NYSE$ARIS

Aris Water Solutions Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial and operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023.

Aris Water Solutions reported a net income of $7.7 million for Q1 2023, a significant increase from the net loss of $6.6 million in Q1 2022. The company also saw an increase in total water volumes, produced water volumes, and water solutions volumes.

  • Total water volumes of approximately 1.4 million barrels per day, up 18% versus Q1 2022.
  • Produced Water volumes of approximately 971 thousand barrels per day, up 21% versus Q1 2022.
  • Water Solutions volumes of approximately 405 thousand barrels per day, up 11% versus Q1 2022.
  • Net income of $7.7 million, up from a net loss of $6.6 million in Q1 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$91.6M

Previous: $71M+29.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.17

Previous: $0.46-63.0%
Total Volumes

1.4M

Previous: 1.2M+16.7%
Recycled Produced Water Volumes Sold

258.0K

Previous: 273.0K-5.5%
Skim Oil Recoveries

1.3K

Previous: 834+61.6%
Gross Margin/Barrel

$0.24

Previous: $0.26-7.7%
Adjusted Operating Margin/Barrel

$0.39

Previous: $0.42-7.1%
Capital Expenditures

$35.3M

Previous: $9.81M+260.0%
Free Cash Flow

$24.4M

Previous: $16.6M+46.9%
Net Income

$7.71M

Previous: -$2.22M+446.9%
Operating Income

$16.7M

Previous: $328K+4990.2%
Gross Profit

$29.1M

Previous: $27.7M+5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$25.5M

Previous: $67.8M-62.4%
Total Assets

$1.33B

Previous: $1.14B+16.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.47M

Previous: $2.34M+5.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Aris Water Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$91.6M

Q1 2023+29%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aris Water Solutions · $60.4M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Produced Water Handling
    $46.1M—
  • Water Solutions
    $13.9M—
  • Other Revenue
    $465K—

Forward guidance

In the second quarter of 2023, Aris Water Solutions anticipates continued growth in produced water volumes, a slight decrease in water solutions volumes, skim oil recovery levels to normalize, and increased well maintenance costs.

Tailwinds

  • Produced water volumes are expected to continue to grow sequentially versus the first quarter.
  • Changes in customer mix and CPI-linked contract escalators are expected to drive higher produced water revenue as compared to the first quarter.
  • Skim oil recovery levels are forecasted to normalize at approximately 0.1% of produced water inlet volumes, higher than a year ago.
  • Company remains very focused on enhancing profitability through continued execution of ongoing optimization efforts.
  • Expect to see the impact of these efforts in the second half of the year.

Headwinds

  • Water Solutions volumes are expected to be down slightly as some contracted volumes scheduled for the second quarter pulled forward into the first quarter.
  • Skim oil recovery levels are forecasted to normalize at approximately 0.1% of produced water inlet volumes, below the first quarter results.
  • Anticipate increased well maintenance costs in the second quarter relative to the first quarter.
  • Adjusted Operating Margins between $0.36 and $0.38 per barrel of Total Volumes
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $35.0 and $37.0 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+15.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

14 / 24 earnings

Positive

+32.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-22.8%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025-5.9%-3.4%+38.7%
Q2 2025+1.7%-3.9%+234.7%
Q1 2025-21.8%-5.9%+6.2%
Q4 2024+20.7%-1.8%+18.5%
Q3 2024+28.8%-3.5%-17.5%
Q2 2024-0.4%-0.8%+13.8%
Q1 2024+13.6%+3.6%+2.9%
Q4 2023+22.1%+5.4%+28.6%
Q3 2023+8.9%+4.8%+28.8%
Q2 2023+0.6%-4.1%-6.6%
Q1 2023+32.6%-16.8%-20.4%
Q4 2022-18.7%-7.2%+10.2%
Q3 2022-5.0%+12.5%+8.9%
Q2 2022-22.8%+0.5%-9.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-11.8%-16.3%
Q4 2021+19.0%+1.3%+4.3%
Q4 2020+0.5%+3.5%-21.7%
Q3 2020+0.1%-1.1%-5.5%
Q2 2020+5.4%+5.0%+7.6%
Q3 2017-1.2%-1.2%-1.0%
Q2 2017+0.0%-4.3%+0.0%
Q1 2017-5.5%-13.7%+9.6%
Q4 2016+4.9%+11.1%-7.4%
Q3 2016+4.3%+0.0%+55.7%
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q3 2014———
Q4 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2009———

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