-4.6%-6.4%-6.4%
Q3 2025+2.6%+6.3%+0.1%
Q2 2025-4.2%-2.3%-3.6%
Q1 2025-1.7%-6.1%-10.7%
Q4 2024+3.3%+3.3%+6.1%
Q3 2024-1.8%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2024+2.3%+3.9%+2.8%
Q4 2023+0.1%-2.1%-0.8%
Q3 2023+8.4%+10.3%+10.2%
Q2 2023+0.6%-1.2%-11.1%
Q1 2023+1.4%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2022+2.5%+1.7%+1.1%
Q3 2022-10.1%-9.5%+0.9%
Q2 2022+0.1%-1.0%-5.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%+5.6%+7.2%
Q4 2021+2.1%+5.0%+5.5%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.8%-2.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-4.2%-4.1%
Q1 2021+2.4%+2.8%-2.9%
Q4 2020+4.6%+2.5%+24.3%
Q3 2020-3.1%+3.0%+7.3%
Q2 2020-0.1%+3.1%+0.4%
Q1 2020-1.5%-9.4%-1.1%
Q4 2019-1.0%+1.2%-16.6%
Q3 2019-1.3%-2.3%-0.0%
Q2 2019+2.5%+2.2%+4.6%
Q1 2019+3.1%+2.6%-1.2%
Q4 2018-1.3%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+0.8%+0.8%-15.6%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.5%+1.4%
Q1 2018-0.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2017-1.0%-1.6%+3.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-0.6%
Q2 2017-1.0%-0.7%-2.3%
Q1 2017+2.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.0%+0.8%
Q3 2016-3.6%-3.3%-3.0%
Q2 2016-0.9%-2.3%-4.8%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+4.1%
Q3 2015+2.6%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015-1.2%
Q4 2014-1.5%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+2.2%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012-2.1%
Q2 2012-4.5%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010+3.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2008+1.0%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q3 2009+0.0%
Q2 2009+0.9%
Q4 2009+0.9%
Q2 2010+0.9%

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