NYSE$ALL

Allstate Corp · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allstate demonstrated strong financial performance driven by revenue growth and improved underwriting results.

Allstate reported strong third-quarter results with a significant increase in net income and adjusted net income, driven by improved Property-Liability underwriting results and revenue growth. The company's focus on near-term performance and long-term growth strategies contributed to these positive outcomes.

  • Total revenues increased by 14.7% compared to the prior year quarter, driven by increased Property-Liability earned premium.
  • Net income applicable to common shareholders was $1.2 billion, a significant improvement from the prior year quarter's net loss.
  • The Property-Liability combined ratio improved to 96.4, reflecting higher average earned premiums and improved underlying loss experience.
  • Allstate Protection auto insurance results showed improved profitability due to successful execution of a comprehensive plan to restore margins.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$16.6B

Previous: $14.5B+14.7%
EPS

$4.33

Previous: $0.81+434.6%
P&C Combined Ratio

96.4%

Previous: 103.4%-6.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$160M

Previous: -$196M+18.4%
Free Cash Flow

$1.03B

Previous: -$201M+612.4%
Net Income

$1.19B

Previous: -$5M+23900.0%
Operating Income

$12.3B

Previous: $10.7B+14.5%
Gross Profit

$14.6B

Previous: $12.7B+15.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$816M

Previous: $860M-5.1%
Total Assets

$114B

Previous: $101B+12.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Allstate · Revenue · Quarterly

$16.6B

Q3 2024+14.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allstate · $607M total across 4 segments · Q1 2023

  • Protection Plans
    $385M
  • Dealer Services
    $148M
  • Arity
    $37M
  • Identity Protection
    $37M

Forward guidance

Allstate is focused on increasing market share in personal Property-Liability and expanding protection solutions. The divestiture of the Employer Voluntary Benefits business is expected in the first half of 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Allstate Protection auto insurance new business sales increased 26% with increased advertising and expanded distribution.
  • Homeowners insurance margins improved and policies in force are 2.5% higher than the prior year.
  • Protection Plans expanded internationally and acquired Kingfisher to enhance mobile device protection capabilities.
  • Operational excellence and implementation of the growth strategy will continue to create shareholder value.
  • Fixed income duration was extended and public equity holdings significantly lowered to optimize risk adjusted returns on capital.

Headwinds

  • Retention losses reflecting the impact of significant price increases over the last several years offset this growth resulting in a decline in auto policies in force.
  • Hurricane Milton impacted customers shortly after the quarter with estimated losses of approximately $100 million.
  • Allstate Roadside revenue decreased 23.2% compared to the prior year quarter reflecting the discontinuance of a large unprofitable account.
  • Adjusted net income of Health and Benefits decreased $32 million lower than prior year quarter attributable to increased benefit utilization across all businesses.
  • Performance-based investment income decreased $43 million compared to the prior year quarter primarily reflecting lower real estate investment results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

39 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.7%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+2.9%-2.8%
Q4 2025+3.9%-2.9%+2.5%
Q3 2025+1.5%+6.5%+3.9%
Q2 2025+5.7%+6.9%+5.8%
Q1 2025-0.6%+1.8%+5.8%
Q4 2024-0.6%-1.9%+4.0%
Q3 2024-0.0%-2.3%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.2%-2.6%+8.8%
Q1 2024-0.5%+0.0%-1.5%
Q4 2023+2.8%+1.3%-0.3%
Q3 2023+2.5%+1.9%+7.5%
Q2 2023-5.5%-2.5%-4.3%
Q1 2023+1.5%+3.3%-2.1%
Q4 2022+2.7%-7.6%-0.3%
Q3 2022-1.4%+2.4%+4.1%
Q2 2022-1.5%+2.2%+5.0%
Q1 2022+1.4%-0.6%+1.7%
Q4 2021+2.5%+5.1%+7.4%
Q3 2021-6.5%-6.5%-13.5%
Q2 2021-2.1%+1.5%+2.5%
Q1 2021+3.7%+5.2%+6.6%
Q4 2020-3.3%-3.1%+0.7%
Q3 2020-2.7%+1.0%+12.3%
Q2 2020-1.5%+0.7%-3.0%
Q1 2020+1.1%+0.4%+1.5%
Q4 2019+4.7%+4.5%-8.9%
Q3 2019-1.5%-0.7%+5.1%
Q2 2019+5.5%+2.7%+0.4%
Q1 2019-0.8%-1.4%-3.6%
Q4 2018+4.2%+4.1%+5.0%
Q3 2018-5.8%-5.3%-6.6%
Q2 2018+2.5%+3.4%+5.7%
Q1 2018-3.8%-3.4%-4.4%
Q4 2017-6.8%-6.1%-0.6%
Q3 2017+4.3%+5.6%+9.8%
Q2 2017+3.5%+3.5%-0.5%
Q1 2017+0.6%-0.9%+2.0%
Q4 2016+2.9%+3.8%+8.8%
Q3 2016+1.3%-0.5%+5.1%
Q2 2016+0.7%+1.6%+1.2%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015+3.5%
Q3 2015+2.1%
Q2 2015-9.9%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+2.5%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013-2.1%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-2.7%
Q4 2011+4.7%
Q2 2012+4.7%
Q1 2012+2.5%
Q3 2011-3.9%
Q2 2011-0.3%
Q1 2011-1.3%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010-6.9%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q1 2009+0.0%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2007-0.1%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2008-2.3%
Q2 2009+0.5%
Q2 2008+0.5%
Q4 2008+0.5%

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