NYSE$ARIS

Aris Water Solutions Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Aris Water Solutions reported increased profitability and strong momentum carrying into 2024.

Aris Water Solutions, Inc. reported Q4 2023 results, featuring a 4% increase in total water volumes quarter-over-quarter and a net income of $13.0 million. The company's focus on cost management and operational efficiencies contributed to improved profitability. They also provided 2024 outlook, forecasting produced water volumes to grow approximately 2-5%.

  • Total water volumes increased 4% quarter-over-quarter and 16% annually.
  • Recycled produced water volumes grew 8% for the year, including record volumes in the fourth quarter.
  • Net income reached $13.0 million for the fourth quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $49.3 million for the fourth quarter, up 17% from 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$104M

Previous: $82.9M+25.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.26

Previous: $0.15+73.3%
Total Volumes

1.6M

Previous: 1.3M+20.4%
Produced Water Handling Volumes

1.1M

No prior period
Recycled Produced Water Volumes Sold

401.0K

Previous: 283.0K+41.7%
Groundwater Volumes Sold

81.0K

No prior period
Total Water Solutions Volumes

482.0K

No prior period
Skim Oil Recoveries

1.4K

No prior period
Skim Oil Recoveries (% of PWH Volumes)

0.1%

No prior period
PWH Revenue/Barrel

$0.79

No prior period
Water Solutions Revenue/Barrel

$0.54

No prior period
Revenue/Barrel of Total Volumes

$0.71

No prior period
Direct Operating Costs/Barrel

$0.31

No prior period
Gross Margin/Barrel

$0.27

No prior period
Adjusted Operating Margin/Barrel

$0.41

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$37.9M

Previous: $49.5M-176.4%
Net Income

$13M

Previous: $5.42M+139.9%
Operating Income

$25M

Previous: $13.3M+87.2%
Gross Profit

$39.6M

Previous: $26.9M+47.2%
R&D Expense

$1.25M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.62M

Previous: $2.9M-9.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Aris Water Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$104M

Q4 2023+25.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aris Water Solutions · $65.3M total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Produced Water Handling
    $49.7M
  • Water Solutions
    $14.9M
  • Other Revenue
    $645K

Forward guidance

Aris Water Solutions anticipates continued growth and profitability in 2024, driven by operational efficiencies and strategic capital allocation. Full year produced water volumes are forecasted to grow approximately 2-5%, excluding the impact of a 2023 asset divestiture.

Tailwinds

  • Full year produced water volumes are forecasted to grow approximately 2 – 5%, excluding the impact of a 2023 asset divestiture
  • Full year water solutions volumes are expected to be between 430 to 470 thousand barrels per day, approximately flat with 2023
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA forecasted between $180 - $200 million, up approximately 9% at the midpoint versus 2023
  • Adjusted Operating Margin per Barrel is anticipated to increase 8% - 13% year-over-year to $0.42 - $0.44/bbl
  • Capital Expenditures of $85 - $105 million, down approximately 40% versus 2023

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+15.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

14 / 24 earnings

Positive

+32.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-22.8%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025-5.9%-3.4%+38.7%
Q2 2025+1.7%-3.9%+234.7%
Q1 2025-21.8%-5.9%+6.2%
Q4 2024+20.7%-1.8%+18.5%
Q3 2024+28.8%-3.5%-17.5%
Q2 2024-0.4%-0.8%+13.8%
Q1 2024+13.6%+3.6%+2.9%
Q4 2023+22.1%+5.4%+28.6%
Q3 2023+8.9%+4.8%+28.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-4.1%-6.6%
Q1 2023+32.6%-16.8%-20.4%
Q4 2022-18.7%-7.2%+10.2%
Q3 2022-5.0%+12.5%+8.9%
Q2 2022-22.8%+0.5%-9.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-11.8%-16.3%
Q4 2021+19.0%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2020+0.5%+3.5%-21.7%
Q3 2020+0.1%-1.1%-5.5%
Q2 2020+5.4%+5.0%+7.6%
Q3 2017-1.2%-1.2%-1.0%
Q2 2017+0.0%-4.3%+0.0%
Q1 2017-5.5%-13.7%+9.6%
Q4 2016+4.9%+11.1%-7.4%
Q3 2016+4.3%+0.0%+55.7%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010
Q4 2009

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