NYSE$AVA

Avista Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income for the first quarter of 2023, confirming 2023 guidance.

Avista Corp. reported a solid start to 2023 with net income of $54.8 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, slightly ahead of expectations. The company confirms its 2023 consolidated earnings guidance with a range of $2.27 to $2.47 per diluted share.

  • Net income was $54.8 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2023.
  • This compares to $71.6 million, or $0.99 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2022.
  • The company absorbed $7.6 million in pre-tax costs under the Energy Recovery Mechanism in Washington.
  • 2023 consolidated earnings guidance is confirmed with a range of $2.27 to $2.47 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$475M

Previous: $462M+2.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.99-26.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$100M

Previous: -$96M-4.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$45.6M

Previous: -$24.4M-86.9%
Net Income

$54.8M

Previous: $71.6M-23.4%
Operating Income

$76.6M

Previous: $83M-7.7%
Gross Profit

$475M

Previous: $462M+2.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.6M

Previous: $204M-94.8%
Total Assets

$7.39B

Previous: $7.04B+5.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.22M

Previous: $1.85M+20.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Avista · Revenue · Quarterly

$475M

Q1 2023+2.7%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Avista Corp. confirms its 2023 consolidated earnings guidance with a range of $2.27 to $2.47 per diluted share.

Tailwinds

  • Timely and appropriate rate relief in all jurisdictions is assumed.
  • Avista Utilities is expected to contribute in the range of $2.15 to $2.31 per diluted share for 2023.
  • Expect to be in the deadband of the ERM, with an expected increase to earnings of $0.03 per diluted share.
  • Customer tax credits will be fully returned to customers by the end of the third quarter of 2023 and will no longer reduce both customer bills and income tax expense.
  • AEL&P is expected to contribute in the range of $0.08 to $0.10 per diluted share.

Headwinds

  • Income tax is spread throughout the year as a percentage of pre-tax income based on the estimated annual effective tax rate, changing the shape of our quarterly earnings as compared to recent years.
  • First quarter earnings represent 35 percent of our forecast annual utility earnings.
  • Distribution of the remaining annual utility earnings to be 5 percent in the second quarter, 10 percent in the third quarter, and 50 percent in the fourth quarter.
  • ERM decreased earnings $0.08 per diluted share in the first quarter.
  • Outlook for Avista Utilities and AEL&P assumes, among other variables, normal precipitation, temperatures, hydroelectric generation, and other operating conditions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

35 / 67 earnings

Positive

+8.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-4.6%-6.4%-6.4%
Q3 2025+2.6%+6.3%+0.1%
Q2 2025-4.2%-2.3%-3.6%
Q1 2025-1.7%-6.1%-10.7%
Q4 2024+3.3%+3.3%+6.1%
Q3 2024-1.8%+1.9%+0.1%
Q1 2024+2.3%+3.9%+2.8%
Q4 2023+0.1%-2.1%-0.8%
Q3 2023+8.4%+10.3%+10.2%
Q2 2023+0.6%-1.2%-11.1%
Q1 2023+1.4%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2022+2.5%+1.7%+1.1%
Q3 2022-10.1%-9.5%+0.9%
Q2 2022+0.1%-1.0%-5.4%
Q1 2022+1.8%+5.6%+7.2%
Q4 2021+2.1%+5.0%+5.5%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.8%-2.1%
Q2 2021-2.5%-4.2%-4.1%
Q1 2021+2.4%+2.8%-2.9%
Q4 2020+4.6%+2.5%+24.3%
Q3 2020-3.1%+3.0%+7.3%
Q2 2020-0.1%+3.1%+0.4%
Q1 2020-1.5%-9.4%-1.1%
Q4 2019-1.0%+1.2%-16.6%
Q3 2019-1.3%-2.3%-0.0%
Q2 2019+2.5%+2.2%+4.6%
Q1 2019+3.1%+2.6%-1.2%
Q4 2018-1.3%-1.2%-1.0%
Q3 2018+0.8%+0.8%-15.6%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.5%+1.4%
Q1 2018-0.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2017-1.0%-1.6%+3.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-0.6%
Q2 2017-1.0%-0.7%-2.3%
Q1 2017+2.0%+3.5%+9.3%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.0%+0.8%
Q3 2016-3.6%-3.3%-3.0%
Q2 2016-0.9%-2.3%-4.8%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+4.1%
Q3 2015+2.6%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015-1.2%
Q4 2014-1.5%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+2.2%
Q1 2013+1.5%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012-2.1%
Q2 2012-4.5%
Q1 2012-2.5%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010+3.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2008+1.0%
Q4 2010+1.0%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q3 2009+0.0%
Q2 2009+0.9%
Q4 2009+0.9%
Q2 2010+0.9%

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