NYSE$ARIS

Aris Water Solutions Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong results driven by volume growth and improved profitability.

Aris Water Solutions reported a strong second quarter with a 21% increase in total water volumes and improved profitability. Net income increased by 158% compared to the second quarter of 2022, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 14%. The company is raising its full-year Adjusted EBITDA outlook due to solid execution and stronger than anticipated first half volumes.

  • Total water volumes of approximately 1.5 million barrels per day, up 21% versus the second quarter of 2022.
  • Produced Water volumes of approximately 1,045 thousand barrels per day, up 24% versus the second quarter of 2022.
  • Water Solutions volumes of approximately 452 thousand barrels per day, up 13% versus the second quarter of 2022.
  • Net income of $10.4 million, up 158% versus the second quarter of 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$96.6M

Previous: $76.4M+26.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.22

Previous: $0.54-59.3%
Total Volumes

1.5M

Previous: 1.2M+25.0%
Capital Expenditures

$42.7M

Previous: $38.5M+10.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.87M

Previous: -$27.6M+78.8%
Net Income

$10.4M

Previous: $1.39M+648.3%
Operating Income

$20M

Previous: $11.8M+68.8%
Gross Profit

$33.1M

Previous: $29.4M+12.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.02M

Previous: $35.1M-88.6%
Total Assets

$1.33B

Previous: $1.16B+15.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.12M

Previous: $3.2M-2.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Aris Water Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$96.6M

Q2 2023+26.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aris Water Solutions · $65.3M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Produced Water Handling
    $49.7M
  • Water Solutions
    $14.9M
  • Other Revenue
    $645K

Forward guidance

Aris Water Solutions provided guidance for the third quarter of 2023, expecting produced water and water solutions volumes to be flat to slightly down sequentially. They anticipate a strong finish to the year with fourth quarter produced water volumes forecasted to exceed those realized in the second quarter. The company is updating its previously provided guidance for the full year of 2023 to reflect higher than anticipated volume growth through the first half of 2023 as well as additional capital investment to accommodate further growth anticipated in late 2023 and early 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Volumes have grown steadily, exceeding expectations in the first half of the year.
  • Anticipate a strong finish to the year as fourth quarter produced water volumes are forecasted to exceed those realized in the second quarter.
  • Forecast skim oil recovery at normalized levels of approximately 0.10% of produced water inlet volumes, consistent with the second quarter.
  • Expect CPI linked inflation clauses and cost reduction initiatives to further benefit margins in the second half of the year.
  • Updating previously provided guidance to reflect higher than anticipated volume growth through the first half of 2023 as well as additional capital investment to accommodate further growth anticipated in late 2023 and early 2024.

Headwinds

  • Expect produced water and water solutions volumes to be flat to slightly down sequentially in the third quarter, reflecting the timing of completions across acreage.
  • Deferred well maintenance costs may partially offset margin benefits in the second half of the year.
  • Non-recurrence of margin benefits from minimum volume commitment deficiencies recognized in the second quarter.
  • Third quarter completions to be weighted toward the second half of the quarter.
  • Third quarter Adjusted EBITDA between $39 and $42 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+15.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

14 / 24 earnings

Positive

+32.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-22.8%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025-5.9%-3.4%+38.7%
Q2 2025+1.7%-3.9%+234.7%
Q1 2025-21.8%-5.9%+6.2%
Q4 2024+20.7%-1.8%+18.5%
Q3 2024+28.8%-3.5%-17.5%
Q2 2024-0.4%-0.8%+13.8%
Q1 2024+13.6%+3.6%+2.9%
Q4 2023+22.1%+5.4%+28.6%
Q3 2023+8.9%+4.8%+28.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-4.1%-6.6%
Q1 2023+32.6%-16.8%-20.4%
Q4 2022-18.7%-7.2%+10.2%
Q3 2022-5.0%+12.5%+8.9%
Q2 2022-22.8%+0.5%-9.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-11.8%-16.3%
Q4 2021+19.0%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2020+0.5%+3.5%-21.7%
Q3 2020+0.1%-1.1%-5.5%
Q2 2020+5.4%+5.0%+7.6%
Q3 2017-1.2%-1.2%-1.0%
Q2 2017+0.0%-4.3%+0.0%
Q1 2017-5.5%-13.7%+9.6%
Q4 2016+4.9%+11.1%-7.4%
Q3 2016+4.3%+0.0%+55.7%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010
Q4 2009

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